Elmustek Profile picture
May 24 9 tweets 4 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
So because everyone seems to write about the losses at the Grayvoron Border Crossing I thought I'll give my opinion on it/ how I view it

After taking a closer look I have different views about this than in my previous posts.

So lets start with the AMZ Dzik
It seems it was the first Vehicle abandoned here, as you can see it already abandoned when the RVC (Russian Volunteer Corps) move into the Bordercrossing (Red Circle) Image
It was later again filmed by a drone:
Abandoned but still intact ImageImage
And lastly it was filmed again by a news crew yesterday, but this time with visible damage to the back
In my opinion it was abandoned because of an mechanical issue and the damage was done by the RVC to prevent usage by Russia or by Russia for the news team Image
The M1152A HMMWV and the Isuzu TF still very clear, they were both destroyed in an Airstrike ImageImageImage
The 2x M1151 HMMWV:
My guess is the one with camo got stuck while driving through and the green broke through when the back axle hit the logs. And so the top went up and they were unable to recover it ImageImageImageImage
The KrAZ Cobra:
Im unsure about this so its only speculating
I dont know where it was destroyed, but im no longer thinking that it was destroyed in the Airstrike that took out the M1152 HMMWV, judging by the 2nd picture. ImageImage
So in conclusion I believe that these losses are all genuine.
The only questionable thing is the AMZ Dzik, because its unclear how and why it received the damage
I tried to geolocate the losses the best I could and both airstrikes that went down inside the crossing are nowhere near to be the cause of the damage Image

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More from @elmustek

May 24
There is the claim by some towtruck driver that says that these 2 losses are faked and since so many people believe this bullshit i want to say a few things on why this is bullshit in my opinion

Image
No.1:
The Tires have no dirt in them.

I have multiple problems with that claim:

1st the area of the crossing is pretty dry, with almost no mud

This is clearly visible on the AMZ Dzik, but i can claim many things, so take a picture from Bakhmut as reference ImageImage
Another thing:
HMMWVs have, like every Wheeled Military Vehicle, Offroad Tires that are selfcleaning.

Because they loose their grip if they are full of dirt. Image
Read 8 tweets
May 24
Another Video was posted by the RSF of the Captured Depot
Note that the BTR-3 in the new video havent yet been destroyed, so it was filmed before the last video
One more previously unseen T-55A was destroyed Image
The BTR-70MB1 that I labeled as Captured seems to be burned out too Image
Read 5 tweets
May 18
An indepth look into the Usage of the UAZ-452 in the Russian Armed Forces: Image
The UAZ-452 is, together with the GAZ Gazelle, the most observed Van in the Russian Army in Ukraine.
Most wellknown by its nickname Bukhanka (Loaf of bread) or the Scooby Doo Van. Image
But this nickname doesnt apply to all of its Variants, for example the Ambulance Version UAZ-3962 "Tabletka" (Pill) or the UAZ-3303 Truck "Golovastik" (Tadpole) ImageImage
Read 19 tweets
May 17
Car ID No.17 from Ukraine:
Thanks @aloha9916 for sending me the Pictures
1. A Destroyed Lada Niva, unclear which Edition (Wikipedia calls it 2129) Image
2. Uparmored UAZ-23632 questionable if the thin sheets of metal really add any extra protection Image
3. Probably a Lada 2115-40, but im not 100% sure ImageImage
Read 14 tweets
May 9
Russian Parade 2023 Vehicle ID and Count.

Why? Dont know to be honest... Image
1. 2x Aurus Senat Image
2. 18x 57mm M1943/ ZiS-2 AT-Guns Image
Read 13 tweets
May 7
Sudan Crisis 2023 Losses from 07.05.2023

RSF Losses:

1x Toyota Landcruiser Technical Captured by Sudan
1x BTR-70MB1 Destroyed ImageImage
Sudan Losses:
All Losses are from an captured Assembly Line, so it is doubtful/unclear if they are actually usuable/ ready for combat.

12x Sarsar-2 Hulls Captured by RSF (But Probably around 30, judging by 5 Hulls in a Row and 6 Rows visible in the video) ImageImageImageImage
Image
Read 8 tweets

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