Scientists investigate “the potential impact of #StratosphericAerosolIntervention (#SAI) on the spatiotemporal behavior of large-scale climate teleconnection patterns using simulations from the CESM1 & CESM2).”
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“The leading empirical orthogonal function of #SST anomalies indicates that #GHG forcing is accompanied by increases in variance across both the North Atlantic (i.e., AMO) & North Pacific (i.e., PDO) and a decrease over the tropical Pacific (i.e., ENSO),” researchers inferred. 2/
“The projected spatial patterns of SST anomaly related to ENSO show no significant change under either global warming or #StratosphericAerosolInjection (#SAI).”
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“In contrast, the spatial anomaly pattern changes pertaining to the AMO (i.e., in the North Atlantic) and PDO (i.e., in the North Pacific) under global warming are effectively suppressed by #StratosphericAerosolInjection (#SAI).”
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“For the AMO, the low contrast between the cold-tongue pattern and its surroundings in the North Atlantic, predicted under global warming, is restored under #SAI scenarios to similar patterns as in the historical period.”
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“The frequencies of El Niño and La Niña episodes modestly increase with GHG emissions in CESM2, while #StratosphericAerosolInjection (#SAI) tends to compensate for them.”
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“All climate indices' dominant modes of inter-annual variability are projected to be preserved in both warming & SAI scenarios. However, the dominant decadal variability mode changes in the AMO, NAO, and PDO induced by global warming are not suppressed by #SAI.”
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Read the scientific study entitled: "Changes in global teleconnection patterns under global warming and stratospheric aerosol intervention scenarios" here ⬇️ acp.copernicus.org/articles/23/58…
🚨A new study warns that efforts to cool the planet through stratospheric aerosol injection (#SAI) could face far greater challenges than models predict, from unpredictable monsoon shifts to material shortages & engineering limits, every step adds new risks.
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2/ The authors explore both micro-level (engineering) and macro-level (governance & supply) factors that could restrict feasible deployment.
Key finding: these constraints could drastically raise costs, risks, and uncertainty, especially for “solid” (non-sulfate) aerosols.
3/ Traditional SAI uses sulfate aerosols (like volcanoes).
But alternatives, CaCO₃, TiO₂, Al₂O₃, ZrO₂, even diamond, promise less ozone damage.
Yet producing, aerosolizing, and dispersing these solids in submicron form is technically daunting.
🚨French Academy of Sciences has released a new report on #SolarGeoengineering, stressing that the absolute priority must remain reducing GHG emissions via structural changes & accelerating adaptation to climate impacts.
On #SRM, the report offers several recommendations:🧵1/6
2/ SRM Recommendation 1️⃣
Promote an international agreement aimed at prohibit any initiative, public or private, to deploy SRM, regardless of the framework or scale.
To do this, the entire scientific community will have to be involved.
3/ SRM Recommendation 2️⃣
Support & deepen research on climate, atmospheric physicochemical processes and biodiversity in order to be able to rigorously assess the potential & risks of SRM.
🚨An analysis of forest-based projects funded through the sale of #CarbonCredits shows that 10% of them may have a net warming effect on the climate because of the way they alter the Earth’s #albedo, or how much sunlight is reflected back into space.
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2/ Albedo is how much sunlight Earth’s surface reflects vs. absorbs
Forests are darker than grass or snow, meaning they absorb more heat
So when grasslands or snowy areas are turned into forests, Earth’s surface can absorb more heat, partly cancelling out cooling effect of #CDR
3/ So, this study analyzed 172 Afforestation, Reforestation & Revegetation projects in the Voluntary Carbon Market - projects that collectively aim to deliver nearly 800 million tons of CDR over the next century.
But none of these projects’ standards account for albedo change.