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The news of the arrest of the senior officer, who serves as the commander of the russian 72nd brigade, by Wagner, took many by surprise. However, this situation has been unfolding for some time now, as I mentioned in a thread over a month ago.
The news of the arrest of the senior officer, who serves as the commander of the russian 72nd brigade, by Wagner, took many by surprise. However, this situation has been unfolding for some time now, as I mentioned in a thread over a month ago.
https://twitter.com/Tatarigami_UA/status/1652714096645611520
2/ Although some people dismissed the information I previously provided as propaganda or lacking evidence, the ongoing power dynamics and events serve as evidence. Let's closely examine the situation
3/ While many soldiers in the Ministry of Defense either respect or would like to join Wagner, mostly due to higher payments, which are typically disbursed more reliably than those from the MoD, the sentiment among Russian senior officers is quite the opposite.
4/ On average, Wagner tends to view officers from the Ministry of Defense (MoD) as inefficient bureaucrats who waste paper and fail to effectively carry out missions. Conversely, senior Russian MoD officers generally regard Wagner as an unreliable and uncontrollable private gang.
5/ This latest incident between the MoD and Wagner is not the first known incident of its kind. While previous conflicts, primarily resulting from friendly fire between the MoD and Wagner, have been resolved in the past, the situation continues to worsen
6/ The conflict between the 72nd brigade and Wagner dates back to when the Ukrainian 3rd assault brigade successfully pushed the 72nd brigade from positions that were previously under Wagner's control.
7/ Wagner's ability to administer justice and deploy its own police force in occupied territories, undermines the state's monopoly on violence. While some assume the state has full control over Wagner's activities, we can observe a more complex power dynamic.
8/ Evgeniy Prigozhin does not operate as an isolated individual in this power dynamics and enjoys significant support from certain circles within the Kremlin. Situation is unlikely to improve in the near future and will continue to escalate as central power looks weaker
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