Elmustek Profile picture
May 24, 2023 9 tweets 4 min read Read on X
So because everyone seems to write about the losses at the Grayvoron Border Crossing I thought I'll give my opinion on it/ how I view it

After taking a closer look I have different views about this than in my previous posts.

So lets start with the AMZ Dzik
It seems it was the first Vehicle abandoned here, as you can see it already abandoned when the RVC (Russian Volunteer Corps) move into the Bordercrossing (Red Circle) Image
It was later again filmed by a drone:
Abandoned but still intact ImageImage
And lastly it was filmed again by a news crew yesterday, but this time with visible damage to the back
In my opinion it was abandoned because of an mechanical issue and the damage was done by the RVC to prevent usage by Russia or by Russia for the news team Image
The M1152A HMMWV and the Isuzu TF still very clear, they were both destroyed in an Airstrike ImageImageImage
The 2x M1151 HMMWV:
My guess is the one with camo got stuck while driving through and the green broke through when the back axle hit the logs. And so the top went up and they were unable to recover it ImageImageImageImage
The KrAZ Cobra:
Im unsure about this so its only speculating
I dont know where it was destroyed, but im no longer thinking that it was destroyed in the Airstrike that took out the M1152 HMMWV, judging by the 2nd picture. ImageImage
So in conclusion I believe that these losses are all genuine.
The only questionable thing is the AMZ Dzik, because its unclear how and why it received the damage
I tried to geolocate the losses the best I could and both airstrikes that went down inside the crossing are nowhere near to be the cause of the damage Image

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More from @elmustek

Feb 10
Vehicle ID Thread No.27:
From a Russian Supplyroad supposedly near Pokrovsk.

First we start with the most interesting Vehicle, which ironically only appears at the end:

A Moskvich-2140 Sturm Image
A total of 6x UAZ-469, 3151, Hunter are shown

(5x Destroyed, 1x Still in use) Image
Image
Image
Image
Interestingly this one appears to have white markings.
Either Snow Camo or Parade Markings imo. Image
Read 13 tweets
Jan 4
A small thread on what i call Sturm Vehicles in Ukraine:

Russia tries to overcome Ukrainian Defenses/Reach them, with multiple tactics. One of them is Speed over Protection. Image
To achieve the speed they resort to using unarmored civilian Vehicles, converted to carry a maximum of troops and to be quick and easy to dismount.

Naturally UTVs and Pickups come to mind regarding this.
For one Russians use their Desertcross 1000-3 UTVs, cheap and durable Chinese made UTVs available in large numbers.
Seats for 3 People, Russians manage to get 6+ People in them though. These are frequently seen during these assaults. Image
Image
Read 12 tweets
Mar 31, 2024
A small Thread about Vans, Pickups, SUV etc most commonly seen with Russian Armed forces.
Also a small note: Its IMO almost impossible for Russians to run out of these cheap vehicles. Image
1. UAZ-452/3741/2206/3909/3909i/3962/39625 etc.
The UAZ-452 was manufactured from 1965 to 1985.
Since 1985 the successor the UAZ-3741 is build, which we see commonly with Russian Armed Forces. Image
Also commonly seen are UAZ-2206 Minibusses, UAZ-3909 "Farmer" Combi-Vans, UAZ-3909i Military Ambulance, UAZ-3962 Tabletka Ambulances
Both Civilian Donated and offically in Russian Service Image
Read 20 tweets
May 24, 2023
There is the claim by some towtruck driver that says that these 2 losses are faked and since so many people believe this bullshit i want to say a few things on why this is bullshit in my opinion

Image
No.1:
The Tires have no dirt in them.

I have multiple problems with that claim:

1st the area of the crossing is pretty dry, with almost no mud

This is clearly visible on the AMZ Dzik, but i can claim many things, so take a picture from Bakhmut as reference ImageImage
Another thing:
HMMWVs have, like every Wheeled Military Vehicle, Offroad Tires that are selfcleaning.

Because they loose their grip if they are full of dirt. Image
Read 8 tweets
May 24, 2023
Another Video was posted by the RSF of the Captured Depot
Note that the BTR-3 in the new video havent yet been destroyed, so it was filmed before the last video
One more previously unseen T-55A was destroyed Image
The BTR-70MB1 that I labeled as Captured seems to be burned out too Image
Read 5 tweets
May 18, 2023
An indepth look into the Usage of the UAZ-452 in the Russian Armed Forces: Image
The UAZ-452 is, together with the GAZ Gazelle, the most observed Van in the Russian Army in Ukraine.
Most wellknown by its nickname Bukhanka (Loaf of bread) or the Scooby Doo Van. Image
But this nickname doesnt apply to all of its Variants, for example the Ambulance Version UAZ-3962 "Tabletka" (Pill) or the UAZ-3303 Truck "Golovastik" (Tadpole) ImageImage
Read 19 tweets

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