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The interesting thing about Steve Garvey entering #CASen and running a well-funded campaign is that this changes the calculus for the Democrats running.
Garvey likely advances to the general, so the round-1 leader between Schiff/Porter/Lee would be the de-facto next Senator.
Garvey likely advances to the general, so the round-1 leader between Schiff/Porter/Lee would be the de-facto next Senator.
https://twitter.com/baseballot/status/1664341294439604225
*However*, if Garvey didn't get in, you could see a scenario in which a Dem-on-Dem second round would result in all kinds of coalitions being formed between the voters of the eliminated candidates.
Like, if it's Schiff vs Porter, who would Barbara Lee's supporters break for?
Like, if it's Schiff vs Porter, who would Barbara Lee's supporters break for?
And so if Garvey gets in and locks up the GOP vote, that means the first round becomes way more important for the Democratic candidates, because whoever leads this one would likely be the only Dem candidate advancing. Which may result in totally different campaign strategies.
It is not the job of Republicans to elect Democrats (though they do an amazing job of that lately), but Garvey would be a boon to Adam Schiff. Rs would almost certainly break for whichever candidate opposes him in round 2, which would have made his task vs Porter/Lee harder.
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