Another gangbusters payrolls report. Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 339,000 in May; forecast had been for ~190,000.
In 13 of the past 14 months, the jobs number has exceeded forecasts.
The change for April was also revised up by 41,000, from +253,000 to +294,000.
Construction hiring accelerated slightly from previous few months. This is despite rising interest rates, which should be discouraging building.
Wonder how much of this might be related to some of the CHIPS/infrastructure/IRA industrial policy? Seems too early
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Remember concerns about how the 2020 "she-cession" might set working women back a generation?
The labor force participation rate for prime-working-age women (25-54) just hit an all-time high.
Share of women in this age group who have jobs is also at an all-time high (tied with level from April)
Same is not true of prime-working-age men: Neither their labor-force participation rate nor their e-pop is even back to the pre-pandemic cyclical peak, and way down from record highs.
“No one is teaching your kids to be gay,” a Florida teacher told the room. “Sometimes, they just are gay. I have math to teach. I literally don’t have time to teach your kids to be gay.” washingtonpost.com/opinions/2023/…
in all fairness, there are schools in FL that think math class should reflect conservative Christian values. I know because my dad (who is Jewish) applied to teach accounting at a small local Christian college and was asked how he planned to ensure it was "Christian accounting"
I forget if I've shared this story publicly before. But the guy interviewing my father explained that he taught "Christian statistics"
For first time on record, YoY productivity change has remained negative for five consecutive quarters; this series began in 1948. bls.gov/news.release/p…
current business cycle is showing historically low productivity growth.
among other things, this trend does not bode well for our longer-term fiscal & economic outlooks, which lawmakers profess to care so much about right now amid the debt-limit fight.
Wonder how many other House D progressives will oppose. Seems like not enough to threaten passage, given House D leadership has come out in favor of the bill.
A running tally of Senate R's who say they'll vote against the Biden-McCarthy debt limit deal. Recall that the bill needs 60 Senate votes to clear a procedural hurdle, so both D+R votes needed. 🧵
Note that CBO scores the rescission of IRS funding specified in the bill text** as expanding deficits. $1.4b clawed back, leading to a drop in revenues of $2.3,B for a net deficit expansion of $900m.
**which understates the size of the full rescission agreed to!
The bill text specifies "only" $1.4B being taken away from IRS.
But, separately, the White House has agreed to "repurpose" another $20B, officially accounted for across FY 2024 & FY2025, so the $ can be used for other priorities.