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Intelschizo

@Schizointel

May 11

Today's book recommendation
Solly Zuckerman's autobiography From Apes to Warlords where he talked about his service in WW2 as the Scientific Director of the British Bombing Survey Unit (BBSU) the creator of the Transportation Plan and doing Battle Damage Assessment of Allied bombing of Pantelleria 🇮🇹 during Operation Corkscrew.

Zuckerman's Transportation Plan had a simple objective cripple the German military's mobility by targeting critical components of the railway infrastructure.

The Transportation Plan was part of the shaping operations for D-Day which concentrated allied bombings of rail lines, marshalling yards, and locomotive repair facilities. The rationale was that by destroying these key elements, the German forces would be forced to rely more heavily on road transport, which was less efficient and more vulnerable to Allied attacks. This strategy was informed by his observations in Italy, where targeting rail infrastructure had significantly disrupted enemy logistics.

The transportation plan was enacted and as France was liberated along with Belgium treasure troves of German documents were captured describing the following with German logistics as a result of allied bombings during the transportation plan there was a overall 50% reduction in all rail traffic in the beginning of June 1944 increasing to 75% by July 30th 1944. In Northern France, rail traffic had decreased by 85% during the month of July.

To effectively disrupt the enemy’s movements, paralyze the railway system, the most economical means of transportation for any modern army. In particular, targeting locomotive hangars and repair shops to deprive the entire rail network which will force an enemy to use the road system. This results in a decisive waste of time equipment and fuel, along with exposing itself to air attacks

The strategic effect of destroying enemy railway communications is best achieved by attacks on large railway centres, containing large concentrations of locomotives and rolling stock. Secondary targets [railways, warehouses, repair sheds] are highly concentrated targets in these railway centres that are also susceptible to shelling. The high vulnerability of rolling stock to concentrated bombardment is partly explained by the indirect effects of bombs [fire spread, which greatly increase the direct effects...

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Intelschizo

@Schizointel

May 2

Overnight the vessel passenger vessel conscience was attacked by 2x OWA-UAV's 14 Nautical miles Northeast of Malta as part of a Freedom Flotilla to deliver supplies to Gaza from Tunisia. No injuries among passengers or crew. Fires were extinguished after 4 hours. Many online have been quick to blame this attack on Israel.

Israel does not possess any OWA-UAV's capable of reaching the ship from Israel.
Israel also does not have any UAVs capable of aerial refueling.
Israel also does not have any uavs capable of acting as a mothership to launch other drones.

With Israel physically lacking the capability to lob a drone 2000 km away. It is unlikely this drone attack was carried out by Israel.

The entities that could have conducted the attack are in Libya.

Libya does have OWA-UAV's and strike drones capable of carrying small bombs or rockets around 10kg warheads easily capable of reaching the vessel.

To clarify a bit more of the incident, there were 16 people on board at the time 12 crew and 4 passengers they were supposed to dock in Malta to pick up additional passengers to include
Greta Thunberg and retired US Army Colonel Mary Ann Wright

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Intelschizo

@Schizointel

Apr 15

This time 113 years ago Titanic has struck the iceberg and initial damage assessment concluded mail hold and forward compartments are found flooding rapidly. In the mailroom, clerks are trying to save letters and parcels. 6 of the watertight compartments compromised the ship was designed to survive no more than 4 being compromised.

Thomas Andrews one of Titanic's designers confirms to Captain Smith that Titanic can stay afloat no more than 1.5-2 hours.

Transmissions of a doomed ship

CQD DE MGY
CQD DE MGY
CQD DE MGY
CQD DE MGY
CQD DE MGY
CQD DE MGY
Position 41.44 N 50.24 W

Cape Race, Cape Cod, Along with other ships being Frankfurt, La Provence, Mount Temple, Ypiranga receive distress signals from Titanic

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Intelschizo

@Schizointel

Apr 10

So let's do a quick rundown of Patriots

A Patriot Battery is composed of

6-8x Launchers
1x Radar Set
1x Engagement Control Station
1x Electric Power Plant
1x Antenna Mast Group

Each launcher carries up to 4 PAC-2 missiles or 16 PAC-3 missiles

4-6x Batteries makes a Patriot Battalion

24-48x Launchers
4x Radar Set
4x Engagement Control Station
4x Electric Power Plant
4x Antenna Mast Group

Israel still has an additional 7x Patriot Batteries in storage

42-56x Launchers
7x Radar Set
7x Engagement Control Station
7x Electric Power Plant
7x Antenna Mast Group

This isn't including the 2 THAAD Batteries nor the 17 batteries of phase 3 Hawk that are in storage nor the 2 Batteries of Arrow nor the 2 Batteries of David Sling not the Air Defense from US Destroyer Squadron in the Eastern Mediterranean nor the Destroyer Squadron in the Red Sea nor the existing US Air defense network across CENTCOM.

The 7 Patriot batteries that Israel has in storage can very quickly be put back into action. They were only decommissioned last summer from active service.

The 17 Hawk Batteries would likely need a lot of work since they have been in storage for almost 2 decades though we don't know how much continual maintenance Israel has done with these over the years.

Saudi Arabia has
6x Patriot Battalions with 108x launchers.
16x I-Hawk Battalions with 128x launchers
1x THAAD Battery
12+ Batteries of Crotale/Shahine

Excluding the total of 618~ units between Avengers, Vulcans, and Oerlikon GDF 35mm Anti-Aircraft Guns:

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Intelschizo

@Schizointel

Apr 8

Reports that the United States have being handed control of Bagram Air Base by the Taliban and C-17's have begun landing at the base along with a large amounts of equipment movement near and on the base are unsubstantiated.

Sentinel 2 imagery of the base from March 31st and April 5th 2025 shows no aircraft present and no signs of equipment movement. At Kabul on the same dates no changes in equipment and no C-17's

https://x.com/Schizointel/status/1909472827540922507?t=ZV_HZSkiIyAp_LTr9VE55g&s=19

Probably should take a random Medium article from a guy with 92 followers and co-host of the drinking bros podcast with salt.

The OP cites a clickbait and likely AI-generated article blog poster.

Afghan Press outlet Khaama Press also wrote a piece about this with statements from Taliban spokesman
Zabihullah Mujahid denying these reports and specifically highlighted the article written by Zark Shabab on Medium.

This entire story is single source report that has now turned into circular reporting ask media for the second time in 24 hours has been duped by exactly this type of reporting

1. Khaama Press
khaama.com/taliban-denies…

2. Zark Shabab Medium Article. x.com/DanHollaway/st…

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Intelschizo

@Schizointel

Mar 9

In 24 hours Ukraine has lost almost half of Kursk and have very likely have withdrawn West of the Psel River and South of the Loknya River and seeking to maintain the Russian built defenses West and South of Sudzha to defend the R-200 Road to allow for withdrawal from Kursk and counter attack at Kurilovka to retake the high ground from the North Koreans along with counter attacking the Russians at Basivka, Noven'ke, and Zhuravka in Sumy Oblast.

Ukrainian forces are likely withdrawing from Kursk to Sumy Oblast under Russian and North Korean counterattacks aimed at disrupting their retreat. A controlled withdrawal with strong rear-guard actions will allow Ukraine to withdraw to existing defenses and stabilize the front. Failure to secure withdrawal corridors will very likely result in encirclement and collapse. Maintaining layered defenses, delaying actions, and executing contingency plans prevents Russian forces from seizing the operational initiative.

Most Likely Course of Action (MLCOA)

Ukrainian forces conduct a controlled, phased withdrawal while maintaining defensive cohesion. Rear-guard elements execute delaying actions, slowing Russian advances and enabling an organized retreat to pre-designated defensive positions.
Russian forces engage retreating Ukrainian units but fail to achieve a breakthrough, preventing an operational collapse. Ukrainian forces establish new defensive positions in Sumy Oblast, stabilizing the front and limiting further Russian penetration.

Most Dangerous Course of Action (MDCOA)

Russian forces exploit gaps in Ukrainian defenses, executing a high-tempo assault that overwhelms rear-guard elements. Ukrainian units become disorganized under pressure, leading to a loss of command and control. Russian forces rapidly advance, cutting off key withdrawal routes and isolating Ukrainian units.
Ukrainian defenses within Sumy Oblast collapse, leading to an unstructured retreat or encirclement, placing the city of Sumy at risk of capture.

Key factors in Ukraine maintaining a secure phased withdrawal.

1. Ukrainian forces must maintain control over layered defensive positions along withdrawal routes to prevent Russian envelopment.

2. Rear-guard elements must conduct delaying operations to slow Russian advances and allow for an organized retreat.

3. Continuous monitoring of Russian movements is necessary to detect and counter potential envelopment maneuvers.

4. In the case of a Russian breakthrough Ukrainian forces must execute pre-planned fallback strategies to secondary defensive lines to prevent further collapse.

5. Maintaining discipline in withdrawal operations and prioritizing defensive depth, Ukrainian forces can minimize losses and prevent Russian forces from dictating the operational tempo from Kursk into Sumy Oblast.

https://x.com/MalcontentmentT/status/1898619354427842728?t=YVTVDxg8J4MT56wS6Anopw&s=19

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