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Former IS1, Firefighter, Conductor, work cited in Telegraph, The Warzone, Gcaptain, Task & Purpose, SIC Notícias, Visegrád 24, Texty UA, Kyiv Post, Newsweek
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Dec 22 8 tweets 2 min read
🚨BREAKING US NAVY FRIENDLY FIRE IN RED SEA

USS Gettysburg (CG-64) shot down an F-18 Hornet from the USS Harry S Truman (CVN-75) over the Red Sea while coalition aircraft were conducting strikes on the Houthis.
Both pilots recovered safely one with minor injuries.

USS Gettysburg (CG-64) is the cruiser escort for USS Harry S. Truman (CVN-75) part of Carrier Strike Group 8.

Other ships in Carrier Strike Group 8
USS Harry S. Truman (CVN-75)
USS Gettysburg (CG-64)
USS Stout (DDG-55)
USS Jason Dunham (DDG 109).
Dec 21 6 tweets 3 min read
Ukraine throws OWA-UAV'S into apartment buildings in Kazan and continues to ignore the trains coming across the BAM and TSR you could have spent those drones destroying a shit ton of rail, infrastructure and military equipment moving towards Kursk Literally hundreds of traction stations that can stop this train dead in it's tracks and finish with other drones many dozens of bridges as well.

Remember folks 86% of Russian Freight moves along 50% of the rail network that is electrified. In short, no electricity on the electric rail lines. No trains
Dec 11 6 tweets 2 min read
Since the Israeli Air Force has destroyed the military arsenal of Syria, here's an overview of the new Syrian Army Artillery Pieces.

1. Hell Cannon Howitzers Image 2. Self Propelled Hell Cannon Image
Nov 21 6 tweets 2 min read
A updated helpful guide.

Yars = modified Topol
Rubezh = modified Yars
Oreshnik= modified Rubezh

Oreshnik=Rubezh=Yars=Topol

How to tell what you have.

Do you have a Topol?
If yes does it have MIRV's?
If yes it's a Yars.

If you remove the 3rd stage of the Yars ICBM, it is now Rubezh.

If you modify the MIRV's it is now a Oreshnik.

The Oreshnik/Rubezh it both a ICBM and IRBM.Image This is like unlocking, a tech tree same base model and just replacing components like it's a Lego set
Nov 21 8 tweets 3 min read
Ukrainian OWA-UAV's struck Russian 105th assembly and testing building at the site located at the Kapustin Yar Nuclear Missile Test site at Kapustin Yar Cosmodrome.

This strike was in response to Russian ICBM strike on Dnipro.

Kapustin Yar Cosmodrome is Russia's premier missile test range since 1947 and had most recently conducted on April 12th 2024 a successful test launch of an intercontinental ballistic missile.

The site has mainly been focused on launches of the RT-2PM Topol aka SS-25 Sickle over the past decade and had a S500 test in 2011.

Ukrainian OWA-UAV's struck the facility on July 9th 2024.

If I'm reading the map correctly should be the area highlighted in red where Ukrainian drones struck will wait for geolocation.

#Ukraine Ukrainian ATACMS and Storm Shadow Strikes into Russia.

ATACMS
1. 67th GRAU Arsenal, a critical ammunition storage facility in Bryansk Oblast.

Storm Shadow
2. Palace Mar'ino of Prince Baratinsky
Kursk Oblast.
Nov 8 6 tweets 4 min read
20% of the Ukrainian Armed Forces have gone AWOL.

Ukraine mobilization and conscription is consistently at least 33% below battlefield losses.

See 47th Mechanized Brigade putting ads out on social media to try to replace battlefield losses with troops who have gone AWOL because the Ministry of Defense has not provided replacements.

Also see mobilization bill that was passed this spring that was supposed to call up 250,000 troops and 6 months later once again the Ministry of Defense is asking for 500,000 troops which they called for this time last year.

If Ukraine does not spend this winter doing literally everything possible and gets back in the mentality of everyone fights. No one quits or everyone dies. Then their country will be completely lost if they're hoping to maintain anything east of the Dnipro they need to get their head out of their ass. The Russians will be in Dnipro Oblast at current pace by March but if a fifth of the army has gone AWOL, they might see a complete front line collapse before that. If Ukraine is hoping that the river will be a natural barrier, it won't this winter Ukraine needs to be building as many fortifications as possible and instead of creating new brigades that are at battalion level strength they need to be consolidating brigades to bring them back up to strength and they need to be sending every piece of construction equipment and engineer possible to the near rear to construct these defensive fortifications. Frontline units cannot continue to afford to split their forces in half one portion attempting to build fortifications with no equipment while the other half fights because we've seen all summer they get overrun suffer heavy casualties and then have to do the same thing all over.

The limited offensive which is Kursk has failed all objectives except for degradation of Russian Logistics though this has also failed to be exploited fully they should just withdraw and send these forces to Kupyansk and Pokrovsk where they are needed more.
Oct 10 11 tweets 3 min read
Welcome to the IC Waffle House
#WaffleHouseIndex Image For those that don't know WAFFLE is an acronym that stands for

Weather
Assistance
Field
Force
Logistics &
Evacuation

Thank you @grandmastercdc
Oct 10 8 tweets 2 min read
You want to know how Waffle House knows whether or not to keep their restaurants open welcome to the Waffle House Joint Intelligence Operations Coordination Center. Here we have a rare photo from inside the Waffle House Intelligence Fusion Center. What sticks out besides
Operational Meteorologists SME "Dan" is the wall of monitors bringing real time status of individual Waffle House franchise stores to the WH-JIOCC which helps the team make status reports to regional managers the decision makers on whether to keep a store open or closed this information is also sent to FEMA and other Emergency Management Agencies which is used to predict likely areas that will be impacted from natural disasters to better coordinate emergency resources.Image The European mind cannot comprehend that a Breakfast Food Chain has its own devoted intelligence center that probably has more resources than half of NATO.
Oct 7 5 tweets 2 min read
06OCT2024 Updated map of warships operating in Red Sea, Gulf of Oman, Gulf of Aden, Persian Gulf, Arabian Sea.

Few minor notes before we begin.

1. Locations are not precise
2. Might be missing a few ships particularly from Combined Maritime Forces. Feel free to message or comment if anything is missing or needs editing.

Latest updates

HS Spetsai (F-453) has entered the Red Sea and will likely be replacing HS Psara (F-454) in the coming days.

Indian Navy has sent
INS Tir (A86)
INS Shardul (L16)
ICGS Veera (35)
To conduct a training with the Iranian Navy in the coming days.

Abe Lincoln CSG continues to operate off the coast of Oman.

USS Georgia conducted up to 15 strikes on Houthi targets in Sanaa and Hodeida.

Near entirely of the Iranian Navy has sortied out to sea and have anchored off the coast spread out to minimize risk of damage in a likely Israeli retaliatory strike.

Thank you to the following accounts assisting in creating the map
@ianellisjones
@GSSReport
@MT_Anderson
@mercoglianos
@johnkonrad
@mhmiranusa
@UKForcesTracker
@TBrit90
@sentdefender
@mhmiranusaImage The Red Sea Eternal Flame as
@mercoglianos called it Has finally be extinguished after nearly 2 months of burning
Oct 2 5 tweets 3 min read
Social media is claiming Russia has deployed a FAB-9000 and once again the evidence does not support this blast being consistent with such a bomb. This blast is consistent with a ODAB-1500/FAB-1500

Red Ring is 30 Meters and the explosion and subsequent damage to the buildings does not exceed this distance in the drone video.
Yellow ring is approximately 100 meters

You can also see the bomb at the start of the video does not match the profile of a FAB-9000.Image
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Video was originally uploaded September 30th by a Russian telegram channel which accurately States that the bomb deployed was a ODAB-1500.
Link to the original source of the video
t.me/voenacher/72419
Sep 21 4 tweets 2 min read
40,000 tons of ammunition blown up is apparently less than 1% of what Russia produces.

Like to know where Russia is producing and storing what would be the equivalent of 220,000 artillery shells per day.

Also 3 ammo depots exploded.

Also mixed up tonnage with number of shells.

Russia claims to make 3 million shells not 3 million tons of shells that 3 million shells equals 171,000 tons
So Ukraine destroyed 23.39% of Russia's yearly production in 3 days.

Losing 3 months of production is supposed to be no biggie lol.

Losing 30-60 days of munitions is supposed to be no biggie lol.

Explain Push Logistics and it's role in the Russian military with the Russian Railways and come back and say no impact on the battle space.Image Will this suddenly stop Russia's advance? And will Ukraine all of a sudden be able to start retaking large swaths of land? No, this will do is significantly degrade Russian combat capabilities resulting in decreased abilities to advance make the decisions on ending offensive operations and go back on the defense to preserve resources or make the decisions, you significantly reduce resources in certain sectors to sustain offensive operations in another, thus leaving the depleted sector vulnerable by being ill-equipped to sustain operational tempos
Sep 21 12 tweets 8 min read
Tonight Ukrainian OWA-UAV's successfully struck and have severely damaged the Toropets South Ammunition Depot now known as 23rd GRAU Arsenal at Oktyabrskii.
This depot sits 10 miles south of Toropets Northeast Ammunition Depot known as the 107th GRAU Arsenal which was destroyed several days ago.
This depot has not seen significant expansion since the declassified June 1964 report by the National Photographic Interpretation Center now known as the National Geospatial Intelligence Agency.

The data right now indicates that moderate fire to original storage depots going west to east along the rail and fire at the eastern outskirts of
OktyabrskiiImage
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Toropets South Ammunition Depot has a total of 71 buildings

Protected: 57
Unprotected: 14

The buildings on the Southern end have been torn down and munitions are stored in the open unprotected. The footprint of these buildings used to measure 290' x 80 ft.

The bulk of the buildings on the Northern end of the depot measure 170' x 50' ft and the one 290' x 80' building was torn down and munitions are also stored in the open.

Toropets South is served by a rail spur from the branch line from the
Moscow/Velikiye Luki rail line.
The depot also is served by a secondary road system connecting Toropets and Staraya Toropa.

The total amount of munitions if this depot was fully stocked roughly 10,000~ tons stored inside the ammo bunkers and the amount of munitions stored in the open is likely around 4,000~ tons
Sep 20 5 tweets 3 min read
I can't share the imagery but the higher resolution images of Toropets a Russian ammunition train was at the depot and was also utterly obliterated around 50 plus ammo cars Image 1 highlighted in pink are the approximate lengths of the ammo cars that were either loading or offloading

Images 2-4 highlighted in dark red


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Sep 18 4 tweets 1 min read
Perfectly calm weather and the nuclear bomb sized ammonia nitrate fire ship Ruby magically has lost propulsion engines down and no longer under command right outside a large Norwegian Naval Base What's currently wrong with the ship

Lost propulsion,
Hull cracked,
Crew without papers,
Unlawful fuel with high sulphur levels,
2 notes on lack in safety.
Sep 18 22 tweets 9 min read
Tonight Ukrainian OWA-UAV's successfully struck and have severely damaged the Toropets Northeast Ammunition Depot which has seen significant expansion since the declassified June 1965 report by the National Photographic Interpretation Center now known as the National Geospatial Intelligence Agency.

The data right now indicates that there is significant damage to the newer expansions of the depot, primarily among the reinforced ammunition bunkers on the eastern side of the facility along with several of the original 150' x 40' storage buildings and among the barracks and administrative buildings by the depot entrance on the Northern side of the depot. Today this former Soviet Era Munitions Depot is operated by the 107th GRAU Arsenal which expanded with the depot with an addition of 42 reinforced bunkers and 23 non reinforced storage and maintenance buildings likely housing several tens of thousands of tons of munitions such as Air Defense Missiles and Surface to Surface Missiles.Image
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Sep 14 10 tweets 4 min read
The Russian so called Kursk counter-offensive, which was no more than a counter-attack has now been reduced to a fighting retreat
Sep 12 7 tweets 3 min read
After once again falsely stating that the US has provided more than Europe Vance gets into the meat and potatoes of the Trump/Vance policy for Ukraine and that is to "Find an appeasable settlement with Russia likely on the current frontline and create a demilitarized zone and make guaranteed assurances with Russia on "Ukrainian neutrality" and deny Ukraine entry to all "allied institutions” What does this actually mean?

Minsk agreement 3.

Which will inevitably fail and see resumption of hostilities making the entire endeavor by a hypothetical Trump Administration fruitless because it's not actually going to stop anything, it will just give Russia time to regroup re-equip and rearm its forces
Sep 11 6 tweets 2 min read
Lots of movement today in Kursk

Russians claim to have retaken Gordeevka,
Viktorovka,
Byakhovo,
Apanasovka,
Snagost,

Reported Ukrainian fighting in
Volfino,
Novy Put,
Khomutovka,
Kalinovka
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The reported attacks at Khomutovka are something keeping an eye on this is the intersection for the primary Russian GLOC to Rylsk and if Ukrainian forces reach
Dmitriyev then the final 2 rail lines to Lgov will be severed and cutting major road GLOC to Lgov
Sep 1 4 tweets 2 min read
No electricity in Moscow=No Electric Trains

What's that mean for a country that moves 86% of its freight on electrified rail. 😈

Russia next time probably shouldn't centralize your nationwide rail network with the hub centered on Moscow like wheel spokes with virtually no redundancies so if their is issues on one line it cascades out rapidly.Image Thank you every Russian leader since Lenin for pursuing a 100% electrified rail infrastructure project and thank you Tzarist Russia for making an overly centralized rail network centered completely from Moscow because you were so afraid of the Russian Far East, becoming a little too independent and you wanted to make them wholly reliant on the Kremlin to keep them in line.
Aug 31 4 tweets 3 min read
Zheleznogorsk and surrounding towns have a lot of high value targets

1. Direct Rail line from Lgov to Oryol
2. Paserkovo 110 kV rail traction station
3. Zheleznogorskaya Transformer station 330/220/110kV
4. Locomotive maintenance depot and general railway equipment servicing
5. Train Repair factory
6. Construction and industrial center

Any one of these targets says is stuff I have been screaming about for over a year. Any one of these targets Phenomenal, particularly if it is the traction station which shuts off electric rail service hindering Russian military supplies to Lgov and putting further strain on the Moscow Rail District. If it is combined with targeting the rail maintenance facility and locomotive depot that would be even better.
#Kursk Should the traction stations on the rail line from Oryol to Lgov be disrupted such as the traction stations being destroyed then this effectively makes the entire region unable to utilize electric trains which is difficult for Russia because the overwhelming majority of their active locomotive are electric which will put further strain on Regional Freight rail in the Moscow Rail District.

Red Lines are railroads that have been closed
Orange lines are moderately degraded
Yellow line at extreme risk of being attacked.

Another add-on should the rail line from Oryol to Kursk be disrupted again such as the traction station being destroyed then that means the only rail line that will be able to sustain electric Freight and passenger trains coming from Bryansk making this the only Rail line that electric trains will be able to utilize in the entire region for both civilian and military rail traffic.

If the rail maintenance and the locomotive depots are destroyed, this will put strain on not just electrical locomotives which won't really be useful anymore, But more importantly the diesel locomotives that will be the only option to run rail through Kursk and Belgorod Oblasts adding moderate logistical strain to Russian forces in Kharkiv under Task Group North and for the Russian Forces under Kursk Group.

This is shaping the battlefield to isolate Russian forces under Kursk Group and rain the effects will be felt fairly quickly, particularly for Russian forces operating West and South of Lgov.

With the rail network moderately degraded Russia will be forced to utilize trucks to fill the logistical void that will now have to travel from Bryansk and Oryol to Kursk, Lgov
and Belgorod extremely ineffective and more importantly time consuming with limited daily resupply and will moderately impact Russia's ability to move horses in a timely manner to respond to Ukrainian attacks in the region.Image
Aug 16 7 tweets 3 min read
Kursk Offensive D+11
Update August 16th 2024

Per @MalcontentmentT

Total area: 1,379 sq km
Breach: 85.6 km
Depth: up to 36 km
Change since last update: +116 sq km
🟨Ukraine control: 989 sq km
🟦Russian claimed/gray area: 390 sq km

My additions to the map
Red Lines: 🇷🇺 Defensive lines
Black Line and Icons: Railroads and rail bridges
Purple Icons: Road Bridges
Yellow Light Icon: Electrical substations and Rail Traction stations
2 Nuclear Icons: KNPP and Belgorod-22

#KurskImage
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