ChrisO_wiki Profile picture
Jun 7, 2023 17 tweets 5 min read Read on X
1/ This very good thread from @TomGiuretis highlights the vital role that the canals fed from the Dnipro play in the agriculture of southern Ukraine and Crimea. But I thought I'd add a historical perspective to how the canals changed life there.
2/ As Tom says, and I can attest as well having been there myself, it's a completely flat landscape of endless fields. It's watered by four major canals and innumerable side canals and irrigation channels. The Dnipro's water has made it a hugely productive farming region. Image
3/ That, however, is quite a recent development. The canals were only built between the 1950s and the 1980s by the Soviet Union. Before then, the region south of the Dnipro was a hot, arid, dusty plain with frequent droughts, dust storms and crop failures.
4/ This has had significant military consequences in the past. Russian armies under Prince Vasily Golitsyn attempted to invade the region in 1687 and 1689, but found their horses starving for the lack of any grass to eat. They retreated and lost 70,000 men in the process. Image
5/ Although the soil was fertile and the warm climate allowed for long growing seasons, the problem was that there wasn't enough water. Soviet agronomists found that it took 500 tons of water to grow a single ton of grain in the region.
5/ Leonid Melnikov, who served as the First Secretary of the Communist Party of Ukraine in the last years of Stalin's rule, described the situation before the construction of the canals in an article published in October 1950: Image
7/ "The fertile soils of these regions do not always properly reward the labours of the collective farmers... Dry winds and black dust storms frequently devastate the fields and destroy the fruits of the labour of many thousands of people.
8/ "Suffice it to say that in 60 years, at the junction of the nineteenth and twentieth centuries, there were 20 drought-stricken years in the southern districts of the Ukraine.
9/ "In those years, the yields of the principal crop – winter wheat – averaged from 0.09 to 0.3 tons per hectare, and some crops perished altogether.

The yields of grain and industrial crops in the southern Ukraine were often unstable.
10/ "Drought, occurring every three or four years, frequently assumed the proportions of a calamity and weakened the economy in the drought-stricken districts as well as that of the whole republic...
11/ "Owing to inadequate yields and insufficient development of productive livestock farming, the incomes of the collective farms in the southern districts of Kherson, Nikolayev, Zaporozyhe, and other regions were much lower than in the northern districts of the republic."
12/ (USSR Information Bulletin, October 13, 1950, p. 583)
13/ Unfortunately, Russia's reckless destruction of the dam is already leading to water draining out of the canals into the emptying Dnipro river. There's still a lot of water in the canals, but they will dry out in the next few weeks or months.
14/ It's likely to be a long time before the dam is rebuilt – that will certainly not happen while it's on a front line. In the meantime, farmers in southern Ukraine will find the land reverting to the sort of conditions which Melnikov described 73 years ago.
15/ This may happen fairly quickly. When Russia seized Crimea in 2014, Ukraine blocked the North Crimean Canal to cut off the water supply. The result was a drastic change in Crimea's vegetation within only two years – the images below show the peninsula in 2016 (l) and 2018 (r). ImageImage
16/ Conditions may become worse than they were before the dam's construction due to the effects of climate change, which makes prolonged droughts likelier and causes higher temperatures, increasing the stress on plants.
17/ The destruction of the dam is likely to lead to the collapse of the agricultural economies of occupied southern Ukraine and Crimea and a further exodus of people. Considering these are territories Russia claims as its own, it's an incredible act of self-destruction. /end

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More from @ChrisO_wiki

Apr 23
1/ Two Russian policemen who were sent to Ukraine after being found guilty of killing two teenage girls with an axe have both died there, according to Russian sources. ⬇️ Image
2/ The two men, Dmitry Istomin and Yevgeny Inkin, committed the double murder in the Selenginsky District of Buryatia in 2002, but were not caught until 2019. Image
3/ 17-year-old Evgenia Shekunova and 18-year-old Ekaterina Pateyuk were found stripped to their underwear and chopped up with an axe at an area called Klyukvennaya Pad, two weeks after going missing.
Read 10 tweets
Apr 22
1/ The 51st GRAU arsenal near Moscow, which exploded spectacularly today, was the target of a massive theft in 2017 which 646 million rubles ($7.9m) out of a 1.3 billion ruble ($16m) budget were stolen from a modernisation programme. ⬇️
2/ These photos show the interior of the arsenal in happier times; the drone footage above was filmed in 2017 during a press tour. The Russian authorities say that the explosion was due to "safety violations" and are setting up a commission of inquiry to investigate it. Image
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3/ In October 2017, the FSB opened a criminal investigation into Spetsmontazh LLC, a company which had been given a 1.3 billion ruble contract by the Russian Ministry of Defence in 2013 to carry out construction and maintenance work at the arsenal. It was paid in advance. Image
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Read 6 tweets
Apr 22
1/ A former Wagner mercenary has spoken of his experiences fighting for the Russian army after joining it in 2023. He says that there is "corruption, drugs, alcohol all around" and most soldiers are prevented from going on leave because desertion is so common. ⬇️ Image
2/ 'Mikhail', a Central Asian man, says in an interview with the independent Russian news outlet Current Time that he first went to Ukraine after the end of the battle of Bakhmut and around the time of Wagner head Yevgeny Prigozhin's rebellion in June 2023.
3/ Wagner was subsequently broken up by the Russian Ministry of Defence, which required its fighters to sign contracts with the Russian Army. However, Mikhail found the army to be a chaotic, corrupt environment in contrast to the more disciplined Wagner Group.
Read 12 tweets
Apr 22
1/ Russian paranoia about the colours yellow and blue has struck again, with a kindergarten in Ulyanovsk having to be repainted after a complaint from a member of Vladimir Putin's United Russia party. ⬇️ Image
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2/ State Duma deputy Vladimir Ozhogin complained on his Telegram channel on 11 April 2025 that "some 'smart heads' decided this week to paint the building of kindergarten #91 in the 'yellow and blue' colors of the Ukrainian flag, which caused the most unpleasant associations." Image
3/ "Parents asked me - is this stupidity or a provocation? I passed the information on to the mayor. We'll see if there's a reaction."
Read 10 tweets
Apr 22
1/ Three years on from the sinking of the cruiser Moskva, a leaked report indicates that the warship was in a 'deplorable' condition when it left Sevastopol for the last time. Commentators suggest it may have had its radars wrongly painted with a radio-opaque paint. ⬇️
2/ The video above shows the ship's departure from Sevastopol on 10 April 2022. Exactly two months earlier, on 10 February 2022, its captain Anton Valerievich Kuprin wrote a "Reference Report on the Status of the Guided Missile Cruiser 'Moskva'", which has been leaked.
3/ The report is among a set of materials on the ship and its sinking which has been collected by Dmitry Shkrebets, the father of one of the sailors who died on the Moskva, which was the flagship of the Russian Black Sea Fleet.
Read 19 tweets
Apr 21
1/ Disastrous Russian attempts to mount armoured assaults are being blamed on commanders relying too much on electronic warfare equipment to defeat drones while ignoring the need to ensure that it is updated with a current tactical threat library. ⬇️
2/ Lamenting the destruction of dozens of armoured vehicles in failed assaults such as the one shown above, in the Zaporizhzhia region, the 'Zhivov Z' Telegram channel puts the blame on commanders who ignore or overlook the need to maintain EW systems mounted on vehicles:
3/ "Attacking in columns on sections of the front where the enemy has not switched off drone launch points and artillery is, in my opinion, criminal negligence. You can sacrifice as much as you want to Ares. He will not appreciate it.
Read 15 tweets

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