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Trent Telenko Profile picture
@TrentTelenko
Jun 5 • 6 tweets • 2 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
Welcome to the era of "NCO Air Forces," drones in the hands of non-commissioned officers supporting light infantry companies and platoons with local airpower sporting precision firepower.

Big centralized western air forces and artillery organizations now have a combat
1/
...relevance problem.

Drones are a disruptive innovation to big costly platforms as they provide some of the big platforms firepower capabilities very cheaply.

In addition, drones give local 'G-ds eye view' infantry never had before while the big platforms are completely
2/
...irrelevant in stopping the drone threat.

This is a prescription to disinvest in big platforms to provide small infantry formations with organic electronic warfare capabilities to deal with drones.

3/
 armyupress.army.mil/Journals/Milit…
And a lot of people and military institutions are thinking along the lines of a integrated drone & electronic warfare capability going forward.

4/
c4isrnet.com/electronic-war…
In my view, a new combined arms drone/electronic warfare military branch is going to eat US Army aviation, artillery, air defense & military intelligence branches with a few unit names to mark their passing like horse cavalry.

But only after the USA loses a war for its lack.
5/
There are too many organizational 'iron rice bowls' involved for it to happen any other way.😭

6/6 End

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More from @TrentTelenko

Trent Telenko Profile picture
Jun 7
This 🧵is a Telenko family history of the development of the M-1 Abrams tank with my observations of the horses--t being thrown against the wall implying Ukraine cannot operate the Abrams.

The man below is the late Col. George Telenko, West Point Class of 1962.
1/ Image
Dad was the armor officer the US Army chose to turn the Lima Army Modification Center into the Lima Army Tank Plant in the late 1970's.

As I was going to high school at Lima Shawnee, Dad was turning a repurposed steam train manufacturing facility into a state of the art

2/
...tank manufacturing plant. Today it is known as the "Joint Manufacturing Center - Lima."

When this tank rolled out to the media in 1980.

I was there as a reporter for the Lima Shawnee student newspaper. Nepotism has its privileges'...

2/
 tacom.army.mil/jsmc-lima Image
Read 23 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Jun 6
There is a great deal about the 6 June 1944 Operation Neptune/D-Day/Normandy landings that isn't yet included in the 'historic narrative.'

This mega-thread on D-Day signals was one of my attempts to change that.

1/
This thread on the history of the 8th Air Force's 36th Heavy Bomber Squadron (RCM) was another.

2/
Some of Russia's electronic warfare tactics at the Kerch Straits bridge were literally from the Normandy landings electronic warfare play book:

3/
Read 10 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Jun 6
@secretsqrl123
@ItsTheEnforcer
@lookner

This video shows three distinct blasts from emplaced explosives at the #Kakhovkadam


1/5
The explosive detonation for this was bigger than the WW2 Dambusters breaches.

Clearly this is a lot of pre-placed demolition charges being activated.

No missile in Ukrainian service can deliver that much explosive payload, nor in three distinct blasts.

2/5 ImageImageImage
Issues going forward:

1. ZNPP nuclear cooling once the water abates

2. Crimean canal is fed from this reservoir. The dam destruction means Putin does not plan to keep water flowing to Crimea i.e. he no longer thinks RuAF can hold Crimea.

3/5
Read 5 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Jun 5
Ukraine's MoD say that they will be developing the offensive on multiple axes while on the defensive in other places.

I'm looking for Ukraine to develop multiple lines of approach before concentrating on any one axis.

The final choice & when will depend on conditions.

1/
This process could go on for weeks as AFU pulls Russian reserves into deep fires kill zones.

What we are seeing reported now is straight up late 1944 Red Army & late Cold War US Army covering force tactics. You push a mechanized infantry force into the 1st line of resistance
2/
...to get the other side to open up. You then identify enemy fighting positions and call in artillery hell.

If the front line is lightly held, you move forward and develop the situation until you do hit resistance.

3/
Read 11 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Jun 4
This 🧵is my "Ukrainian Offensive is coming versus recent events" check list.

Your mileage/checklists may vary from mine.

1. I'm seeing systematic destruction of front line RuAF artillery tubes to the tune of 800(+) systems since 12 April 2023

1/
Russia lost 32 artillery tubes on 3 June 2023 by AFU count and @wartranslated latest translation here make me think the Russians are afraid of shooting artillery for fear of Ukrainian counter-battery fires.

Check #1

2/
2. A destruction of enemy air defenses (DEAD) campaign against Russian REB jammer complexes.

This Russian jammer kill is from 31 May 2023.

3/
Read 22 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Jun 2
Drone strikes are 21st century airpower.

And the problem with cheap, small, slow, but accurate propeller drones is that they make missile based ground & jet fighter air defenses obsolete.

Drone threat🧵
1/
This is a pure cost-trade failure on the part of missiles.

A $10K to $99K prop drone with a 10 to 50 kg explosive payload is facing off against a $300K to $3 million missile.

And this leaves aside the issue of air defense missile collateral damage.
2/
 t.me/dvish_alive/24…
There is increasing evidence across all social media of Libya 1986/Operation Eldorado Canyon redux air defense missile collateral damage in Russia & Ukraine. (link)

3/
 en.defence-ua.com/events/missile… ImageImage
Read 16 tweets

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