Institute for the Study of War Profile picture
May 27, 2023 7 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Continued successful limited Ukrainian counterattacks on #Bakhmut’s flanks may complicate the Russian relief-in-place operation in Bakhmut. isw.pub/UkrWar052623 ImageImageImage
2/ Russian milbloggers claimed that Ukrainian forces conducted successful counterattacks near Orikhovo-Vasylivka (11km northwest of #Bakhmut) and Klishchiivka (7km southwest of Bakhmut). ImageImage
3/ A prominent milblogger claimed that Ukrainian counterattacks near Orikhovo-Vasylivka caused elements of the “Veterany” private military company (PMC) to retreat up to a kilometer from their previously held positions in the area.
4/ Milbloggers claimed that Ukrainian forces captured elevated positions along the E40 (#Bakhmut to Slovyansk) highway near Orikhovo-Vasylivka and that fighting is ongoing in the area. Image
5/ A Russian milblogger claimed that Ukrainian forces advanced towards Klishchiivka and crossed the Siverskyi Donets Canal, possibly threatening to encircle the settlement and force Russian forces to retreat towards the east. Image
6/ Geolocated footage published on May 24 and 25 indicates that Russian forces likely regained limited positions west of Klishchiivka, however.
7/ ISW has previously assessed that Russian forces may struggle to conduct a relief in place of #Wagner forces in #Bakhmut, and successful limited and localized Ukrainian counterattacks will likely complicate their ability to do so. isw.pub/UkrWar052623 Image

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More from @TheStudyofWar

Aug 24
NEW: Ukrainian forces continued to marginally advance near Sudzha amid continued Ukrainian operations in Kursk Oblast on August 23.

Russian forces recently advanced near Kreminna, Toretsk, Pokrovsk, and Donetsk City.

More Key Takeaways ⬇️🧵(1/7)Image
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2/ Ukrainian officials continue to highlight how Ukrainian forces can leverage tactical and technological advantages to offset Russian materiel advantages.
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Aug 23
NEW: Ukrainian forces marginally advanced throughout their salient in Kursk Oblast on August 22.

The Russian military command recently redeployed elements of at least one Russian airborne (VDV) regiment from western Zaporizhia Oblast in response to Ukraine’s incursion into Kursk Oblast, possibly in an effort to stabilize the lines and improve command and control (C2) over Russian conscripts. 🧵(1/5)Image
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Aug 22
NEW: Iranian interest in the progress of Gaza Strip ceasefire-hostage negotiations suggests that elements of the Iranian regime are likely delaying a retaliatory strike on Israel until ceasefire talks conclude. 🧵(1/8) Image
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Aug 22
Exploiting Russian Vulnerabilities: A Strategy of Persistence and Momentum

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2/ Western strategy should focus not only on imposing multiple dilemmas on the Kremlin but also on imposing the most painful ones.

First, Russia’s military failures are a lynchpin that makes other actions to degrade Russia’s military capability more effective.
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Aug 22
Ukrainian forces continued offensive operations throughout the Kursk Oblast salient on August 21 and have made additional marginal advances.

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Aug 21
Donetsk Oblast: Russian forces recently advanced near Toretsk, Pokrovsk, and Donetsk City. 🧵(1/5)Image
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2/ Russian forces advanced east and southeast of Toretsk amid continued offensive operations in the area on August 20. Geolocated footage published on August 20 indicates that Russian forces recently advanced along Tsentralna and Molodizhna streets in northwestern and western Pivnichne (east of Toretsk).

Additional geolocated footage published on August 14 and 18 indicates that Russian forces recently advanced in northwestern and western Zalizne (east of Toretsk) and have seized the Artem Mine's waste heap (on the western outskirts of Zalizne).

Ukrainian outlet Ukrainska Pravda reported that sources within the leadership of a Ukrainian brigade operating in the Toretsk direction stated that Ukrainian forces still "control" around 20 percent of Niu York, but that Russian forces are advancing in the area.

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3/ Russian forces recently marginally advanced east of Pokrovsk amid continued offensive operations in the area on August 20. Geolocated footage published on August 20 indicates that Russian forces recently advanced within southeastern Hrodivka (east of Pokrovsk).
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