PHYS003: Fission bomb design & history
In this short thread, we're going to learn about "critical mass", timing circuits and with them, we'll combine what we learn in PHYS001 & PHYS002 to learn how the ultimate weapon was created:
The nuclear bomb!
Let's discuss how it works too!
In the previous instalment, we learnt about conventional bomb design and the importance of casing, timing and symmetry.
As it were, this is even *more* important for nuclear bombs. But keep it in mind as well as the principle of fission as we move forward.
Nuclear fission is a chain reaction, but it exhibits an interesting phenomenon. For each type of reaction (slow, fast neutron etc.),there is a probability of the reaction taking place. We call the total reaction rate area as the "cross-section".
Every atom/reactant pair has one!
Just like decay rate, lifetimes of daughter particles and time to fission, there is no physics model that predicts cross-sections.
They MUST be measured experimentally, across all energies and relative velocities of incoming neutrons.
Apparatus used is out of our current scope.
[Aside: You'll note, there are resonances and different cross-sections depending on whether you want fission or capture. This can be exploited, for example, to filter out neutrons from a neutron source that aren't of a certain energy.]
[Aside: accurate cross-sections are secret.]
Let's look at the fission cross-sections of Plutonium-239 and Uranium-235. We can note some things:
* Uranium "prefers" slow ("thermal") neutrons.
* Plutonium "prefers" neutrons of a certain energy.
* Plutonium has a higher fission probability (cross-section) than Uranium.
These cross-sections are still relatively small compared to the very high probability of a reaction in a chemical explosives.
Neutrons can actually move some distance away from the fissile material without reacting.
Each materials also generate a different average # of neutrons!
When the total number of neutrons escaping our fissile material ("pit") is equal to the fission event neutrons generated inside, we call this a "critical mass".
We are in fact interested more in a super-critical mass because it means generating exponentially more energy!
In summary, each fissile material has a fission cross-section, and if shaped as a sphere, each material under normal atmospheric conditions has a certain critical mass requirement to undergo a sustained chain reaction.
You need ~5 times more Uranium than Plutonium.
Great, so let's just get a critical mass going... oh wait. That's not a very good idea is it?
Of course not, baka! It'll produce a huge amount of radiation or may even explode the moment it gets a neutron event. Not like a nuke but enough to kill, wound and sicken you.
We conclude that it's important to keep the fissile material as a sub-critical mass, until we want to detonate the bomb.
Also, just like the chemical explosive, conservation of momentum will tend to want to blow the critical mass apart -- stopping the reaction.
We need a casing.
The most primitive design takes the above experiment and puts it into a chamber. This is known as a "gun-type" assembly and was dropped on Hiroshima.
It was inefficient, produced lots of fall out, as most of the material didn't undergo fission before it blew through its casing.
A far better design was the very first one detonated: The implosion type design. A sub-critical mass and neutron source (initiator) are surrounded by electronically detonated explosives.
With precise timing, all charges detonate, compression the material into super-critical mass.
The higher compression meant the effective critical mass was lower than required. In fact, Fat Man used 6.4kg, not the 10kg required at normal pressures as a result.
The precision timed deformation and strong casing (bomb weighted 6 tons) itself caused the super-criticality.
The casing/assembly keeps the detonation focused on the fission material, generating a huge shockwave internally, imploding. This creates a critical mass which then more rapidly undergoes fission.
Thus, this nuclear bomb is essentially an amplifier of a chemical explosive!
BOOM!
It is important to note the presence of a Uranium-238 casing around the plutonium. This acts as an "inner-casing", holding the supercritical mass together.
It also provides it with fast neutrons, and reflects the fission generated neutrons back, creating a smaller critical mass!
This is known as a "tamper" and it is very important in nuclear weapon design. This "neutron reflector" demonstrates how efficiency can be increased using static material in a clever manner.
Note also, "merely" a change in geometry caused this massive nuclear explosion to happen.
What happens to the energy produced by the nuke? It depends on the surrounding material.
In air, the energy is absorbed by the atmosphere. This strips them of electrons, creating a plasma. This extremely hot plasma expands, creating a deadly shockwave!
It also produces thermal energy (heat), x-rays (same thing as heat but higher energy/frequency) and residual radiation in the form of short-lived isotopes/fallout.
The latter is either desirable if vou want to render an area uninhabitable or undesirable if you don't.
Distinctive to nukes is the creation of a plasma, which is also centred on a point.
You see, a chemical explosion can never do this, the energy produced can only ionise a small percentage of atoms. Most of what's generated is heat and a shockwave!
[Aside: Plasmas carry charge!]
Another tell, everyone knows hot air rises due to buoyancy... but there's a limit as it will encounter more and more cold and lower pressure air as it does.
Due to the extreme temperatures involved, nuclear bombs will create mushroom clouds that rise rapidly and to a tall height!
They are also far less susceptible to wind, drift and the smoke is generated mostly below the luminous parts, not mostly above as combustion particles.
[As shown above, the cloud isn't just fascinating, we can in fact estimate the yield of a nuclear explosion by its height!]
There is another important distinction due to creation of a plasma: The explosion, depending on its height, through both the action of the shockwave and the plasma, will create a large crater and crack/ pulverise the soil around ground zero.
Site access is a must for assessment!
Depending on the yield and either surface depth or elevation of the nuclear explosion, the soil can also remain hot for a lot longer than a conventional explosion, which only reaches ~3000-4000 deg C in the very initial phase.
Nukes reach tens of millions of degrees with ease.
That's it for PHYS003! Key take aways:
Nuclear bombs do not detonate on their own, require precise timing of explosives.
Critical mass is not an intrinsic figure to a material but a result of environmental conditions and geometry, cross-section.
Next PHYS004: Fusion bombs + more!
Of* a material
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Fine structure constant.
How strange. Accurate to 0.03%. I don't feel confident enough to include this amazing thing in my paper so I'll share it on here. Has anyone encountered this approximation before?
[My head hurts and I want to finish this thing. I'm sorry I tried my best.]
It's bizarre because ln(8R/a) is in the toroid inductance formula. If you identify R/a=1/alpha, then you get something very close to an integer out of the logarithm... What?!
To re-emphasise it's not out of no where. It came from identify the Compton wavelength with R and the classical radius with a. This formula brought out the electron mass to within 3.6% accuracy. The trouble is the R on the outside is different: It has to use a Hopfin fibration and torodial/polodial twists, resulting in Compton wavelength/(4*pi^2).
I can't explain it and my head hurts from all the other stuff which I've worked on (more significant in many ways if I can't close this), so I have to admit defeat and leave this in someone else's hands. Someone smarter than me I hope!
The 8 comes pure from ring geometry.
The "a" is saying physically -- if you had a sphere that contained the charge necessary to produce the field of a electron what radius would it be if it also equalled the energy of the electron.
The R comes from the wavelength we've detected.
The 7? I have no idea. Maybe it's just a coincidence.
Einstein with his ret*rded idea has held back physics for more than a century. Even Robert Millikan, who measured the photoelectric effect's frequency dependence, told him to let go of the idea.
I'm going to explain it, for the first time I've seen explained by others and I spent 3 days making sure no one else has thought of such a simple thing before. I was shocked.
It's not a property of the field, it's a boundary condition on the genesis of an electron-positron pair.
Well, well, @AnthropicAI pulled the rug on all of its users.
It introduced Sonnet 4.5, under the pretense that it was better than Opus 4.1. The benchmarks were all cooked. Opus 4.1 is still superior to Sonnet 4.5.
Yet they used this as an excuse to lower usage limits on Opus!
@AnthropicAI If you subscribe to their non-API plan they're not even transparent about how much usage you're getting.
They got people hooked to this and now they're raising the price by 10x as layoffs continue. This is the expert squeeze happening live.
@AnthropicAI Zero accountability from the so-called government who is meant to regulate this sort of scam.
We will be contacting the @acccgovau, over this rug pull. What a load of sh*t @AnthropicAI. You sell people onto Max x20, you announce an inferior LLM, then reduce their usage by 10x?
There was never a "chosen people" if the context is God.
You're likely thinking of Satan (Yahweh) and the "divine council" where Elohim (plural) got to divide up humanity and Yahweh got assigned the most evil bloodline in the world.
(it's in the Torah lol, several places too)
The funniest thing about arguing with Torah believers is using their own material against them.
The real purity is in the gospel and nothing else but the true words of Jesus Christ our only saviour.
Just wait until you find out what Deutoronomy says Moses's last words were (people were complaining about Yahweh's treatment towards them so he was like, look this was the Elohim assigned to us... don't blame me, then Yahweh killed him. He had just killed his brother)
AI Economic Meltdown: The Coming Expert Squeeze /🧵
There is a frenzy today that is seemingly unstoppable -- the process of replacing human workers with AI. On another front, the idea that AI has now reached a level beyond the smartest human beings is promoted by CEOs like Sam Altman, Dario Amodei and Elon Musk. In cases where humans aren't replaced, they're expected to augment themselves with AI models to increase their productivity.
On the opposing side, there are people who speak of the technology as impractical, overhyped or down right dangerous. This thread is going to take a different angle to these people: I will demonstrate not only this replacement will become a self-fulfilling prophecy, but why we are locked into this process (which has become an inescapable ponzi scheme) and it will culminate in the destruction of western economies.
In this short thread I'm going to show you why, starting with the economic feedback loops, the limitations of the technology, and finally human psychological dependency and the incentive process. To bring it all together, I will explain why the entire western economy is now dependent on this hype, and why the alternative is also collapse of a different kind.
I will start with the main driver of this trend: the economy.
The economic feedback loop
Tech companies and other firms all over the world are in a frenzy to fire as many employees as possible in order to minimise their payroll, keeping investors happy and increasing their stock price even as the real economy around them collapses.
Excluding algorithmic trading, the economy ultimately involves exchange between humans and groupings of humans (i.e. human run entities). The fewer people you have working, the fewer people you have buying things, the less money ultimately flows into large corporations without the public being forced to subsidise them via government grants.
It also goes the other way around, the lower the demand for people with certain skills, the less money groupings of people will offer, and the fewer people will develop these skills. The incentive is thus a feedback loop, the more successful the companies, the more successful the workers, the more both grow upwards.
The promise of AI is to cut this loop open, allowing companies to theoretically lower their payroll to near zero, moving that line item to either data centre costs or the cost of AI models hosted by other companies. This has flow-on effects too: the fewer individual contributors you have, the fewer managers, HR representatives and middle managers you need. Companies are also incentivised to disintermediate and flatten their hierarchies.
With all the hype this seems like a risk-free gamble until you break apart the assumptions and consequences. There are two main assumptions:
1. The cost of using AI models will remain cheap. 2. AI will be able to continuously fulfil the duties of humans in all domains that they replace or augment.
I will disprove assumption (1) later in this section and disprove assumption (2) in the next section.
The up-front cost is seemingly sending many people into unemployment, and driving down the consumer economy. Of course, it is never that simple and rarely linear or even reversible. In taking this gamble, these companies will lose centuries of inherited experience both at the individual contributor and the management level.
This has already been done before. Entering the late 1970s, the United States had a tight grip on world exports and industries with very few exceptions. This was all off-shored over the next few decades until the US was deindustrialised. Today, the US struggles to produce tanks and artillery shells, as the last few workers that still know how retire and the economic incentive for their replacement disappears.
Software engineers, spreadsheet jockeys and other service economy workers will soon be facing the same calculus as industrial workers did during that time. They will quickly move on, or move out of the United States and other western nations. Ironically, these are the very skills needed to keep data centres running smoothly, AI models fed with data (after all it's the information technology that is upstreaming these data feeds and data creation events) and even the AI models developed. Albeit, the full effect of this will not be felt for the time being.
The worst thing is even if decision makers are fully aware of the gamble, they cannot change the trajectory because it has become a multi-level ponzi scheme. The software and hardware companies that are currently leading the economy like Microsoft and NVIDIA are dependent on the hype surrounding AI. If that hype is undermined even a little, as we saw in early January when the open source model DeepSeek R1 was released, the western economies fall into turmoil.
For the moment, AI is subsidised to a degree most people are unaware of. OpenAI is supported by Microsoft, and operates its models at a loss. Anthropic is likewise supported by Amazon and operates its expensive (and somewhat slower) model at a loss. It only gets worse for other players like Perplexity which has to spend 164% of its revenue on cost.
The gamble is as companies become dependent on this technology, and humans are replaced, the companies will be able to afford the real cost. It's like a "trial edition" right now. You can confirm this yourself, sign up to Anthropic's Claude for example, e.g. the Max account for $200USD/month, and watch how you can easily spend $40USD of their money in 5 hours. That should tell you something is seriously wrong.
What's happening is the speculation from both governments and large corporations that are speculating on the end game, gambling their bottom line and also a future without expertise.
Worse yet, to make meaningful gains, they've had to escalate the kind of hardware they use to host these AIs. Terabytes of RAM, insane and exotic networking equipment, brand new architectures, 100s of billions of dollars in one time engineering costs to impedance match currently popular mathematical models that may change dramatically in the near future.
AI is not getting cheaper. On the upper end, where businesses are concerned, it's actually getting more expensive. If you're a gamer you already know this, with the price of RTX3090s, RTX4090s and RTX5090s going through the roof over time. Moore's law is very much dead and inflation has caught up with the otherwise deflationary electronics economy.
But... maybe, despite all these trends, it will eventually work? What if they make it cheaper or cheap enough somehow and the AI exceeds human abilities even without data? Is that even possible in today's technology? That takes us to the next section and assumption (2).
White Christian values explained #1
Why you should never speak ill of the dead. /🧵
Have you ever punched your fist in the air when you're really energetic or angry? Notice how it hurt your muscles almost the same way as making contact with something? Sometimes more, even though it's an empty punch? Every action has a reaction, and of course, your muscles, bones and joints will ultimately have to absorb the energy you used to throw your fist outwards.
When something comes out of you, especially when you attack someone, unless you are fundamentally broken, it's the same deal. If you attack someone and they don't fight back, a normal empathic person would back away or even try to make it up to the person attacked. This is part of why turning your other cheek, to a brother, is the most powerful answer to someone who has wronged you.
[Note: When I speak of "people" here I mean specifically white people. I don't believe neurology, physiology and spiritual essence is universal. In this work I hope to make us more relatable to those who do not understand why we do and say certain things.]
Those who keep attacking after the other side backs away or doesn't respond, are fundamentally broken. Their empathic unit is gone. Without empathy you will not be able to relate to people around you, or even understand yourself. It's an isolated hell that I don't want to even imagine. You can be surrounded by the entire world, but you will always feel alone, even on your interior.
This is why people flee a guilty conscience, often why even murderers turn themselves in or leave clues hoping to get caught. They want that part back after realizing what they have lost. Often, they will even yearn for punishment, feeling that in making a penance perhaps their soul will be redeemed.
Some even take their own lives over this, it is that strong of a force, much like an open punch, when you commit a crime that cannot be reversed, the force of your bloodied hand will ultimately come towards yourself -- inwards.
This is why you'll often see us get enraged when someone harms a small or helpless animal. This is a transference of empathy and a detection of a dangerous person. You see, these animals cannot respond back to whatever we do to them. It's much like an empty punch. None of us could forgive ourselves if we harmed them.
So when we see someone actively harming such animals, that have largely entrusted their safety unto us, we do get enraged for them. We become that inwards force, socially.
It's not "weird", it's actually perfectly predictable given how we think at a fundamental level: a person without empathy is a danger to the rest of us. They must be removed from society for our safety. They'd have no qualms about running us over or murdering us later.
In our experience, quite often, those who harm animals end up turning into sociopaths, serial murderer and worse. I've been to enough third world locations to see the lack of empathy and respect shown towards animals and for me, it is the main litmus test for the true value of a people.