1/ Russian Telegram space is speculating over the type of drone that attacked Moscow today. Given the available images, and the fact that the drones look like the ones that struck Krasnodar earlier, some are saying its the new "Bober" kamikaze UAV. focus.ua/voennye-novost…
2/ "Bober" was unveiled two weeks ago (some were bult last year) and is a self-initiated drone project by blogger under the name "Lachen." Its possible that the government took over this project to mass-produce these drones. More information is needed to draw final conclusions.
3/ This attack may have included other commercial drones that were repurposed for combat - both sides apparently use Chinese-made Mugin-5 which has a long range (this time it wasn't involved). They key to such drones is range, and the ability to fly through Russia's AD/EW.
4/ This was a response for the recent Russian mass drone strike on Kyiv that included over 50 Shahed drones, most of which were shot down. Today's strike demonstrates that Moscow is also vulnerable to such strikes, that air/EW defense is not absolute, and that...
5/ ...Ukraine retains a technological parity with Moscow when it come to producing long-range drones that can fly for hundreds of kilometers, no matter where they were launched from. There is another key detail here in official state media -
6/ - that while Moscow says all were neutralized by EW and Pantsir-S air defense systems (image below), it appears that many such defenses were pulled from other areas to protect Moscow itself, leaving possible gaps that can be exploited by Ukrainian drones.
7/ Russia's Prigozhin once again launched a tirade against the MOD (but not the Kremlin) for allowing such strikes: "Filthy bastards, what are you doing? You assholes! Get your ass out of the offices you've been put in to defend this country. You are the Ministry of Defense. You… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
8/ Re. if this attack may have included a UJ-22 drone - its entirely possible that some of them were in fact UJ-22s, but the available videos show a "push" airframe design with the propeller in the back of a drone - a UJ-22 (below) has a classical "pull" design with propeller in… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
9/ Some Russian Telegram channels are confirming that some of the drone shot down over Moscow were in fact UJ-22, others featured a "push" frame design. t.me/dronesrussia/2…
10/ Other Telegram channels are speculating that at least some of the drones were in fact small - possibly quadcopter deign - that were probably launched form Russia proper. t.me/dronesrussia/2…
11/ More eyewitness video from the alleged drone strike includes the following design - this appears to be a commercial-type drone. t.me/dronesrussia/2…
12/ Moscow is once again interfering with and stifling GPS signals after this morning's drone strikes.
13/ Very useful effort to geolocate all drone strikes today.
14/ One of the affected regions was Rublevka - an elite suburb outside of Moscow that is home to Russia's most powerful and influential individuals. Many pro-Kremlin Telegram bloggers are now hoping this would finally wake up the elites to the war.
15/ Russia's State Duma deputy Andrey Gurulyov is preparing a bill on criminal punishment for filming drones in flight - essentially banning eyewitness recording of attacks. Russians who see a drone in flight should call "112" and report the UAV coordinates.
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1/ QUICK TAKE: Russia's Rybar, an active pro-Kremlin TG channel, is at it again - "What if "Geran-2 drones were launched at America from Cuba?": "Given the current US actions, the main question is not whether the US will strike Cuba, but when and how." t.me/rybar/77101x.com/sambendett/sta…
2/ "Cuba, along with Venezuela and Nicaragua, has been an anti-American stronghold in the Caribbean region, and after the overthrow of Maduro, US interest has increased. But what will the Cubans do in the event of a conflict?"
3/ "Let's hypothetically imagine that Havana decides to fight back against the Americans and wants to wage war. And this is where the now familiar "Geran" attack drones could come to the rescue. What targets could be threatened if these UAVs were deployed?"
1/ QUICK TAKE from a Ukrainian mil blogger on the formation of Russia's 50th Unmanned Systems Forces Brigade in Yeysk area, Rostov region. Its estimated active date is December 1, 2026. The brigade has the following units: t.me/zvizdecmanhust…
2/ The brigade will include the following number of UAV, UGV and USV crews:
- Forpost/Inokhodets UAVs – 4
- Orlan/Supercam UAVs - 150
- Lancet loitering munitions - 22
- Geran-type attack UAVs - 21
- aerial targets – 6
- FPV quadcopter type – 52
- FPV fixed-wing type – 52
1/ THREAD on the impact of the Ukraine combat on the Russian capacity to fight the emerging warfare style, described by Ruslan Pukhov, director of the Moscow-based Center for Analysis of Strategies and Technologies (CAST). Main points below: kommersant.ru/doc/8380069x.com/sambendett/sta…
2/ "The events of the war in Ukraine have demonstrated a fundamentally new form of large-scale military conflict, characterized by a shift from the "mechanized warfare" of the industrial era to "drone warfare," or "digital" ("information") warfare of the post-industrial era."
3/ "In fact, we are now witnessing a new revolution in military affairs – the "drone revolution," and it is clear that this revolution will continue to develop and deepen, as the possibilities for expanding "drone warfare" clearly outweigh the possibilities and prospects for overcoming it."
1/ THREAD: Now that the Rus MOD has signaled that the Unmanned Systems Forces (USF) are established, here is a take from Rus mil commentators on what USF can mean for the larger force - main points translated in this thread below. t.me/gvZapad/17121x.com/sambendett/sta…
2/ "People: Without developing human potential, nothing will work. We need to change approaches, constantly improve UxS training, and, once again, learn to value the personnel in whom we've invested so much time and money. The quality of work improves with experience."
3/ "Mistakes are inevitable, and people must be unafraid to make them if progress is to be high-quality. We can't send drone operators to assault units, as some commanders do. Otherwise, the whole process becomes meaningless. Plugging (tactical) holes on the battlefield is a consequence of many problems."
1/ THREAD on the new "digital warfare" as seen in Ukraine, described Russia's Gen(ret) Yuri Baluyevsky, former Chief of the General Staff in 2004-2008, and Ruslan Pukhov, director of the Moscow-based Center for Analysis of Strategies and Technologies (CAST). Main points below: globalaffairs.ru/articles/czifr…
2/ "There's every reason to believe that the "digital warfare" process will continue to expand and deepen, as the potential for escalating "drone warfare" exceeds the ability to effectively counter this type of weaponry."
3/ "The miniaturization and cost reduction of componentry, along with the development of networked solutions (specifically networked ones; the trendy artificial intelligence will likely remain a secondary factor for a long time to come) are leading to combat operations..."
Ukraine's @Textyorgua_Eng on the gray zone in the war - an area that stretches 25-30 km, and as much as 40km, "a chaotic kill zone riddled with trenches, dugouts, mines and rubble, constantly monitored and hit by drones, with both sides using a wide range of weapons." texty.org.ua/projects/11592…
The rotation in this gray zone is a difficult and dangerous: "Pickup trucks take the infantry 1–7 km to the trenches/dugouts. Then the guys walk the rest of the way, carrying 20–40 kg of stuff: ammo, gear, water, food, and tactical electronic warfare equipment."
"Sometimes UGVs are used for logistics and evac on the front lines. This type of technology is still in its infancy, and there are many problems with UGVs. But often they are the last straw that people grab onto when they need to make an important delivery or pick up a wounded soldier."