In April 1989, KKR bought RJR for $30.8 billion. The deal was 6x larger than any other buyout and exceeded "the $29.5 billion cash value of the seven other biggest LBOs." It remained the largest buyout for eighteen years.
Here's the story...
It starts with RJR's CEO—Ross Johnson. By October 1988, Johnson had a solid three-year operating record:
+20% sales
+50% earnings
+66% EPS
The problem: RJR's stock price
"The company was going like gangbusters but the [stock] got beaten down."
Johnson's solution: An LBO
Here's his LBO pitch to RJR's board:
"It's plain as the nose on your face that this company is wildly undervalued. We're sitting on food assets worth 22-25 times earnings and we trade at 9 times. We've studied ways of increasing value. I believe the only way is through an LBO."
But Henry Kravis had the same idea.
Kravis viewed RJR as the "ideal LBO" with "every characteristic that you could possibly look for," including:
An "epic" bidding war ensued between Johnson and Kravis. "Everything on Wall Street stopped. It was like two gunfighters in the street. And everyone wanted to watch or pick up a gun."
- Opening bid: $75 a share (10/20/1988)
- Winning bid: $109 a share (11/30/1988)
Junk bonds comprised ~25% of both bids. RJR worried these "securities weren't worth anywhere near 100 cents on the dollar." So Kravis agreed to "'reset' mechanisms that guaranteed the bonds traded at [par]."
But after the deal closed, "the reset mechanism turned into a financial death trap." In January 1990, despite results "ahead of projections on virtually every measure," Moody's downgraded RJR. As RJR's bonds collapsed, Kravis scrambled to avoid a "reset at a rate of 25% or more."
Kravis faced another crisis: The price Wars
For the first time, low-priced cigarettes were taking share from premium brands. Philip Morris, the industry price leader, responded by cutting retail prices by 20% in one day. These price cuts "absolutely knocked the wind out of RJR."
Buffett bought RJR's distressed debt in 1990. He paid ~67 cents for the exchangeable reset debentures. The bonds were called 1.5 years later.
[note: ~67 cents of par plus accrued]
FOOTNOTE: BUFFETT ON THE LBO
Buffett blessed Salomon's minority commitment in the Johnson bid.
His remarks about cigarette economics:
- It costs a penny to make
- It sells for a dollar
- It's addictive
And there's fantastic brand loyalty.
FOOTNOTE: PRITZKER
The Pritzkers joined a longshot competing bid. Their $600 million investment would've made RJR "twice the largest commitment the family had ever made."
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In 1982, Buffett bought 6% of Bayuk for his private account. His $572,907 investment produced a 50% IRR with "virtually no risk."
Here's the story…
Bayuk was the US's fourth-largest cigar maker. Their low-priced Phillies and Garcia Y Vega brands earned $3M pre-tax but "had been in decline over the past decade." Bayuk also owned $15M of securities. The board wanted to sell these assets "without paying [capital gains] taxes."
The solution? Liquidate.
On December 21, 1981, shareholders voted to (a) sell the cigar assets to American Maize, (b) convert the securities to cash and (c) liquidate the company and distribute the proceeds to shareholders.
In 1964, Buffett put $2.8M of his $17.5M fund into AMEX. AMEX grew to a 40% holding, "the largest investment the partnership ever made," and compounded at 50% for four years.
Here's the story…
"Things had never looked rosier at AMEX than they did in mid-November 1963." Traveler's checks. Charge cards. Deposits. Earnings. The stock. Everything was "growing by leaps and bounds." AMEX was a "true growth stock of prime investment quality.
But that was about to change.
On December 2, 1963, the WSJ broke a story about fraud at an AMEX subsidiary. American Express Warehousing, Ltd. issued $82M of receipts against salad oil inventory that "was either missing or had never existed." And this subsidiary had just $100K of net worth to back the claims.
A Case Study in Capital Allocation: Philadelphia & Reading
In 1955, Ben Graham took control of P&R. Over the next 12 years, Graham transformed P&R from a failing coal mine into a high-return holding company.
Here's why P&R was Buffett's
- Largest investment
- Berkshire template
P&R was "a leading producer of anthracite coal." Anthracite was a dying market that had been "artificially inflated" by a postwar boom. And the boom allowed P&R to do "pretty well from 1946 on" despite management that ran the company "like a fine old nonprofit."
Enter Ben Graham
Why'd Graham like P&R?
Three reasons: "room for smart management to make improvements"; an "overcapitalized" balance sheet and "enormous" inventories; and an $18 stock vs $2 of EPS and $32 of equity.
"It was tailored to Ben Graham's specifications as an attractive investment."
NAFI was a long-forgotten fraud. It didn’t file with the SEC or trade on an exchange, and the guy who ran it “hated stockholders.” Yet Buffett went door-to-door buying 10% of the float. Why? See below to find out.
NAFI began in 1919 as a stock promotion. The promoters sold shares to “Nebraska and Iowa farmers and small-town merchants who had little idea what it was worth.” These retail investors soon learned their shares were “worthless” and “lost hope ever seeing their money again.”
For the next 30 years, shares sat “crumbling in drawers.” But NAFI had been transformed from a fraud into a thriving business. Howard Ahmanson, the original promoter’s son, took control and “was feeding top-drawer insurance business into NAFI” through his California S&L empire.