Stock has come out of a 70 weeks consolidation post Q4FY23 numbers.
Company has emphasized three things: (1) Chinese chemical industry revival has min to no bearing on them (2) Company never benefitted from Chinese plants shutting down.
1/n
(3) Company is global leader in its key products with China & other geographies in the second & third spot.
Electrolyte Additives: (1) Received approval from 06 customers worldwide (2) Received plant scale trial commercial orders of few metric tons (3) Expecting big order
2/n
(4) Two more products developed & in advanced stages of validation.
Company has successfully signed long term LOIs & contracts with their big customers.
Company will now be doing 3 advanced intermediates for Fermion which will increase their contract manyfold.
3/n
(5) During FY23, company has developed several niche specialty chemical products, which are at different stages of validations and approvals.
(6) Company announced the acquisition of 55% stake in Baba Fine Chemicals last month, gaining entry into semiconductor industry.
4/n
Looking at tailwinds in FY24 as mentioned by company, we can expect possibility of stock getting rerated and retesting its previous high of 1430.30.
Further strength will be evident once the fundamental levers start playing out
Snapshot: (1) The synthetic rubber market is mainly driven by the tyre segment, the largest end-use segment of synthetic rubber, followed by automotive. (2) The trend of reducing greenhouse gas emissions in vehicles has also increased synthetic rubber
1/n
demand in the automotive industry. (3) Nitrile latex for gloves is a new emulsion polymer that your company has developed through internal R&D. (4) It was successfully scaled up in FY 2020-21 and is currently only manufactured by your company in India.
2/n
(5) During FY23, the company commissioned a 50,000 MTPA facility at Valia plant for manufacturing Nitrile Latex which is easily scalable to 80,000 MTPA. (6) The company's major raw materials are petrochemical products, and its business could be vulnerable to high volatility
The problem with linear scale is when zoomed out to view long-term price history it can make the chart look parabolic or scary to retail investors. Commonly, when a security's price range over the period being studied is greater than 20%, a log scale chart should be used.
3/n
Long-term charts consisting of X years should also be plotted on the log scale. This becomes even more important when charting growth stocks. Log scale help investors visualize a nice consistent uptrend while softening chart volatility which in turn helps take out emotion.