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Edwin Hayward Profile picture
@edwinhayward
May 31 • 8 tweets • 4 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
The Australia and NZ trade deals kick in today.

According to the official UK Government impact assessments, they will mean losses of:

- £142 million a year to British agriculture, forestry and fishing.

- £322 million a year to British semi-processed food manufacturers.
What's happening here is that the Tories decided to pick winners and losers, favouring one sector over another.

So for example Australia's deal is supposed to benefit manufacturers of motor vehicles, and of machinery and equipment.
gov.uk/government/pub… Image
New Zealand's deal is structured very similarly, so of course British farmers and other similar sectors get it in the neck.

Again, other interests have been prioritised instead.
gov.uk/government/pub… Image
But there's an extra sting waiting down the road.

Eventually - in some cases quite soon - the UK's quotas for various products (beef, sheep meat, cheese etc.) will go from generous to infinite and our domestic market will be completely unprotected.

The EU is much more cautious. Image
SOURCES FOR THE PREVIOUS TABLE

Link to info about EU deal (PDF) ec.europa.eu/commission/pre…

Link to relevant chapter of UK deal (PDF) assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl…
British apple farmers are in one of the worst positions when it comes to accelerated quota removal.

After 3 years of fixed quotas for duty-free apples, New Zealand growers can send us unlimited amounts duty free.

SOURCE
assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl… Image
Bear in mind too that the losses are likely to be experienced very quickly.

If you sniff around the Australian and NZ media for more than a few minutes, you'll discover that their farmers are already poised to accelerate shipments to the UK.
And if your first reaction is schadenfreude at those pesky Leave-voting British farmers finally getting their comeuppance, snap out of it.

Everyone's an ally when it comes to reversing the damage caused by Brexit. Until you see that, nothing will change.

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More from @edwinhayward

Edwin Hayward Profile picture
May 31
Labour are making a big mistake with their pro-Brexit stance. But the LibDems are missing an opportunity as wide as the ocean.

Why the LD aren't shouting about the failures of Brexit all day every day is beyond me. They have unlimited ammunition.
archive.ph/HERRo Image
Substitute "plans" for "LibDem policy on Brexit" and this Douglas Adams quote from the always hilarious Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy sums things up pretty well...

(Deciding something at Conference doesn't count. That has 0.00% cut-through with ordinary people.) Image
More context...

There are currently 1,113 entries in the David Downside Dossier on Brexit.

That's 1,113 opportunities the LibDems had and missed to point out the damage it's causing.
yorkshirebylines.co.uk/regular-featur…
Read 4 tweets
Edwin Hayward Profile picture
May 31
Starmer: "Every day it isn’t built upon, our European friends and competitors aren’t just eating our lunch – they’re nicking our dinner money as well."

What a way to describe the behaviour of those you claim to want to establish better relations with.
express.co.uk/news/politics/… Image
And here is Keir Starmer himself, merrily promoting that very article in the Express...
He's getting plenty of press coverage out of it. This is from the Guardian politics live blog... Image
Read 4 tweets
Edwin Hayward Profile picture
May 30
As arguments rage around the submission of evidence to the Covid inquiry, remember that the UK had by far the worst death toll of any advanced island nation.

We literally wasted the natural protection geography afforded us.

And that's down to poor decisions taken by the Tories. twitter.com/i/web/status/1… Image
Takeaways: the UK suffered more deaths per capita than any other advanced island nation, not just during the "first wave" of the pandemic, but also after we were much more familiar with the disease.

Here's a link to a PDF version (easier to read).
drive.google.com/file/d/1zEJ7H3…
When the Tories claim they did everything they could to keep people safe, nothing could be further from the truth.

Way way way back at the beginning of the pandemic, in March 2020, I'd already broken down all the ways they'd made wrong fateful decisions.
Read 4 tweets
Edwin Hayward Profile picture
May 30
🧵The Tories are playing a shell game with the cost of incoming border controls.

Jacob Rees-Mogg explained they will cost businesses £1 billion a year when he announced a delay.

£1 billion. A year. Every year.

Please keep that figure in mind when you read the next tweet.

1/4 Image
Now, the Tories are boasting about a saving of £400 million a year from the new border operating model coming later in 2023.

But £400 million is a fake saving. It's £400 million less than the £1 billion of the old estimate.

Actual cost to firms: £600 million a year.

2/4 Image
It's equivalent to saying "You can save £4 on a museum ticket compared to the anticipated £10 ticket price" about a museum that's currently free to enter.

The news story isn't the saving. It's the £6 cost that museum-goers face for the first time.

£4 focus is deceitful.

3/4
Read 4 tweets
Edwin Hayward Profile picture
May 19
BREAKING: Stash of 'Leave Porn' Discovered in Unmarked locker 🚨

Authorities were stunned today when they broke open a rusty old locker, jammed shut since the 2016 Brexit referendum, only to find that it was stacked high with 'Leave porn' videos.
Chief investigator P Arody said: "There's some sick stuff in there. Filth that makes Britain's waterways look like crystal clear mountain streams by comparison."

Selected videos have been released to the public. They come with a heavy warning.
This third video is being distributed with a legal disclaimer, which viewers must agree to before being exposed to the depraved material.

P Arody: "Keep this stuff away from children. It corrupts like battery acid."
Read 4 tweets
Edwin Hayward Profile picture
May 19
"UK’s £1bn strategy for semiconductor industry lacks ambition, say critics"

£1 billion to go up against the £42 billion being deployed by the US, and the £37 billion by the EU. Like going to war with a pea shooter. Wouldn't even pay for one chip fab. theguardian.com/business/2023/…
But you can bet the Tories and the RW press will talk it up as if it will deliver global domination in the chip market to Britain.
Reminder: Intel plans to invest up to 80 billion euros in the EU in the next decade, and have already committed 17 billion euro.

They haven't earmarked so much as a brass penny for the UK.
intel.co.uk/content/www/uk… Image
Read 4 tweets

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