90% of day traders are LOSS MAKING because of not FOLLOWING THE TREND.
Its not their mistake because no-one taught them HOW TO TRADE WITH THE TREND.
Here is a FREE COURSE (sold for 50,000₹ online) that will help you catch the RIGHT STOCKS in Markets. twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Trading against the trend, without a trend, or poor quality trends are one of the most common reasons for trade failure. The quality or strong trends have more predictable success (edge).
Accumulation Market :
Normal or narrow range candle
Both mix the green and red candle
Low volume
Take more time
Price in a tight range
Uptrend Market :
Smart money aggressively moving prices up. The advancing phase is essentially an uptrend with prices making higher highs and lows. Market move in up and downswing.
Downtrend Market :
SM will take advantage of the higher prices obtained in the rally to take profits by beginning to sell the stock back to the uninformed traders/investors
Now that we know that there are 4 types of market. Let us analyze how do we do multi timeframe analysis.
Multi time frame analysis is nothing but Top to Bottom Analysis of any chart.
So lets dig in the charts and see how we can make a strategy out of it.
Prices are fractal in nature, there will always be a law of average. What goes up has to come down, what comes down has to go up.
Prices also have the feature that what reflects on HTF will reflect on LTF.
Lets us take an example where we see chart of #BEL
This is a weekly chart of BEL where we can clearly see its in an uptrend. What do we do in up trending stocks ?
We look for buying opportunities. In the next tweet i will show you how to used daily and 15 min charts to enter.
Multiple breakouts on Daily were spotted which helped us enter in this stock on every breakout.
There are two major rules for multiple timeframe analysis:
Larger Timeframes provide a clean picture.
Reversals start from the smaller timeframes first and propagate upwards.
NAVIN monthly and daily and hourly chart for understanding.
HOW TO USE MULTIPLE TIME FRAMES?
Use 1:
We will be able to differentiate a “pullback” on the smaller time frame chart vs. the beginning of a correction in the larger time frame.
Use 2:
We will be able to read the “smaller” timeframes to see when that pullback is about to reverse. This will help us time our entries better.
Advantages of using multiple time frames :
Micro view of HTF and Macro view of LTF
Better entries
Helps ride a bigger trend
I hope this thread added some value to your trading, we will be posting more such threads (twice or thrice a week)
It takes efforts to make these so do like and retweet this below tweet :
#Darvas Box is used by 99% of stock traders in the world.
It is the simplest strategy of buy and hold.
But most people still don't know how to use it.
Here are 10 basics everyone should know:
Darvas Box is named after Nicolas Darvas, a dancer, and self-taught investor.
He discovered "Box Theory" after gaining experience from the market and he believed that the shares which move up and down the chart move in a specific box pattern.
There are some conditions of using Darvas Box and we will discuss only the buy strategy:
⚡️ Stock should be trading near all-time high levels
⚡️ Fundamentals of the company should be good
⚡️ Volumes play a crucial role
🧵 Here is Why Indian Chemical Stocks are Poised for a Bull Run:
A Detailed Analysis 🧵
[8 MULTI MONTH BREAKOUTS DISCUSSED IN THE END]
Credit : AMBIT ASSET MANAGEMENT
#ChemicalSector #BullRun #Investment #StockMarket
1/ 🚀 Historical Context: The Dream Run (FY17-22) The Indian chemical sector saw a dream run through FY17-22, with stocks rallying at a 48% CAGR compared to Nifty's 14% and Nifty 500’s 13%.
Key drivers included favorable global demand-supply dynamics, shutdown of Chinese capacities, India’s rising competitiveness, and increased R&D spending. This led to a significant re-rating of forward one-year PE ratios from 10x in 2013 to a peak of 46x.
- Origin: Charles Dow, co-founder of the Wall Street Journal and Dow Jones & Company, formulated Dow Theory in the late 19th century.
- Development: Dow's theory was based on his editorials in the Wall Street Journal where he analyzed the behavior of the stock market.
- Significance: This theory is the cornerstone of technical analysis, providing a systematic approach to understanding market trends and behaviors. It laid the groundwork for many other technical analysis theories.
2️⃣ Basic Principles of Dow Theory
- Market Discounts Everything: All available information, including news, earnings reports, and even future expectations, is already reflected in stock prices. Therefore, analyzing price movements alone can provide insights into market behavior.
- Three Trends:
- Primary Trends: Major movements lasting from months to years. They represent the overarching direction of the market.
- Secondary Trends: Intermediate corrections or reactions against the primary trend, lasting from weeks to a few months. They are often seen as pullbacks in an uptrend or rallies in a downtrend.
- Minor Trends: Short-term fluctuations lasting from days to a few weeks, often seen as noise within the larger trends.
- Trends Have Three Phases:
- Accumulation Phase: Informed investors start buying or selling stock against the prevailing trend.
- Public Participation Phase: The broader market catches on, and price movements become more pronounced.
- Distribution Phase: Informed investors begin to sell off their holdings to the less informed public, typically marking the end of the trend.
- Confirmation and Volume: A trend must be confirmed by price movements across major market indices and should be supported by trading volume.
- Trends Continue Until a Clear Reversal: Market trends are expected to persist until definitive signals indicate a reversal, even amidst temporary fluctuations.