José Miguel Cerdeira Profile picture
Jun 1 10 tweets 3 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
1/10 Last week on the 🇦🇴Angolan economy

🏦Treasury started issuing short-term public debt, totaling AOA 3.5Bn in 364-day Treasury Bills, at a yield of 10.75%, -0.25 pp to the last issue of the same maturity in the end of 2022.

Yield dropped another 0.25pp this week.

#Angola Image
2/10 📊 In the first auction, the offer stood at AOA 30Bn, with demand at AOA 12.6Bn. The Treasury chose to issue less and bring the yield down, setting th tone for the following issues.

3 and 6 month issues should follow in the coming weeks.
3/10 💼 According to the Annual Debt Program, around AOA 3.1Tn will be raised via internal debt this year, with AOA 0.6Tn corresponding to Treasury Bills and the rest distributed between Treasury Bonds and loan agreements.
4/10📜 The new General Labor Law was passed with an overwhelming majority, replacing the previous legislation from 2015.

🔧The law is more favourable towards workers & presents several changes regarding working hours, remuneration, vacation, licenses, contract termination, etc.
5/10 📝 Key features include the default adoption of open-ended employment contracts, allowing for telework and service commission as special form contracts.

Also, amendments to the regulation governing worker mobility within a group of companies.
6/10 💵 The law also ends the distiction between large and small companies as a criterion for determining worker benefits such as compensation for firings.

Paternity leave broadened from 1 to 15 days (still not a lot, but what a difference).
🏦 According to Jornal Expansão, banking profits fell to AOA 372.9 Bn (-11% yoy), heavily impacted by the AOA 120Bn losses recorded by the publicly-owned Banco de Poupança e Crédito (BPC).

expansao.co.ao/empresas/inter…
8/10 💰 Excluding BPC, banking profits totaled AOA 493.3 Bn in 2022 (AOA -6.4 Bn compared to 2021).

Out of the 23 banks operating in Angola, 20 released their reports with 18 registering profits and the rest, losses.
9/10 🏆 BFA - which, full disclaimer, is my employer - continues to lead in terms of profits, with BAI maintaining the most assets, and BIC continues to hold the largest loan portfolio.

(Also other news regarding BFA this week, but I'd rather not comment them given my position)
10/10 💱 Finally, the Kwanza persisted in its downward trajectory against the Dollar and the Euro, depreciating around 4.18% and 3.64% respectively by the end of the week.

The move continued heavy this week, let's see how far it goes. If you ask me, it's an overshoot. Image

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with José Miguel Cerdeira

José Miguel Cerdeira Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @JMCerdeira

Jun 2
🇦🇴 #Angola's economy has been heavily dependent on oil exports, the primary source of its forex.

There's a need for economic diversification and it remains muted; however, we see some green shoots, exports rising

Follow the thread🧵 #AngolanEconomy

(+)
According to the Harvard Growth Lab Atlas of Economic Complexity, Angola's exports indicated the lowest ranking in the World in 2020.

Exports are 99% crude, refined oil, LNG, and diamonds.

(+) Image
👀Looking at tax authority data up to April 2023, we look at what non-oil exports are beginning to appear in statistics.

Legacy non-oil exports include wood, shrimp and cement.

Except for wood, no sustainable growth there.

(+) ImageImageImage
Read 14 tweets
Nov 21, 2022
🧵Last week in the economy of #Angola

👨‍🏫👩‍⚕️The unemployment rate dropped 4.1pp in Q3 2022, to a still very high level of 30.0%. Still, the largest drop since the statistical series began, in 2019.

Graph makes it look like decrease not as good as in prev. quarters, but this (+)
is because the labour market is seasonal. Unemployment always rose from Q2 to Q3, so a mild decline is good news. In fact, this is the lowest unemployment rate since Q2 2019 (29.0%).

🎓Youth unemployment rate still super high at 54.2% - a drop of 5pp from same quarter 2021. (+)
📍Interestingly, in 15-24 years old, unmployment is down 10.2% yoy, employment is up 9.9% yoy, and the inactive population is up 51.5% - lot of young people studying again.

🏙️Largest decrease was in urban unempl., to 37.6% in Q3 (-2.4pp yoy); rural unempl. rose 2.3pp to 16.6%.
Read 7 tweets
Jun 27, 2022
🇦🇴Last 3 weeks in the Angolan economy (I was on vacations for a week 😅)

1. 📈Q1 economic sentiment improved, rising for the 5th quarter in a row.

Almost all sectors recorded quarterly and year on year increases, with the exception of 🏪Retail (-4 against Q4 2021).

#Angola
🚍Transport sector again showed the largest yoy growth (+37 pts), followed by Tourism (+23pts), consistent with the trend of more relaxed anti-Covid measures in Angola.

Pieces of news reporting more buses have been a constant, by the way.

rna.ao/rna.ao/2022/04…
2.🛢️TotalEnergies divulged a positive Final Investment Decision on CLOV Phase 3, a development in Block 17 (largest producing block in Angola) which could yield additional production of 0,03 million barrels per day.

It's small but it adds up to other recent projects in Block 17
Read 18 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(