Allow me to introduce a new thread featuring our defenders, who agreed to share their experiences and answer questions. I hope that my readers can gain a deeper understanding of the ongoing war. Today, I'm pleased to present Shootnik, @Shootnick_14 - a national guardsman
Hi! Could you tell a little bit about yourself?
Hello! Before the war, I was a sociologist who enjoyed traveling in Ukraine and abroad. Computer games, whiskey, and TV series were my pastimes. Now, I have a deep interest in studying new weapons and tactical medicine.
Tell us about your initial encounter with the enemy
The initial enemy encounter involved an 82mm mortar. As we reached our positions, it took 15 minutes before we found ourselves in a mortar exchange. In the first week, we faced tank, artillery, MLRS, and air force bombardments.
How has the enemy changed since then?
In my experience, the enemy increased the quantity and quality of drones. Frontline soldiers encounter various small drones, including those with thermal imagers. Russians know how to fight, improve and mitigate identified weaknesses.
Are tanks obsolete in modern warfare? What's your opinion?
Those who say so lack battle experience. Tanks are deadly, powerful, and fearsome weapons. Even the outdated Russian tanks on secondary and tertiary defense lines pose a serious threat. Not to mention their upgraded tanks
Your favorite Western weapons used?
I've only used the Matador, AT-4, and NLAW grenade launchers. I highly appreciate them, especially the Matador for its simplicity and functionality. I also use a c7a1 rifle, which I like for its accuracy, despite its longer length.
Top-3 issues in our military?
Key challenges are limited weaponry and ammo, lack of communication, and personnel with a Soviet mindset. While the first problem can be tackled physically, the 2nd and 3rd demand changes through novel training methods and fostering a military ethos
Your thoughts on civilian volunteers in the war?
They are the force that helps us to survive and safeguard our people. They provide vehicles, medicine, surveillance tools, and protection that we urgently require. Without their assistance, we would have suffered greater losses.
Does international aid make a noticeable impact at your level?
As a fire support soldier in an NGU brigade, I especially appreciate the support from Eastern European countries. Our unit received Bulgarian, Polish, and Czech variants of soviet weapons, for which I am grateful
Did the war reveal any new aspects about Ukrainians for you?
If the army reflects society, then I've truly observed the essence of Ukrainian society: its pros and cons would require a long thread. The key point I can make is that Ukrainians are very distinct and unique people.
Your vision for Ukraine's post-war future?
After the war, I expect challenging city and town rebuilding phase. Social challenges are expected to arise as well. Limited Western response to russia necessitates our preparedness for Ukraine's next defense as long as Russia exists.
Could you provide a list of your favorite places in Ukraine that you would recommend visiting?
Stokhid River, Volyn. Lychakiv Cemetery, Lviv, Carpathian Mountains, Black Sea. My favorite cities are Kyiv, Lviv, Dnipro, Vinnytsia, Chernivtsi.
If you found this thread enjoyable, please remember to follow and share. I apologize for the concise format of questions and answers due to Twitter's limitations. Nevertheless, I plan to continue and expand this format in the future🇺🇦
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1/ Why is Ukraine losing ground? There are many explanations, ranging from a lack of aid to a lack of political will to win. The reality, however, is far more complex. This thread offers a brief excerpt from my recent analysis, with the full link provided at the end.
🧵Thread:
2/ Many struggles that the Ukrainian military faces stem from before 2022 and have scaled significantly by 2025. A mobilized force, where teachers, farmers, and IT workers replaced the professional core, turned what began as 'growing pains' into systemic flaws
3/ A damning report on Ukraine’s 155th Anne of Kyiv Brigade grotesquely exposed systematic issues. Despite training in France and sufficient funding and equipment, the unit faced high AWOL rates and fragmentation across frontline units. The issues that lead to it are systematic
When Bashar al-Assad’s regime fell in Syria, a critical geopolitical question emerged: can Russia maintain its foothold in the MENA region, and if so, how? What does this mean for Ukraine? Below are the key points from the latest Frontelligence Insight report:
2/ Maxar satellite images, dated December 17, show an unusual buildup of vehicles at the Tartus Naval Base. Video from site show that most of these vehicles are logistical, with only a few appearing to be combat vehicles. We identified approximately 150 vehicles and 29 containers
3/ It is assessed that the vehicles are likely being prepared for evacuation from the Tartus by naval vessels. Indications suggest that two Russian cargo ships, Sparta and Ursa Major, could be involved in the operation. It could take over a week for them to reach the port
The Pokrovsk direction, once known as the Avdiivka direction, remains one of the most active and difficult areas. After failing to seize the town directly, as in Novohrodivka, Russian forces pushed towards south of the town, creating an increasingly dangerous situation.🧵Thread
2/ The fall of Selydove has allowed Russian forces to advance south of Pokrovsk, opening a path to Shevchenko, a key settlement before the town itself. With this vital position now almost lost, Russian forces can now expand to the south of Pokrovsk.
3/ A particularly bad development reported to our team is the growing Russian effort to target supply routes leading to Pokrovsk with FPV drones. Ground reports to our team confirm that russians have successfully deployed FPV drones with fiber-optic cables along the E-50 highway
Famous YouTuber @johnnywharris, with 6 million followers, released a video titled "Why People Blame America for the War in Ukraine." He presented his argument in it, essentially blaming the West for causing Russia's imperialistic rise. I find it necessary to respond🧵:
2/ In essence, Johnny claims that after the USSR collapse, Russia was excluded from Western society and draws parallels to the treatment of Weimar Germany under the Treaty of Versailles, suggesting that an unjust settlement fueled militarization in both cases
3/ So, what's wrong with that vision? First, shortly after the Soviet Union's collapse, Russia engaged in conflicts and created pro-Russian pseudo-states, a scenario it later replicated in Ukraine in 2014. Specific examples include Abkhazia and South Ossetia in 1992–1993.
With Russia's budget deficit at 3.3 trillion rubles, 21% key interest rate and 2-3 million job vacancies, Russia has to choose between hyperinflation or an economic freeze, says Vladimir Milov, former Deputy Minister of Energy in an interview with Frontelligence Insight
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2/ Vladimir Milov (@v_milov), an economist and longtime ally of Alexei Navalny, explains that Russian markets are gloomy ahead of the Central Bank’s board meeting on Dec 20. The Bank is expected to raise interest rates once again, from the current 21%, possibly to 23% or even 25%
3/ For Central Bank to continue interest rate hikes means to kill the real sector of the economy, where most companies simply don't have sufficient profitability to borrow at current interest rates (Central Bank's 21% rate translates into 25-30% commercial loan rates)
Overnight, Ukraine carried out a series of missile strikes on Khalino Airbase in Kursk Oblast, reportedly using ATACMS missiles. Here’s what we can anticipate based on previous data gathered by Frontelligence Insight:
🧵Thread
2/ In recent months, the airfield had been spotted to home SU-25 close air support jets, helicopters, and UAVs.
3/ For some time, the airfield hasn’t been heavily utilized by Russia in the same way as other air bases. Instead, it has primarily hosted helicopters and Su-25 for close-air support, rather than for KAB deployments like those conducted from bases in Voronezh or Lipetsk.