NLwartracker Profile picture
May 28 5 tweets 2 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
1/3 Recently large numbers of tanks in the Pervomaiske area have been destroyed, also video's came out showing large numbers of assault forces (So-called SHO units) who surrender to 🇺🇦 forces.Another indication something was up in this area, the increased nr. of 🇺🇦 drone attacks Image
2/3 This could indicate part of the 🇷🇺 defensive lines around this part of the front might be weaker around Pervomais'ke then other parts, most likely also because units from this part were moved to support the 3rd army on the south flank of Bakhmut.
3/3 Today we learned that 🇷🇺 forces blew up the dam in the town of Karlivka, this dam not only holds the water in the Karlovska reservoir, but also a bridge on the E50 road toward Pervomais'ke, which is a main supply route for 🇺🇦 forces in the area.
4/4 By blowing the dam, also area's downstream of the Vocha river will be flooded, 🇷🇺 forces hope to hamper any advance in the area between the river and the town of Nevel's'ke, and stop any offensive actions toward the line west of pervomais'ke.Also since two days 🇷🇺 forces are Image
Launching offensive actions, most likely to obstruct any future 🇺🇦 offensive actions in this area. Also there are reports of VDV units moving toward Pervomais'ke to strenghten defenses here, which will in turn will weaken defenses in other part of the frontline.

#SlavaUkraïni

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More from @NLwartracker

May 19
1/3 Reliable sources on the ground near Soledar are reporting 🇷🇺 sapper units possible from 107th Seperate Guards Engineer-Sapper battalion, are activly mining roads leading out of Soledar. Several crossroads and fields have been mined with 100's of AT-62M mines. Image
2/3 This in it self can mean different things, either Russian & Wagner forces are preparing a retreat to more favourable defensive positions outside Soledar, or Russian forces are setting up obstacles to prevent the retreat of the Wagner forces stationed in Soledar.
3/3 In case of retreat of all forces from Soledar, the possibility is that they would fall back all the way to the defensive positions build a few months ago west of Popasna on the border between Luhansk & Donetsk. Time will tell when Soledar is liberated by 🇺🇦.
#SlavaUkraïni ImageImageImageImage
Read 4 tweets
May 18
1/6 Elements of the 10th Tank regiment part of the newly formed 3rd 🇷🇺 army corps, arrived around 13th of may in the area of the town of Odradivka (48.494300,38.014800). They had previously been deployed near Avdiivka, were they were involved a multiple failed frontal assaults Image
2/6 In which they suffered serious losses including most of their tanks and IFV's. They had been regrouping near the town of Lysychansk and seems to have been re-plenished with new mobik recruits from all over Russia but mostly recruits from Buryatia. ImageImage
3/6 Their arrival in the area south of Bakhmut is likely an attempt to stop Ukrainian advances in this area.The unit took up positions along the T0513 road between Odradivka and Optyne. Almost immediatly after their arrival shelling and drone attacks by 🇺🇦 forces took their toll. Image
Read 7 tweets
Feb 18
1/15 I have been working on unraveling the 🇷🇺 logistics networks in the Luhansk area since the beginning of jan. When different geolocated videos showed convoy's of armoured vehicles moving towards the frontlines in Luhansk & Donetsk

2/15 These convoy's peaked my interest, and since the 🇷🇺 logistics machine heavily relies on railway, the most obvious place to start is at the railway hubs it still can use in Luhansk. There are only a handfull which suits the need of the 🇷🇺 forces & are outside of HIMARS reach
3/15 in S Luhansk the railway route between the towns of Dovzhansk(Sverdlovsk) and Rovenky, has 4 stops that would be out of HIMARS reach, but only two of those are connected with the highways into Luhansk city and onto the frontlines.These are Dovzhansk (Sverdlovsk) and Rovenky
Read 15 tweets
Feb 13
Serveral 🇺🇦 sources report 🇷🇺 offensive actions NW of Svatove, Luhansk in the area of the town of Miasozharivka. This would line up with rumors about the 31st vdv being in the area since mid jan. Also would explain the heavy activity on the newest logistical route being used
since beginning of jan. From Rovenki and Rossosj along the highway to Novopskov and on to staroblisk & Svatove. Presumable elements of the 31st & 76th Airborne disivion have been spotted in the area around Svatove since 2 weeks and are leading the attack.
Indications could be that this might be the main axis of attack, despite the focus on Kreminna! As promised my 🧵 about the Luhansk logistics will be out soon. But i want it to be extensive, current and on the money so bare with me a little while longer please 🙏 #SlavaUkraïni
Read 5 tweets
Jan 20
1/11 thread on the changed logistics of the 🇷🇺 forces in S-Kherson after the retreat. unloading/storing of ammo within HIMARS range was prohibited by Surovikin. causing them to abbandon HUB's like Myrne (hit nov. 11th) & Chaplynka (heli base & c2 centre) animation by @bradyafr twitter.com/i/web/status/1… Image
2/11 This so-called 100 km rule made them look for alternatives, because of their dependance on railtransport their options in S-Kherson were limited to towns along the Crimea-Melitopol railway lines, which enters Ukraine at Chonhar.Along this line only 4 towns had the facilities ImageImage
3/11 to function as large supply Hubs. Novooleksiivka (which also connects with rail to Henichesk), Rykove, Sokolohirne and Yakimivka in Zaporizhia. Novooleksiivka as first town on the line also has a important road connection to Nova Khakova & rail connection to Heniche'sk. Image
Read 11 tweets

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