dave lawrence 🐟🐟🐠 Profile picture
May 24 40 tweets 19 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
THREAD
All Conservative MPs not standing in next GE
#ToriesOut321 #SunakOut212 #GeneralElectionNow
#Sunackered

1. George Eustice, 51.
Majority in Camborne and Redruth: 8,700
LABOUR TARGET ImageImage
2. Mark Pawsey, 65.
Majority in Rugby: 13,447.
LABOUR TARGET ImageImage
3. Sajid Javid, 52.
Majority in Bromsgrove: 23,106.
LABOUR TARGET (UNLIKELY) ImageImage
4. Douglas Ross, 39.
Majority in Moray: 513.
SNP TARGET ImageImage
5. Dehenna Davison, 29.
Majority in Bishop Auckland: 7,962.
LABOUR TARGET ImageImage
6. William Wragg, 34.
Majority in Hazel Grove: 4,423.
LIB DEM TARGET ImageImage
7. Chloe Smith, 40.
Majority in Norwich North: 4,738.
LABOUR TARGET ImageImage
8. Chris Skidmore, 41.
Majority in Kingswood: 11,220.
LABOUR TARGET ImageImage
9. Andrew Percy, 45.
Majority in Brigg and Goole: 21,941
LABOUR TARGET (UNLIKELY) ImageImage
10. Charles Walker, 55.
Majority in Broxbourne: 19,807
LABOUR TARGET (UNLIKELY) ImageImage
11. Nigel Adams, 55.
Majority in Selby and Ainsty: 20,137
LABOUR TARGET (UNLIKELY) ImageImage
12. Adam Afriye, 57.
Majority in Windsor: 20,079
LIB DEM TARGET (UNLIKELY) ImageImage
13. Crispin Blunt, 62.
Majority in Reigate: 18,310
LABOUR TARGET (UNLIKELY) ImageImage
14. Mike Penning, 65.
Majority in Hemel Hempstead: 14,563
LABOUR TARGET (UNLIKELY) ImageImage
15. Gary Streeter, 67.
Majority in South West Devon: 21,430
LABOUR TARGET (UNLIKELY) ImageImage
16. Matt Hancock, 44.
Majority in West Suffolk: 23,194
CON HOLD (LIKELY) ImageImage
17. Edward Timpson, 49.
Majority in Eddisbury: 18,443.
LABOUR TARGET (UNLIKELY) ImageImage
18. Jo Gideon, 70.
Majority in Stoke-on-Trent: 670
LABOUR TARGET ImageImage
19. Nadine Dorries, 65.
Majority in Mid-Bedfordshire: 24,664.
LABOUR TARGET (UNLIKELY) ImageImage
20. Paul Beresford, 76.
Majority in Mole Valley: 12,041.
LIB DEM TARGET ImageImage
21. Stephen McPartland, 46.
Majority in Stevenage: 8,562.
LABOUR TARGET ImageImage
22. Robin Walker, 44.
Majority in Worcester: 6,758.
LABOUR TARGET ImageImage
23. Sir Graham Brady, 55.
Majority in Altrincham and Sale West: 6,139.
LABOUR TARGET ImageImage
24. Pauline Latham, 75.
Majority in Mid Derbyshire: 15,385.
LABOUR TARGET (UNLIKELY) - possible Lord Frost seat ImageImage
25. Nicola Richards, 28,
Majority in West Bromwich East: 1,593.
LABOUR TARGET ImageImage
26. Stuart Anderson, 46,
Majority in Wolverhampton South West: 1,661.
LABOUR TARGET ImageImage
27. Gordon Henderson, 75,
Majority in Sittingbourne & Sheppey: 24,479
CON HOLD LIKELY ImageImage
28. Henry Smith, 53,
Majority in Crawley: 8,360.
LABOUR TARGET ImageImage
29. John Howell, 67,
Majority in Henley: 14,023
LIB DEM TARGET ImageImage
30. Julian Knight, 51,
Majority in Solihull: 21,273.
LABOUR TARGET (UNLIKELY) ImageImage
31. Chris Pincher, 53,
Majority in Tamworth: 19,634
CON HOLD EXPECTED ImageImage
32. Matthew Offord, 53,
Majority in Hendon: 4,230
LABOUR TARGET ImageImage
33. Craig Whittaker, 60,
Majority in Calder Valley: 5,774
LABOUR TARGET ImageImage
34. Jonathan Djanogly, 57,
Majority in Huntingdon: 19,383
LABOUR TARGET (UNLIKELY) ImageImage
35. Alister Jack, 59,
Majority in Dumfries and Galloway: 1,805.
SNP TARGET ImageImage
36. Robert Goodwill, 66,
Majority in Scarborough and Whitby: 10,270
LABOUR TARGET ImageImage
37. Richard Bacon, 60,
Majority in South Norfolk: 21,275.
CON HOLD EXPECTED ImageImage
38. Philip Dunne, 64,
Majority in Ludlow: 23,648
CON HOLD EXPECTED ImageImage
39. Dominic Raab, 49,
Majority in Esher and Walton: 2,743
LIB DEM TARGET ImageImage
40. Andrew Bridgen 58
Majority in North West Leicestershire 20400
RECLAIM TARGET 🤣🤣🤣 ImageImage

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More from @dave43law

Mar 23
New rules for parents of young children sneaked in through the budget but not mentioned.
Massive increase in work commitments and threats of loss of benefit
Children it appears should not be with parents
#ToriesOut259 #SunakOut150 #GeneralElectionNow
theguardian.com/society/2023/m…
2/
The changes, to be introduced this financial year, apply to parents who are the family’s lead carer – the vast majority of whom are women.

The government says it could dock benefits unless parents:
3/
Are available for work up to 30 hours a week once their youngest child turns three, nearly double the current requirement of 16 hours.
Read 5 tweets
Mar 21
🚨🚨BREAKING🚨🚨

The Johnson defence document in full
He essentially pleads ignorance
#Toriesout257 #SunakOut148 #GeneralElectionNow

committees.parliament.uk/writtenevidenc…
"It is of course true that my statements to Parliament that the Rules and Guidance had been followed at all times did not turn out to be correct, and I take this
opportunity to apologise to the House for that.
That is clear from the findings in the Sue Gray report, and the result of the Metropolitan Police investigation, which I accept. "

(That is an admission that he did not correct the record when able in the House - as far as I read it)
Read 6 tweets
Mar 20
1/ Could be a significant few weeks ahead
- DUP and likely ERG will vote against Windsor Framework
- a relaunch of ReformUK asking Tories to join them
- Partygate the gift that keeps on giving
- Polls that show Tories flailing whatever they announce
#ToriesOut256 #SunakOut147
2/
- Johnson guilty verdict likely
- Local elections May 4th
- Increasing splits in the Tories

Take all of that together - especially Reform aiming to wipe the Tories out and you have a situation where some who think it likely to lose their seats could defect
3/
If they think all is lost, that Brexit is not as they wished, Budget has not worked in their favour, Johnson is facing suspension and there is wipeout on ay 4th it is feasible a number will choose to jump ship.
Read 4 tweets
Mar 18
Boris Johnson’s ‘bombshell’ that will ‘exonerate him from partygate’
PM set to unleash ‘defence dossier’ that will he believes will debunk claims he deliberately misled Parliament, say allies
#ToriesOUT254 #SunakOut145
Boris Johnson is preparing to unveil “bombshell” evidence that he believes will exonerate him over partygate, according to his allies.

Ahead of a grilling by the House of Commons privileges committee on Wednesday, the former prime minister’s legal team is finalising its defence
to claims that he knowingly and deliberately misled MPs about lockdown-breaking parties in Downing Street.

His “bombshell defence dossier”, as his friends call it, will include messages from Mr Johnson’s advisers sent shortly before he spoke in Parliament advising him
Read 16 tweets
Mar 17
Dominic Raab
"“Anyone involved in the inquiry who is commenting to the media anonymously or otherwise is breaching the rules and as a matter of basic professional integrity, I’m not going to do that,”
Change of behaviour.....
#ToriesOut253 #SunakOut144
belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/uk/raab-i…
10th Feb 2023 to Telegraph - denies allegations
lbc.co.uk/news/dominic-r…
16th Nov - article where he denied bullying at PMQs
dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1…
Read 4 tweets
Mar 5
A leaked cache of government messages has revealed how Simon Case, the current head of the Civil Service, said to Matt Hancock the public needed to be told to isolate by “trusted local figures, not nationally distrusted figures like the PM”.
#ToriesOut241
telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/03/0…
The description of Mr Johnson is likely to be embarrassing for the Cabinet Secretary and potentially the former prime minister, whose character is being questioned - and who appointed Mr Case to his position.
#ToriesOut241 #SunakOut132 #GeneralElectionNow
#EnoughIsEnough
The conversation between the then health secretary and Mr Case took place on Oct 30 2020, as the Government was expanding its testing capability.
Read 7 tweets

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