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https://x.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1767198788689465639?s=20
https://x.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1767198792464433293?s=20
https://twitter.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1731527409868939354Now, to tie this back to the original post: Book bans themselves are just a symptom of why Democrats overperform in these races. When successfully weaponized, they repulse people by making the opposition look really extreme — usually because they have other crazy stances too.
https://twitter.com/brent_peabody/status/1716843809307263260@SplitTicket_ You can say that Barnes *still* underperformed because Ron Johnson was a bad incumbent (I have seen this argument from a couple data people I do respect) but I am personally not sure that I'd chalk this loss down to Dems picking a poor candidate, given the spending data here.
https://twitter.com/karaswisher/status/1693814364220895333There was this recognition in SV (at least, among those I know) that Elon was both brilliant in some technical aspects and *also* very socially inept with a reputation that was somewhat overinflated from the PayPal exit. Somewhere along the line, people forgot about the last part
https://twitter.com/jrrosswrites/status/1681483344289099778Yes, it's a low turnout election and swings are magnified there. But what would be good to remember is...
https://twitter.com/baseballot/status/1664341294439604225*However*, if Garvey didn't get in, you could see a scenario in which a Dem-on-Dem second round would result in all kinds of coalitions being formed between the voters of the eliminated candidates.
https://twitter.com/hollystallcup/status/1661524572494020612“it is important to me to take my public leadership seriously” sorry but literally who are you
https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/1659248960555319314I have written many times about how I think the fact that there are only two parties means that neither the GOP nor the Dems are likely to ever really be locked out of power for too long — the vacuum created by dissatisfied voters is usually filled by someone eventually. But...
https://twitter.com/SeanTrende/status/1658858790228316166I'm sorry, I really do hate to be critical of any forecaster or analyst, because I know how hard elections analysis is. But we also have a duty to stay factual and honest, and all this article does is skirt around and wrongly dismiss things that we have obvious data.
https://twitter.com/varadmehta/status/1655624532332359689The one thing that has consistently rung true in American politics is that people (including analysts) conflate a diagnosis with a death sentence. We've seen from things like "The Emerging Democratic Majority" and the "Permanent Republican Majority" that this is always dumb.
https://twitter.com/PatrickRuffini/status/1653580843955134466There are a lot of problems Democrats need to solve with Black turnout, but one contextualizing caveat is that this always plunges in midterms, and especially in midterms with a Dem in the White House, so the decline between 2018 and 2022 can be a bit overstated.