We run an RCT where:
👉Young voters are given positive or negative info about the central government performance (different policy areas).
👉Information based on articles from mainstream Portuguese media.
👉Treatment provided right before the 2017 local election (2/8)
Our goal is to assess if:
👉 Positive and negative info have different effects on government performance perception;
👉 If an updated general government performance spills over to voting behaviour on local elections;
👉 The impact is different for younger/undecided voters. (3/8)
We 🚨 find 🚨:
👉Strong evidence of negativity bias on perception updating: negative information matters more for general performance perception;
👉Little evidence that voting in local elections is strongly affected by perceptions about central government behaviour (4/8)
Important 🚨heterogeneity results 🚨:
👉 Younger voters have a stronger negativity bias (they react more to negative and discount positive info);
👉 Undecided voters react to negative information by voting less and using the local vote to punish central government (5/8)
🚨Policy implications🚨:
👉Negative news (even if factual) have larger effects than positive ones;
👉Young voters are more sensitive to (negative) media information.
👉Findings useful to understand implications of communication tone for voters' perceptions and behaviour (6/8)
On a personal note, this is the first chapter of my PhD thesis to find a home.
The process was tough and sometimes frustrating, but I am happy to see it published @ElectoralStdies, and with such a great group of co-authors.
Questions/comments are welcome. (8/8)
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We show that, even with the sizeable coverage of the furlough scheme in PT:
👉unemployment (registrations in public employment offices) increased
👉new job placements decreased during the first months of the pandemic. (2/8)
The dual nature of the Portuguese labour market played a key role:
👉unemployment increased more municipalities with higher share of temporary workers;
👉increases in registrations are mostly driven from individuals whose temporary contract was not renewed and by dismissals (3/8)