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May 24, 2023 23 tweets 7 min read Read on X
1/ Anti-Ukrainian paranoia has effectively resulted in the colours yellow and blue being banned in Russia, with objects – and even people – wearing those colours being removed or covered up. Items affected have included hair, clothes, crests, buildings, and artworks. ⬇️ Image
2/ The anti-yellow and blue hysteria isn't officially sanctioned. The State Duma's Deputy Speaker, Vladislav Davankov, has asked the Interior Ministry "to bring clarity and publish a clarification that the combination of yellow and blue is not grounds for cases and detentions".
3/ Devankov commented: "Patriotic vigilantism reaches the point of absurdity ... If it continues in this vein, soon we'll start shooting blue tits in Russia, hundreds of brands will have to be shut down for their yellow and blue logos, ... Image
4/ ... and at least one political party – the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia – will be banned. Obviously, this path is absurd."

This thread compiles cases of action being taken against yellow and blue in Russia. I'll add to it progressively as more cases come to light.
5/ 🔺 A Hindu man in Moscow was arrested for wearing yellow trousers with a blue top. His trousers were confiscated and he was sent for trial, as was a janitor arrested for wearing a blue and yellow jacket.
7/ 🔺 A headteacher in the Khanty-Mansiysk Autonomous Okrug reported a schoolgirl to the police for wearing blue and lime-green (not yellow!) braids. They investigated her mother for "non-fulfillment of parental duties" but did not pursue the case.
t.me/horizontal_rus…
8/ 🔺 Yellow and blue public benches in Bryansk were repainted overnight after residents complained on social media.
t.me/horizontal_rus…
9/ 🔺 A yellow & blue painted apartment block in Susuman in the Magadan region was repainted in orange after a resident complained: "Tomorrow this picture will be on the front page of some ghoul news with a headline that the residents ... support Ukraine".
t.me/horizontal_rus…
10/🔺 A nine-year-old boy in the Kirov region was beaten up for using a yellow and blue inflatable plastic sledge.
t.me/pdmnews/56487
11/🔺 The College of National Economy and Environmental Engineering in the Kaluga region refused to repaint the walls of its gym after complaints that they should be in "more patriotic colours".
t.me/pdmnews/52328
12/ 🔺 A man on a Moscow region train pulled a yellow and blue backpack off a young boy, telling him, "What is this, Ukraine? These cunts shouldn't give it to us."
pdmnews.ru/26850/
13/ 🔺 The yellow and blue seats in the Tuymaada football stadium in Yakutsk were all ripped out and are to be replaced with ones in the colours of the Russian flag.
t.me/pdmnews/48252
14/🔺 Khrabrovo airport in Kaliningrad has replaced its yellow-and-blue logo. The yellow in the logo, which was meant to represent the sun, has been changed to red.
pdmnews.ru/25599/
15/🔺 Outraged residents in Krasnoyarsk forced a local maintenance company to repaint yellow and blue concrete curbs, although it had used the same colours for years.
t.me/pdmnews/48696
16/ 🔺 Police in Moscow apparently confused the yellow-and-blue flag of the Russian republic of Tuva with that of Ukraine and refused to allow a Tuvan politician to display it in public.
t.me/pdmnews/50505
17/ 🔺 New Year's festive installations in Rostov-on-Don, painted in yellow, blue and red – the region's traditional colours - were repainted after residents complained that they looked like "khokhol [Ukrainian] flags".
t.me/horizontal_rus…
18/🔺 A yellow and blue sculpture of a rhino, installed by an Ulan-Ude art museum in 2020 in colours evoking "the sun and sky", was repainted in grey in May 2022.
t.me/horizontal_rus…
19/ 🔺 The Soviet-era yellow and blue crest of Murmansk's coat of arms was painted over in April 2023, as was the side of an apartment block painted in the same traditional regional colours.
t.me/horizontal_rus…
20/ 🔺 The yellow in the yellow-and-blue painted facade of a Kirov apartment block was painted over in red in order to "denazify" it.
t.me/horizontal_rus…
21/ 🔺Man arrested in Leningrad region for displaying the yellow and blue flag of the Russian Air Force:
22/ 🔺 A 50 cm high fence in Cherbarkul, painted in blue and yellow, was repainted in red when a neighbour complained after the paint was renewed. "For two years she looked at the fence with hatred from her window."
t.me/sotaproject/56…
23/🔺A politician in the Khanty-Mansiysk Autonomous Okrug complained about the "yellow and blue" lighting of a public artwork, blaming the colours on the British technicians who installed it, but was informed that it was actually blue and green. t.me/astrapress/283…
24/ 🔺 Singing toy sheep in Ukrainian folk costume mistaken for a bomb in Buryatia.

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More from @ChrisO_wiki

May 5
1/ The world is very rapidly running out of refined fuel due to the Strait of Hormuz blockade, according to a new Goldman Sachs report, with only 45 days' worth of stockpiles of jet fuel, naphtha, and LPG remaining. Rationing, surcharges, and mass cancellations are forecast. ⬇️ Image
2/ A research note authored by Goldman Sachs strategists Yulia Zhestkova Grigsby and Daan Struyven has examined the impact of Middle East disruptions on refined product markets, finding that jet fuel and diesel are being hit far harder than crude oil.
3/ The analysts estimate that about 101 days' worth of usable global oil stocks remain in stockpiles. (While more oil than that is stockpiled, it can't all be used, as the JP Morgan report summarised below explains.)
Read 25 tweets
May 5
1/ Russia's (allegedly) most incompetent general says he plans to stand for election in Tatarstan as a candidate for Vladimir Putin's United Russia party. Russian warbloggers are unimpressed at Colonel General Alexander Lapin's continued failure upward. ⬇️ Image
2/ Lapin has repeatedly been dismissed from his positions since the start of the Ukraine war, and has attracted a great deal of criticism – likely justified – for his failures in command. Now retired, this unpopularity has not stopped him from declaring his candidacy:
3/ "At this stage in my life, I have a great desire to serve my multinational people, to defend the interests of my small homeland, to help people, to fight for truth, to fight for justice, to defend the interests of our republic and, as a whole, our great Motherland – Russia."
Read 24 tweets
May 4
1/ Oil prices will rise to at least $140 per barrel by June if the Strait of Hormuz is not reopened by July, and will not return to pre-Iran War levels before 2028 even in a best-case scenario, predicts Goldman Sachs. It warns of price surges and major economic impacts. ⬇️ Image
2/ A new report from Goldman Sachs predicts that 14.5 million barrels per day of production have been lost in April 2026. Global stockpiles are being drained at a record 11-12 mb/d which, as JP Morgan has noted, risks a cliff-edge drop in oil supplies.
3/ The longer the blockade continues, the worse the damage becomes. Goldman predicts that in all but the best-case scenario, there will be permanent reductions ("scarring") in Gulf oil production of between 0.5 mb/d and 2.5 mb/d.
Read 25 tweets
May 3
1/ This is what $200 per barrel of oil would mean for US gas prices, which currently average $4.30 per gallon. It could go much higher. As one analyst says, once oil stockpiles are functionally exhausted by the end of May, "price increases become exponential rather than linear." Image
2/ The exponential point is reached at $250 per barrel, which is well within the range of realistic possibilities predicted by many analysts. Linearity breaks down because of:
3/ ♦️ Refinery margin blowouts — refineries pass through higher feedstock costs at elevated rates under stress

♦️ Speculation and panic premiums — markets take fright and price in fear, not just fundamentals
Read 19 tweets
May 2
1/ The world faces a catastrophic cliff-edge shortage of oil due to the Strait of Hormuz blockade in the next four weeks, analysts warn. This will cause a deep recession, fuel rationing, the shutdown of entire industries, and oil prices potentially as high as $370 per barrel. ⬇️ Image
2/ A month ago, JP Morgan published a report highlighting that the last oil shipments from the Persian Gulf countries would be delivered by 20th April. That date has come and gone, and oil shipments via the Strait of Hormuz have not resumed.
3/ Limited amounts of Gulf oil have continued to be pumped via pipelines to ports on the Red Sea and Arabian Sea. However, instead of producing enough oil supply to meet global demand, the world has been relying on emergency stockpiles. Image
Read 26 tweets
May 2
1/ Russia faces being surrounded by Europe's mightiest power - the United Kingdom. In a commentary that highlights Russian nationalists' peculiar obsession with Britain, a warblogger predicts doom unless a military alliance is formed with China, North Korea, and Iran. ⬇️ Image
2/ 'Tungsten' writes:

""Azerbaijan, right next door, is beginning joint production with Ukraine of anti-drone systems, FPV drones, and naval unmanned aerial vehicles.

Britain's southern thrust is on our North Caucasus through Armenia."
3/ "Norway, Denmark, and Sweden, together with Ukraine, will begin producing air defence systems and equipment for combat operations in the Arctic and North Atlantic, along the border with Russia, starting in June of this year.
Read 6 tweets

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