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Amid optimism about the forthcoming offensive and the future UKR joining NATO, the West is losing in UKR and on the world stage.
Weapons win wars. Putin’s weapons are bombs delivered to UKR from distant sanctuary airports and launch sites, mass cannon fodder, and a primitive but enduring economy.
China is helping Putin economically and diplomatically to humiliate the US and NATO, making self-isolated from West Russia a cheap game full of resources.
Putin’s strategy is a war of attrition and an incremental slicing of UKR territory.
NATO's strategy is to stay as long as it takes in the hope of negotiated settlement.
A negotiated settlement is, by definition, something less than the already existent negotiated settlement of UKR – Russia border defined in 2003 treaty signed by Putin.
Restoration of this border is the definition of the defeat of the invasion and the fair settlement ending the war under international norms established and supported by the US and the West.
The US and NATO weapons are superior and could do the job, but they are not given to UKR in quantity and especially the quality required to defeat Russia's invasion.
The only reason why a stronger West yield to a weaker Russia is its bow to Putin’s nuclear blackmail, which, if successful in UKR, would be repeated by any nuclear-armed adversary anywhere.
As UKR will lose chunks of territory, the West will lose credibility and global influence favoring Russia, China, and undemocratic forces.
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