im wendy, a pm in big tech, and im going to walk YOU through a day in my glamorous life
theres nothing like a commute to the office to get you warmed up for a day shepherding your team to build a product. i like to use my time to stretch my wings and take in the city and remember how much i believe in what i do
10am, time for standup! its nice to see the boys pretending to have made progress on what they promised theyd do yesterday
what? no, its not a costume day. 90% of SWEs are furries and we encourage everyone to bring their whole selves to work!
after replying to some slack messages from 1am and updating all of my gantt charts ive got an impromptu 1:1 with the director of product
he looks chipper which is usually bad news. it turns out he had an idea for a new product direction last night after a long talk with GPT
our annual mandatory diversity training is after lunch and im in a session with my DS and his intern
i break the news to him as gently as possible that we're going to be re-goaling and whether he likes it or not the new KR is increasing the number of fonts on our landing page
at our call with sales the director neglects to show up to walk them through his new vision. sales is not happy
im not happy either but i cover for him. he'd better appreciate this (he won't)
after THAT'S over i grab an empty conference room to talk the team through the new plan requirements.
they're going to have to learn to code in esperanto. i didn't even know you could do that but i guess it is a universal language
im going to be up until 3am updating my gantt charts but you know what
fuck it
i decide to blow the rest of our morale budget on a mandatory tiki bar crawl
i turn in at 3:30am after tidying up my canopy bed
im going to be incredibly hungover tomorrow but the coffee will be hot and even if it werent id still be the only remotely responsible person in the entire org
as a PM its important to take pride in what you being to the table
if you're a former or current coworker reading this please know that i hold you in the highest regard
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israel is NOT an ally of america. theyre aggressively trying to capture our strategic ashkenazi resources. is that how an ally behaves?
a true America First policy would be ANTIZIONIST
jews dont belong in israel. they belong in new york and its time to come home
the eigenrobot administration is prepared to agree to a population swap of 100 american muslims repatriated to arabia for each israeli returned to us
im also prepared to accept a "Two State' solution wherein palestinians from gaza and the west bank will be resettled in michigan territory redesignated "new palestine" and expelled from the union. in exchange the US will accept all current Israeli territory as a new 50th state
but yes im sorry the credibility revolution was a mistake and economics has long since abandoned careful empirical work for atheoretical regression slop that it massively overinterprets to mindlessly support political claims
my advice to you is if you ever want to ruin a party full of applied econometricians talking about the effect of immigration on native employment, bring up the mariel boatlift after everyone is several drinks in
you may find result enlightening and you'll certainly have some fun
fun inside story
when seattle implemented a $15/hr minimum wage they asked some ppl at UW to do a study of the employment effects
the big paper dropped in 2017 and found huge disemployment effects
so the city immediately disavowed it and ran to amherst for a rebuttal
we can easily exploit this with secondary markets in H1B workers. all we need to do is buy up 63 H1Bs for a guaranteed successful IPO. vcs are leaving trillion dollar bills on the ground here
its a reasonable microeconomics paper with a plausible identification method and lots of regressions that are highly suggestive if you dont think about them too much
(are patents actually predictive of ipo success? are the h1bs producing these patents themselves? lol who knows)
the literature review provides some complementary evidence, some of which is interesting context and some of which flatly contradicts the claim tabarrok would like to make
This dynamic is _not_ obviously gainfully-modeled as IPD. Instead of acting simultaneously, one agent (here representing something like a D/R coalition) decides to act in each round.
Who acts next round is nondeterministic and may be affected by actions this round.
More things to consider in this model:
1. If party institutions are ahistorically weak, which I think they are now, discounting of future rounds ought to be treated as relatively intense, which makes commitment more difficult
the vital urge to say "ok, how is this wrong" starts to fade as you get older, because you've played that game so many times that it gets tiresome and you start to think you know what that room holds
usually you're right, but it's an easy way to get stuck
second issue is the cost of doing this sort of inquiry gets higher as you accumulate more committed beliefs or expectations
once more, you're usually more likely to be "correct" at any given moment, but updating gets very costly as your world model is built out and solidified
its been a long week so tonight please relax as i relate to you the tale of a great episode in american autism
our third president, thomas jefferson, was immensely autistic
he spent much of his time inventing questionably useful devices, getting hung up on and beefing over irrelevant abstractions, pursuing unwise relationships w subordinates, and recording data for no particular reason
he combined several of these hobbies in an extended incident in the court of france where he was serving as america's ambassador ("minister plenipotentiary") in the mid 1780s, succeeding a real scientist and charmer, benjamin franklin