Tatarigami_UA Profile picture
May 23, 2023 13 tweets 5 min read Read on X
Allow me to introduce a new thread featuring our defenders, who agreed to share their experiences and answer questions. I hope that my readers can gain a deeper understanding of the ongoing war. Today, I'm pleased to present Shootnik, @Shootnick_14 - a national guardsman Image
Hi! Could you tell a little bit about yourself?

Hello! Before the war, I was a sociologist who enjoyed traveling in Ukraine and abroad. Computer games, whiskey, and TV series were my pastimes. Now, I have a deep interest in studying new weapons and tactical medicine. Image
Tell us about your initial encounter with the enemy

The initial enemy encounter involved an 82mm mortar. As we reached our positions, it took 15 minutes before we found ourselves in a mortar exchange. In the first week, we faced tank, artillery, MLRS, and air force bombardments. Image
How has the enemy changed since then?

In my experience, the enemy increased the quantity and quality of drones. Frontline soldiers encounter various small drones, including those with thermal imagers. Russians know how to fight, improve and mitigate identified weaknesses. Image
Are tanks obsolete in modern warfare? What's your opinion?
Those who say so lack battle experience. Tanks are deadly, powerful, and fearsome weapons. Even the outdated Russian tanks on secondary and tertiary defense lines pose a serious threat. Not to mention their upgraded tanks Image
Your favorite Western weapons used?

I've only used the Matador, AT-4, and NLAW grenade launchers. I highly appreciate them, especially the Matador for its simplicity and functionality. I also use a c7a1 rifle, which I like for its accuracy, despite its longer length. Image
Top-3 issues in our military?

Key challenges are limited weaponry and ammo, lack of communication, and personnel with a Soviet mindset. While the first problem can be tackled physically, the 2nd and 3rd demand changes through novel training methods and fostering a military ethos Image
Your thoughts on civilian volunteers in the war?

They are the force that helps us to survive and safeguard our people. They provide vehicles, medicine, surveillance tools, and protection that we urgently require. Without their assistance, we would have suffered greater losses. Image
Does international aid make a noticeable impact at your level?

As a fire support soldier in an NGU brigade, I especially appreciate the support from Eastern European countries. Our unit received Bulgarian, Polish, and Czech variants of soviet weapons, for which I am grateful Image
Did the war reveal any new aspects about Ukrainians for you?

If the army reflects society, then I've truly observed the essence of Ukrainian society: its pros and cons would require a long thread. The key point I can make is that Ukrainians are very distinct and unique people. Image
Your vision for Ukraine's post-war future?

After the war, I expect challenging city and town rebuilding phase. Social challenges are expected to arise as well. Limited Western response to russia necessitates our preparedness for Ukraine's next defense as long as Russia exists. ImageImage
Could you provide a list of your favorite places in Ukraine that you would recommend visiting?

Stokhid River, Volyn. Lychakiv Cemetery, Lviv, Carpathian Mountains, Black Sea. My favorite cities are Kyiv, Lviv, Dnipro, Vinnytsia, Chernivtsi. Image
If you found this thread enjoyable, please remember to follow and share. I apologize for the concise format of questions and answers due to Twitter's limitations. Nevertheless, I plan to continue and expand this format in the future🇺🇦

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More from @Tatarigami_UA

Apr 19
Thread🧵

1/ The exhaustion of Russia’s vehicle fleet is becoming increasingly evident. The reduced use of armored vehicles and the growing reliance on civilian: including motorcycles, golf carts, and vans, continues to signal a degradation in Russian maneuvering capabilities.
2/ During the winter, outside of Kursk, Russia achieved mostly tactical gains, notably in Kharkiv Oblast, the Chasiv Yar area and Kurakhove–Velyka Novosilka axis. While these advances have been troubling for Ukraine, Russia has so far failed to capitalize on them strategically.
3/ Despite slow progress, Russia still retains the resources and capability to conduct active offensive operations through the summer and fall of 2025. However, as I noted in my analysis last year, the diminishing returns will determine whether Russia will continue this war
Read 7 tweets
Apr 10
While our team continues working on the latest updates, here are a few updates on the current state of the frontline:

1/ Despite holding the advantage along much of the frontline, Russia’s winter campaign yielded limited results - indicating Ukraine’s situation is not dire
2/ The Pokrovsk area now appears more stable than in February. At that time, Russian forces had established a foothold in Zvirove, with deeper advances into Pokrovsk looking imminent. Since then, not only have the Russians stalled, but they have actually lost some ground.
3/ The overall composition and number of Russian forces near Sumy oblast currently seem insufficient to support a large-scale offensive operation deep into the region.
Read 7 tweets
Mar 30
One of the biggest problems of this war is that Ukraine and the West haven’t clearly defined what "winning" looks like. This has allowed the Russians to present the "Istanbul Agreements" as the only viable negotiation framework, due to the absence of a well-defined alternative.
2/ The "Victory Plan" presented by Zelensky is not a true negotiation framework, and it didn’t resonate with the previous administration, let alone the current White House administration. Of course, there are alternative options, such as Russia retreating to 1991 borders
3/ The problem is that Russia won't do that, and there is no realistic enforcement mechanism, short of intervention. The United States isn’t going to bomb Russia. This raises the question: what does a "desired outcome," based on the realities on the ground, actually look like?
Read 8 tweets
Mar 25
Almost every day, we hear about strikes against targets inside Russia, but we rarely get the full picture of their actual impact on the war. Radio Liberty and Frontelligence Insight have joined efforts to analyze hundreds of data points to answer this question.

🧵Thread Image
2/ Our research covered the period from September 2024 to February 2025, divided into two sections: strikes on military targets, infrastructure, and on the energy sector. We found that strikes on Russia’s energy sector caused at least $658 million in damage over ~6 months
3/ The real damage to the Russian energy sector and the economy as a whole may be higher. In at least 67 out of 100 cases, Ukrainian strikes were successful, while in another 33 cases the result of the attacks remains unknown or it is impossible to prove Ukraine's involvement. Image
Read 23 tweets
Mar 21
Kursk Offensive: A Preliminary Assessment by Frontelligence Insight.
A condensed version of report for X. 🧵Thread:

1/ With Ukrainian forces withdrawing from Sudzha, the operation is clearly approaching its conclusion though it is not yet entirely over.Image
2/ To assess the operation, not in isolation, but within the broader context of the war, we broke down the Kursk operation into 3 key questions: whether its geopolitical objectives were met, whether the attrition rate was favorable, and whether it achieved battlefield success
3/ To determine equipment attrition, we analyzed data from OSINT analyst @naalsio26, who tracks losses across multiple frontlines. Our graphs show losses from August to March but are not exhaustive, as they exclude some retreat-related losses. The cut-off date was March 10. Image
Read 20 tweets
Mar 5
Frontelligence Insight Special Report: AWOL Trends and Casualty Ratios in Russia and Ukraine

In assessing overall manpower casualty ratios, we analyzed Russian AWOL figures alongside Ukrainian estimates, factoring in KIA, MIA, and recruitment rates to assess the war’s prospectsImage
2/ Thanks to @InformNapalm, a Ukrainian OSINT community, we analyzed a screenshot of a Russian presentation slide detailing desertion numbers. The percentage and corresponding figures allowed us to calculate the total number of AWOL cases across all Russian military districts. Image
3/ As shown in the translated graph, the Southern MD has the highest number of desertion cases. This is unsurprising, as it includes the former 1st and 2nd Army Corps (now the 51st and 3rd CAAs), which are largely composed of forcibly mobilized residents from occupied territories Image
Read 14 tweets

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