ChrisO_wiki Profile picture
Jun 7, 2023 17 tweets 5 min read Read on X
1/ This very good thread from @TomGiuretis highlights the vital role that the canals fed from the Dnipro play in the agriculture of southern Ukraine and Crimea. But I thought I'd add a historical perspective to how the canals changed life there.
2/ As Tom says, and I can attest as well having been there myself, it's a completely flat landscape of endless fields. It's watered by four major canals and innumerable side canals and irrigation channels. The Dnipro's water has made it a hugely productive farming region. Image
3/ That, however, is quite a recent development. The canals were only built between the 1950s and the 1980s by the Soviet Union. Before then, the region south of the Dnipro was a hot, arid, dusty plain with frequent droughts, dust storms and crop failures.
4/ This has had significant military consequences in the past. Russian armies under Prince Vasily Golitsyn attempted to invade the region in 1687 and 1689, but found their horses starving for the lack of any grass to eat. They retreated and lost 70,000 men in the process. Image
5/ Although the soil was fertile and the warm climate allowed for long growing seasons, the problem was that there wasn't enough water. Soviet agronomists found that it took 500 tons of water to grow a single ton of grain in the region.
5/ Leonid Melnikov, who served as the First Secretary of the Communist Party of Ukraine in the last years of Stalin's rule, described the situation before the construction of the canals in an article published in October 1950: Image
7/ "The fertile soils of these regions do not always properly reward the labours of the collective farmers... Dry winds and black dust storms frequently devastate the fields and destroy the fruits of the labour of many thousands of people.
8/ "Suffice it to say that in 60 years, at the junction of the nineteenth and twentieth centuries, there were 20 drought-stricken years in the southern districts of the Ukraine.
9/ "In those years, the yields of the principal crop – winter wheat – averaged from 0.09 to 0.3 tons per hectare, and some crops perished altogether.

The yields of grain and industrial crops in the southern Ukraine were often unstable.
10/ "Drought, occurring every three or four years, frequently assumed the proportions of a calamity and weakened the economy in the drought-stricken districts as well as that of the whole republic...
11/ "Owing to inadequate yields and insufficient development of productive livestock farming, the incomes of the collective farms in the southern districts of Kherson, Nikolayev, Zaporozyhe, and other regions were much lower than in the northern districts of the republic."
12/ (USSR Information Bulletin, October 13, 1950, p. 583)
13/ Unfortunately, Russia's reckless destruction of the dam is already leading to water draining out of the canals into the emptying Dnipro river. There's still a lot of water in the canals, but they will dry out in the next few weeks or months.
14/ It's likely to be a long time before the dam is rebuilt – that will certainly not happen while it's on a front line. In the meantime, farmers in southern Ukraine will find the land reverting to the sort of conditions which Melnikov described 73 years ago.
15/ This may happen fairly quickly. When Russia seized Crimea in 2014, Ukraine blocked the North Crimean Canal to cut off the water supply. The result was a drastic change in Crimea's vegetation within only two years – the images below show the peninsula in 2016 (l) and 2018 (r). ImageImage
16/ Conditions may become worse than they were before the dam's construction due to the effects of climate change, which makes prolonged droughts likelier and causes higher temperatures, increasing the stress on plants.
17/ The destruction of the dam is likely to lead to the collapse of the agricultural economies of occupied southern Ukraine and Crimea and a further exodus of people. Considering these are territories Russia claims as its own, it's an incredible act of self-destruction. /end

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More from @ChrisO_wiki

Jul 8
1/ The late Russian transport minister, Roman Starovoit, is reported to have amassed more than 1 billion rubles ($12.7m) worth of property and luxury watches, likely the proceeds of fraud and bribery. More details of his death on Monday have also emerged. ⬇️ Image
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2/ Russian investigators are reported to have discovered that Starovoit, who is said to have been facing imminent indictment and a possible 20-year jail sentence, possessed material wealth far in excess of his ministerial salary.
3/ According to the INSIDER-T Telegram news channel, "His mistress did not want to give the keys to the dacha of the ex-minister who committed suicide, so they had to break down the door. What they saw astonished the security forces."
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Jul 8
1/ A Russian lieutenant who deserted from the Russian army after serving under a commander who murdered his own men for their salaries has spoken of his experiences in Ukraine. His unit was wiped out at Krynki and he witnessed soldiers being whipped and executed with grenades. ⬇️
2/ Daniil from Volgograd was one of the original batch of 300,000 men mobilised from September 2022 onwards. He had never previously served in the army, and was given minimal training before deployment – firing a single magazine of cartridges "for show".
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Jul 7
1/ Former Russian Transport Minister Roman Starovoit, who shot himself today shortly after his dismissal by President Putin, was reportedly about to be charged with a 15 billion ruble ($190 million) fraud over the construction of border fortifications in Russia's Kursk region. ⬇️ Image
2/ According to the VChK-OGPU Telegram channel, "the dismissal of Roman Starovoit was only a pretext for bringing him to criminal responsibility."
3/ "The order of the president to remove him from office due to failure to fulfill his duties (massive transport collapses) and the dismissal happened on the same day.
Read 24 tweets
Jul 6
1/ Russian soldiers at the front lines in Ukraine are unable to obtain vital electrical supplies. A Russian warblogger appeals for help to overcome what he calls "greed and bureaucracy", which also illustrates the Russian army's inability to provide basic equipment. ⬇️ Image
2/ 'Chronicles of the SVO communications' writes:

"We, military signalmen, have a simple and very difficult front — every day we fight not only against electronic warfare and the weather, but also against a banal shortage: equipment, cable, splitters, power, consumables."
3/ "A network is not built out of thin air, and communication in a dugout will not appear if you only have duct tape and a prayer. We constantly resort to the help of volunteers who pull this work out literally by the skin of their teeth."
Read 13 tweets
Jul 6
1/ The Russian army has issued an appeal for volunteers to provide supplies to help the forthcoming Zapad-2025 military exercise, illustrating a lack of basic resources. Russian warbloggers aren't impressed and call it "sad". ⬇️ Image
2/ Russia's regular Zapad military exercise with Belarus is going ahead this autumn for the first time since 2021, mostly taking place on Belarussian soil. The 2023 exercise was cancelled, and it's likely that the scale of the 2025 exercise will be limited due to the ongoing war.
3/ An appeal by the Combined Arms Army of the 2nd Leningrad Military District has illustrated the shortage of resources currently faced by the Russian military. A message apparently circulated on Telegram reads:
Read 7 tweets
Jul 5
1/ A recent video of a Russian soldier, likely in his 70s, hobbling to the front line in Ukraine reflects how Russia's army is becoming increasingly elderly. "Now all the personnel are grandfathers ... they are being mowed down," say Russian soldiers. ⬇️
2/ An investigation by the independent Russian news outlet Verstka highlights the changing age profile of the Russian army. Soldiers on the front line have recorded and spoken about the increasing number of "grandfathers" – soldiers over 50s – their units are receiving.
3/ The recruitment of the elderly is being driven by huge casualties. One soldier serving in the Donetsk region says: "Since the beginning of the summer [of 2024], our regiment has lost about half its men, 200s and 300, [killed and wounded] near Chasiv Yar, roughly 500 people."
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