Well it looks like we'll have to address some of David's false claims about trains because Sudzha is part of the Russian primary rail network. This station has been in operation the entire length of the war. There was one partisan attack on one of the bridges south of the town in May of 2022. They sent the Russian Railways and the zhv and had a brand new bridge installed within 48 hours to keep uninterrupted freight rail flowing down and this train station was only closed for the first time in this war last Friday.

We will have to go over how Russia has had almost complete freedom of movement for it. Conducting rail operations this entire War. The number of times locomotive have been attacked by Ukraine. I can count on one hand. The number of times Russian zhv has been attacked. I can count on one hand. The amount of times critical rail infrastructure has been attacked. I can count on two hands and this idea that Russia won't be using a train station like Sudzha which is literally operated the entire War because it's in range of Ukrainian musicians. Guess what Tsar train is 5 mi from the line of contact and trains go down at every single day unharassed not a single attack and the Surovikin line yeah Russia's main GLOC Maine is a single rail line that's in the range the entire length and the amount of times that's been attacked I can count on one hand. The new rail line from Mariupiol 2 attacks One of which was on the granite quarry and the other completely missed the rail bridge no follow-on. Perhaps go read up on the ZHV and the MTO brigades. Or really look at any of Russia's military logistical doctrine that really hasn't had drastic change since the Cold War in those exercises that they did right before invading, Ukraine and Belarus that was with the MTO brigades to try and iron out issues.

Ukrainian Intelligence hit a gold mine on Russian Logistics in near real time!

The capture of Sudzha may not seem grand on a map but the capture of the railway station may allow Ukrainian Intelligence direct access into Russian Railway Computer Systems, Schedules, Train Consists, and internal Russian Railway Communications from Dispatch to Defect Detectors.

Sudzha station besides being part of the Lgov-Belgorod Line that I've highlighted previously is part of the Moscow Railway division, which must be causing panic in Russian High Command knowing that the enemy has real time capability to view your logistical movements.

#Train
#Trains
#Locomotive
#RussianRail
#Russia
#Kurskregion
#Kursk
#KurskOperation
#Belgorod
#Belgorodregion
#BelgorodOperation
Nice part is you can't really shut this thing off. A lot of those defect detectors and the signal sensors are automated. The only way you're shutting it off is if you go out there and rip the whole system apart. Which they're not going to do because that's insanely expensive and creates insane risk and safety issues for both passenger and freight rail and would leave trains out on the track completely blind as to what's in front of them so you can't really shut it off

The likely Ukrainian objective is at Belaya. Securing of Belaya will allow Ukraine to have complete control of the main and most likely southern approach to Sudzha by road and rail for Russian Forces. Securing Belaya will be able to act as a FOB and check any Russian advances in this direction. Immediately North of Belaya is local high ground that also will be able to turn the paths of approach from the south and east into well prepared kill zones. Belaya is also likely a Ukrainian decision point securing this town will give them the option to go two separate directions.

Option 1 follow the road East and go towards Oboyan.

Option 2 follow the road South and go towards Proletarskii/Rakitnoe

Either approach can directly threaten the city of Belgorod.

Taking the southern approach also gives the opportunity to potentially link up with Ukrainian forces IVO Grayvoron should this develop into third mutually supporting axis of offensive.

Red GPS icon is where Ukrainian forward elements were spotted.
Blue stars are likely decision points/objectives
Black line and black icons are the railroads
Red line is Russian defensive fortifications.

Yellow and orange shaded areas are Ukrainian occupied areas and likely minimal Ukrainian presence.

#Kurska
#Kursk
#KurskBattle
#Kurskregion
#Belgorod
#Belgorodregion
#Ukraine️
#Russia UPDATE: Belaya is likely under Ukrainian control.

Ukrainian decision point has been reached and have taken option 1 driving towards Oboyan clashing with Russian forces just outside of the town. Should the Ukrainians reach Oboyan they will have access to the E105 Highway. Gaining access onto this highway will sever a major and critical Russian GLOC from Kursk to Belgorod.

Source Russian Telegram Channel Two Majors claims that the size of the Ukrainian new breakthrough is 'several dozens of km' further south from Sudzha They say that Oboyan, located 65 km from the border, can hear the noise of the battle..

Maps for the moment based on Russian Reporting Ukrainian forces have deployed mines along the road from Suzhda to Belitsa, preventing direct access for Russians. (Highlighted in Orange) The Lgov-Belgorod Railway also traverse is the same area with several Rail Bridges there's no mention of them in the reporting though. Personally it is likely they are mining the road. They're also deploying mines near the bridges.
An Likely indicator that Ukraine
have done this yesterday with the announcement of several Railway stations being closed by the Russian Railways a station that was on that list is the Psel train station in Giri and Sudzha indicating the whole line is shut down. The placement of mines along the strip will delay the Russians and or force them to traverse further north further delaying a Russian response from Belgorod and Kharkiv making Russian forces have to practically go all the way up to Kursk and come at Ukrainian forces from the north.

#Kursk
#Kurskregion
#KurskPeoplesRepublic
#UkraineRussiaWar
#ukrainewar
#Ukraine
#trains
#railways
Russian railroads and bridges are black lines and icons.

Russian defensive lines defensive lines are dark red lines.

Yellow is likely under Ukrainian control/influence

Orange likely has minimal ukrainian presence.

I'll have to merge these maps together later tonight but Russia has lost control of the Lgov-Belgorod Rail line. A 🇺🇦 Battalion-sized element from the 22nd Mechanized Brigade supported by roughly a battalion-sized element from the 88th Mechanized Brigade reached the tracks yesterday afternoon in Sudzha. Interestingly Ukrainian forces made an attempt with the 82nd Air Assault Brigade also roughly a battalion-sized element to take the town of Korenevo.

Korenevo is an interesting choice because it has a rail line that goes from Lgov directly into Ukraine to the town of Vorozhba.

The tracks from Vorozhba go directly to Sumy and Kyiv.

It is Highly Likely that securing the town of Korenevo is a must objective for Ukrainian forces. This will allow them to establish a direct rail line from Ukraine into Kursk Oblast and be able to bring in significant quantities of equipment and supplies. I think the difference between the Kursk Incursion being a Raid in Force vs a Offensive rests on the capture of Korenevo

Maps are from @MalcontentmentT and @LovelyLad_

#Kursk
#Sudzha
#Ukraine
#Russia
#UkraineWar
#Kurska
#Trains
This may also explain why Ukraine has brought a significant amount of air defense with them. If they are seeking to try and bust open a door into Kursk Oblast they need to defend the logistical hub and push Russian Aviation away and that logistical hub is Korenevo.

Using the map by @MalcontentmentT of reported ukrainian advances in Sudzha so you can see where the Ukrainian presence is in relation to Russian defensive lines and Russian GLOC for Task Group North utilized by Russian Railways and the ZHV.

Black dashed line is the railroad
Red icons are railroad Bridges
Blue X's are border crossings
Shaded yellow area is reported Ukrainian presence
Red solid lines are Russian defensive lines.

#Kursk
#Sudzha
#Sumy
#Ukraine
#Russia It's purported air defense is highly likely to be additional Buk-M1 FrankenSam yesterday 2 such systems where destroyed.

https://x.com/PStyle0ne1/status/1821062896744325420?t=FggaCBxwgtJjZW6Q_OYTlg&s=19

Why Sudzha axis of attack by Ukraine? A short thread.

First terrain taking the localized high ground can give them fire control over insanely critical GLOC for the 🇷🇺 Task Group North. Which will be highlighted in later tweets. The Sudzha axis sits one of the primary rail lines that goes to Belgorod which is the main logistics depot for Task Group North in Kharkiv. Having direct fire control over this rail line shutting it down.

Some areas in Northern New Hampshire and Vermont have seen some heavy rain over the last several hours. 5 to 8 inches of rain has fallen leading to Major catastrophic and life-threatening flash flood warnings overnight that are still in place through the morning. All this from what the weather forecast had described as" "passing showers"

The infrastructure in many parts of Northeast Kingdom Region has been heavily damaged over night. Still has not recovered from the floods 3 weeks ago. Some communities are stranded. Roads, bridges, driveways, etc., washed away. People will have no choice but to remain in place for, at this point, an undetermined amount of time.

Places like St. Johnsbury just got 2 months worth of rain in 4 hours and we got more rain for the rest of the week coming in as of right now, the official weather forecast prediction is an additional 1.62 inches so they didn't do a good job predicting this storm that was originally supposed to be less than an inch that ended up dumping 8 inches so not very confident in there forecast being predicted at 1.62 inches.

Another concern with all this rainfall is the dams which are extremely antiquated and are not designed for these levels of rainfall that have been pouring over the region yet again.
Out of the 400 dams across Vermont last year, 5 failed and 60 overtopped leading to questions on durability from repeated heavy rains. Few photos and video coming out of St. Johnsbury

Russia has lost its 3rd and final operational rail ferry in the entire Black Sea.

Ukrainian forces struck the port of Kavkaz, Russian-occupied Crimea and heavily damaged the ferry Slavyanin. The Slavyanin is the last operational rail ferry Russia has in the entire Black Sea. Photo 1

Previously heavily damaged on May 30th 2024.
Conro Trader
Avangard photo
Photos 2 and 3

The only other rail fairy that was previously operational was the
Annenkov which operated the Kerch-Kavkaz Ferry which suffered multiple hull cracks in 2018 last report the vessel was beached in Aliaga Turkey November 21 2023 to prevent sinking. Photo 4


Photo from today's attack on the rail ferry Slavyanin

Updated Trump Assassination Attempt fields of view and locations.

Based on multiple videos that have come out over the weekend I have updated the locations of Police Officers and the fields of view of the two counter sniper teams, and several videos and locations of the shooter, 5 police officers, Trump and the 3 victims.

Based on all the videos so far it is almost certain that only Counter Sniper Team South had eyes on the shooter and their view was not completely obstructed by a tree. Had the shooter been 3ft further east, they would have also been obstructed by the tree and would not have had an ability to return fire leaving Thomas Matthew Crooks the ability to continue fire unimpeded at President Trump, his Secret Service detail, and the audience very likely resulting in more casualties.

Thomas Matthew Crooks had a clear line of sight on Trump and the position he selected gave him the best possible maximum concealment due to the line of trees to his front and laying on the far side of the roof with the rifle resting on the roof ridge beam. His line of fire is depicted as the 4 red arrows his position is the red dot.

Counter Sniper Team South had a line of sight on the shooter and almost certainly took the shot. Counter sniper team South line of fire is depicted as the white arrow and yellow dashed triangle is their field of view.

Counter Sniper team North had no line of sight on the shooter due to the tree. Counter Sniper Team North line of sight is depicted as the yellow dashed triangle.

3 different videos plus the account from the BBC male eyewitness had the clearest view of the shooter being near parallel to the shooter and also had line of sight of both Counter Sniper Teams and 4 police officers walking on the West, South sides of the building and several police cars and at least 1 officer on the Southeast corner of the building. Based on media reporting at least 1 officer climbed the ladder on the east side of the building.
These fields of view are depicted as the green dashed triangle.

Position of Trump depicted in Orange.

Positions depicted in Blue are the locations of;
Corey Comperatore
David Dutch
James Copenhaver

#TrumpAssassinationAttempt
#Trump
#SecurityFailure
#SecretService
#ButlerPennsylvania
#ButlerPA
#TrumpRally Original thread below 👇

https://x.com/Schizointel/status/1812518533227766257?t=XmMTxVqbmXDsH3YKk2lKoA&s=19

Trump Assassination Attempt fields of view.

Based on the locations and field of view of the two counter sniper teams and the shooter, it appears that only the southern team depicted as team 1 was not completely obstructed by a tree. Had the shooter been 3ft further east, they would have also been obstructed by the tree and would not have had an ability to return fire leaving Thomas Matthew Crooks the ability to continue fire un-harassed at President Trump and his Secret Service detail.

Thomas Matthew Crooks had a clear line of sight on Trump and the position he selected gave him the best possible maximum concealment due to the line of trees to his front and laying on the far side of the roof with the rifle resting on the roof ridge beam. His line of fire is depicted as the red arrow.

Counter Sniper team 1 had a line of sight on the shooter and likely took the shot after orienting after the first three shots from the shooter. Counter sniper team 1 line of sight is orange dashed triangle and line of fire is the white arrow.

Counter Sniper team 2 had no line of sight on the shooter due to the tree. Counter Sniper Team 2 line of sight is depicted as the yellow dashed triangle.

BBC male eyewitnesses had the clearest view of the shooter being on equal elevation near parallel to the shooter and also had line of sight of both Counter Sniper Teams and was pointing to his left at the shooter. His point of view on the shooter is depicted as the green dashed triangle

#TrumpAssassinationAttempt
#Trump
#SecurityFailure
#SecretService
#ButlerPennsulvania

https://x.com/OAlexanderDK/status/1812520285444182527?t=5zJ4dpQZThEQNIupzQGE8A&s=19

Only been telling people this since last year and this specific line since the beginning of the year but it is now in full nearing full swing with 7 trains a day from Dontesk to Melitopol. Delivering supplies across the entire Surovikin Line.

https://twitter.com/PStyle0ne1/status/1804151635939119575

https://x.com/Schizointel/status/1757599789888184562?t=qh-25BO2_vyJbMnu6N4glw&s=19

Oh yes, because when we go to war with China that m777 howitzer It's going to be real effective trying to hit a target 4,000 miles away. Yep. Makes sense the Pacific theater is a joint Army theater you guys because we put the word joint in there that Army means the army is front and center. You heard it from the general zip it, it only contradicts 80 years worth of American strategy.

The way he comes off damn I would not want to be serving in the indo-pacific theater.

Yeah people live on land but the Pacific theater is spread out across vast bodies of water. Thousands of miles. Apart from each other, your howitzers and machine guns aren't going to do anything And how are you going to get your army equipment around the Pacific? You're going to need planes and ships, not trucks To point out that the Army is front and center and has to be front and center in this joint operation because island nations militaries are mostly composed of an army this is the dumbest thing I've ever heard? Yeah, let's look at why those countries have predominantly land based force. They don't have money to field a vast fleet of ships and the United States has guaranteed naval protection.

Also we say joint theater, joint operation, joint this, joint that enough times will equate to. this is an Army operation now and the Navy and Air Force can leave not needed allies armed forces are like 60% army.

I will pull up the specific statements later tonight. To answer your question, Chris currently 12 countries have said yes
Those being
1) Estonia 🇪🇪
2) Latvia 🇱🇻
3) Lithuania 🇱🇹
4) Sweden 🇸🇪
5) Finland 🇫🇮
6) Poland 🇵🇱
7) Czech Republic 🇨🇿
8) United Kingdom 🇬🇧
9) France 🇫🇷
10) Netherlands 🇳🇱
11) Canada 🇨🇦

Yes with heavy conditions
1) Germany 🇩🇪

https://x.com/TreasChest/status/1795876096602153415?t=s6IY99lpqguyQOXxcagKcQ&s=19

Want to quickly make Task Group North untenable for Russia here is a small list of items that could be targeted.

Small Sample of Rail Bridges that could be destroyed if the US would allow Ukraine to use its munitions within Russia. Aka main artery to Russian sanctuary network for Task Group North.

51.676767,35.233777
51.728215,35.251246
51.772029,35.260061
52.124863,33.996688
52.125038,33.996507
52.395280,34.130828
52.395498,34.130583
51.642646,35.555526
50.548081,35.874308
50.593639,35.928736
51.427625,36.730225
51.368431,36.778783
51.594943,36.535148
51.332834,36.849895
51.332682,36.849827
51.288354,37.849211
51.288436,37.849126
51.845862,37.706624
51.714275,38.192434
50.964420,39.514723
50.964366,39.513855

Small Sample of Traction stations in the region to significantly slow down and stop trains.
50.501893,36.394171
50.597474,36.631572
50.684795,36.627270
50.834872,36.632233
51.026501,36.704556
51.242811,36.699644
51.406387,36.749953
51.612260,36.495825
51.675180,36.345807
51.783258,36.234444
52.355047,35.506940
52.495404,34.205583
52.824511,34.488934
51.295585,37.617854
51.321066,37.863157
51.764592,38.110092
52.133010,38.284011
52.462199,38.599069
52.611567,38.579712

Small Sample of Power Stations that is destroyed would degrade the electrified rail network in the region.
53.108208,34.045558
53.150838,34.854057
52.728483,38.359184
52.484599,39.424350
52.539213,40.071931
51.056322,37.905889
50.195482,38.167724
50.605910,36.665825
50.657039,36.415182

This doesn't even include everything nor does it include Bed Down Locations, Troop concentration centers, C2 nodes, Air Defense, Fighting positions, weapon depots, munition depots, fuel depots list goes on and on but bare minimum if the trains can't function or have to be pushed an entire oblast away there goes the supply chain fuelingTask Group North and there goes the timely supply of Food, Fuel, Water, Munitions, and Equipment If this was any other country that rail bridge right there would have been destroyed weeks if not months ago to prevent Task Group North from forming in the first place making these new offensive by Russia an untenable plan.

Secretary of State Spokesman Vendant Patel has reiterated there has been no policy change in regards to Ukraine striking Russian territory.

Question: The secretary was asked about conditions that this administration is imposed on American weapons being sent to Ukraine, mainly that they're not to be used to strike in Russian territory. The Secretary said the US had not enabled such attacks, but it was up to the Ukrainians to decide how to conduct this war. It sounded like a loosening of the policy. I wanted to clarify whether there has been any change could weapons be used to strike Russia?

Vendant Patel:
Certainly not. There has not been a policy change and the Secretary was clear about this. We do not encourage or enable strikes on Russian territory, but repeatedly ee've also said that Ukraine ultimately makes its own decisions about its military strikes and operations. That continues to be the case.

Question: Would they (Ukrainians) face consequences if they used the American weapons?

Vendant Patel: You know how I feel about this hypotheticals Olivia, so I'm just going to leave it at that. Her question about there being potential consequences is not a hypothetical. If the ukrainians are truly able to make their own decisions with the weapons we have given them. As this Administration keeps claiming then we have to know will there be consequences from the United States should Ukraine decide to use our weapons to strike Russia and based off the Secretary spokesperson's answer, I believe that answer is very much a yes there would be consequences because he just shoved that right to the side and said move on.

Ukraine is finally starting to target high priority targets holy shit!!!!

Someone wake up @BruckenRuski
@russianbridges1

If you haven't followed him he has made many maps in great detail highlighting this infrastructure.

Last night, Ukraine conducted long-range OWA-UAV strikes on Russian Railroad Infrastructure and Electric Transformer Substations.

It has been several months since Ukraine has done any strikes on a Traction Power Station

At around 2300 local time Ukrainian OWA-UAV's struck Traction power stations in
-Ponyri
-Svoboda

At around 2320 local time Ukrainian OWA-UAV's struck Traction power stations in
-Zmievka
-Glazunovka

Several transformer substations were also attacked on the same stretch. As a result, an emergency power outage occurred at the Zmievka and Glazunovka stations.

This is one of the main primary rail routes bringing ammunition and supplies down to Stary Oskol which then makes its way down to Stanytsia Luhanska.

This is also one of the primary rail route bringing ammunition and supplies to Belgorod.

#OSINT #UkraineRussiaWar #UkraineWar #Ukraine #Russia
#railway #ogistics

These strikes are likely the beginning of a campaign by the AFU/GUR/SBU to degrade the Russian military of supplies and destroy critical infrastructure that will negatively impact Russia's ability to support a large-scale offensive in Kharkiv and Luhansk regions of Ukraine.

Icons in Orange are what was struck last night.
Icons in red are railroad bridges
The black lines are Russian Rail and occupied Ukrainian rail
The green lines are occupied Ukrainian rail being utilized currently by the Russian military.
Reminder 86% of Russian freight rail is moved along electrified rail. No electricity, no train movement, which means no supplies going to the front.

About time Ukraine starts attacking Russian Rail and going after the ZHV.

Short thread on new Russian rail developments
As of March 28, 2024
Telmanovskoye district Ukraine IVO
47.439786,37.921376 status of new Russian Rail being built.
Rail bed is complete and track laying has started.
Wonder if they will make this double track.
#UkraineWar
#UkraineRussiaWar
#Russia
#RussiaUkraineWar
#Mariupol
#ZHV
#railway
#Rail
#trains


Part 2
More photos and short video of new rail line construction IVO 47.439818,37.920554
Telmanovskoye district Ukraine

I would take this breaking news from @EuromaidanPR with a ton of salt for the time being until more information comes forward. Though breaking down what they are saying might help instead of saying breaking news Russian nuclear submarines suffering accident with nuclear missile evacuations ongoing.

My understanding of what they are conveying in their tweet is that Russian Borei-A class SSBN K-554 Imperator Aleksandr III was in the process of conducting some kind of test of a RSM-56 Bulava and the submarine has suffered some kind of incident The phrasing in the tweet is a bit hard so I'm not 100% on what issue they are trying to convey, such as a misfire resulting in some sort of issue with the missile compartment such as the hatch refuses to close or something else idk perhaps someone else may be better able to understand and explain and provide much needed context. Anyways allegedly something may or may not have happened in regards to the missile and the missile compartment and the submarine has put out distress call requesting with assistance of evacuating the crew and correcting the issue highlighted above.

Some information about this submarine in particular.

Russian Navy Borei-A class ballistic missile sub Imperator Aleksandr III (K-554) is a fairly new submarine launched in 2022 and commissioned in Severodinsk just 3 months ago on December 11, 2023. This submarine has been conducting sea trials and tests with the RSM-56 Bulava most recently having a successful test launch of a RSM-56 Bulava on November 5, 2023.

The RSM-56 Bulava is a MIRV (Multiple independently targetable reentry vehicles) SLBM for the Russian Navy.
Each RSM-56 Bulava holds 6-10 100-150 kiloton warheads. This is a fairly new missile deployed for the first time in 2019 and is a crucial component of Russia's active nuclear triad. Each Borei-A class sub carries 16 RSM-56 Bulava missiles with maximum capacity of having 160 100-150 kiloton warheads.

Image SRC: TW-@Saturnax1 I have not been able to find much sourcing on this alleged incident and as such I would take with a decent dosage of salt for the time unless more contacts and information can be provided.

Updated timeline of who was notified when of SECDEF Hospitalization.

Chairman of JCS was notified on 02JAN2024 doesn't notify anybody else.

POTUS not notified till 04JAN2024

National Security Advisor not notified till 04JAN2024

NSC not notified till 04JAN2024

Deputy SECDEF while on vacation in Puerto Rico was handed "some responsibilities" of SECDEF on 02JAN2024 not notified till 04JAN2024.

Congress and Senate to include Gang of 8 along with most of Pentagon not notified till 05JAN2024

Deputy under SECDEF for Policy Baker, currently the Acting Under Secretary (#3 job in Pentagon) was filling in for SECDEF at the office not knowing that he was in the hospital and was told he was working from home.

Secretary of the Navy not notified till 05JAN2024

Secretary of the Army not notified till 05JAN2024

Secretary of the Air Force not notified till 05JAN2024

SECDEF Chief of Staff, Kelly Magsamen, was “unable to make notifications before then” due to illness.

Pentagon spokesman declined to answer follow-up questions about why none of SECDEF Austin’s other aides could notify the White House or his deputy of his hospitalization sooner.

Secretary of State Antony Blinken said he had not been aware that Austin had been hospitalized. The two spoke the weekend before Austin was hospitalized on New Year’s Day,

https://twitter.com/halbritz/status/1744120042743279869?t=HCB8Mr9vSitrtRFc8tdkqA&s=19