David Simpson 🏴‍☠️ Profile picture
Jun 7 22 tweets 11 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
WSJ reporter @GunjanJS writes, "When #BBBY filed for bankruptcy, it had a gaping hole in its financials: assets of $4.4b and liabilities of $5.2b," but are these numbers currently accurate?

This post looks into two strategies which create net-positive value for shareholders. Image
To begin, these figures were reported in FY22 Q3 earnings for the period ending Nov 26th. Much has changed in the six+ months since.

These figures will not include $360m in equity capital from the Feb securities offering, nor the assuredly negative cash flow from operations. ImageImage
The first category to address is the company's net operating losses (NOLs).

From bankruptcy docket #10 filed on Apr 23rd, "As of the end of February 25, 2023, the Debtors estimate they had NOLs in the amount of approximately $1.6 billion..." Image
This excerpt from the book 'King Icahn' regarding NOLs with USX caught my eye,

"Corry argued that an immediate spin-off would be shortchanging the company on two fronts: It would fail to secure top dollar for the assets and it would squander $900m in tax-loss carry-forwards..." Image
It appears Section 382 imposes limitations on tax-loss carry-forwards of a company's NOLs in the event of an ownership change, which would jeopardize the Tax Attributes the company "earned" in FY22 had Bed Bath otherwise spun-off Baby or sold the business. Image
"In general, a loss corporation's NOLs will be subject to severe limitation upon a change of control which generally occurs under IRC s382 if the percentage of the stock loss corporation that is owned by 5% of shareholders increases by more than 50% over a 3-year testing period." Image
"...a partial exemption from the change in control limitation is available for an ownership change pursuant to a bankruptcy organization, so long as the historic ~shareholders~ and 'qualified creditors' of the debtor corporation own at least 50% of the value and voting power..."
Fortunately, no relevant parties own greater than 5% of Bed Bath's shares outstanding, noted from this Docket 345 list of relevant shareholders owning more than 4.5% equity. Image
And Docket 10 explicitly claims Bed Bath can leverage it's NOLs in the event of a transaction in bankruptcy,

"In addition, the Debtors may utilize such Tax Attributes to offset any taxable income generated by transactions consummated during these Chapter 11 Cases." Image
Cohen did suggest in his letter to #BBBY he, "suspects Bed Bath's core business -excluding BABY -could generate attractive earnings."

It seems likely then any strategy to acquire Bed Bath last year would include bankruptcy proceedings to capture tax-loss carry-forwards. Image
In fact, Bed Bath may have schemed to maximize their NOLs in FY22 as incentive for future acquisition.

The company launched a business update following Q2 to be completed by end of FY22, including a transition in inventory and store closure program. Image
This work involved long-lived asset impairment testing performed by the company at length in preparing for their Jan Q3 earnings report.

$305m in expenses were incurred in the first nine months of the year for Impairments and Restructuring costs, up almost $200m year-over-year. ImageImage
The second category to address is the company's leasing valuation.

From the same Q3 10-Q, those figures include $1.39b in total lease assets against $1.76b in total lease liabilities (-$378m net-value). Image
While in bankruptcy, however, Bed Bath appears to have it's unexpired lease agreements rejected by the courts. On May 5th (doc 225), the first round of 480 leases were rejected and on May 17th (doc 373), the second round of 476 leases were rejected. ImageImageImageImage
These terminated leases constitute all of Bed Bath's retail footprint as they wind down operations. The first 480 leases represent stores closed in the past 12 months. The second 476 leases remained in operation as of the bankruptcy petition date, as noted. Image
Bed Bath is looking to sell their remaining lease assets, including their 475 operating stores as of the petition date (figures approximate, as noted).

The lease sale takes place over two phased auction events on June 26th and July 10th. ImageImageImage
The company suggests in Doc 10 they will receive $718m in proceeds for the auction sale of those 475 leases, validating the $1.39b book value of the original 955 stores.

If they can sell their lease assets for book value at auction, they can achieve $378m in shareholder value. Image
Of note, Bed Bath had newly announced the closure of an additional 126 stores on Jan 30th and another 290 stores on Feb 7th. Only 11 of these were of the BABY variety.

This development tracks as an unnamed retailer is rumored to have interest in operating 75% of BABY stores. ImageImageImage
These store closures came within days of Bed Bath onboarding two new members to it's Board and C-suite.

AlixPartners connections Carol Flaton and Holly Etlin were appointed on Jan 24th and Feb 2nd, respectively. ImageImageImage
Curiously, the board of Bed Bath had their RSAs cash-exchange cancelled the same day Flaton was appointed, Jan 24th.

It's possible the new appointees schemed in Jan/Feb to rework the company's store footprint and ultimately restructure it's leasing debt in bankruptcy court. Image
"There's a strategy behind everything. Everything fits. Thinking this way taught me to compete in many things"

"his determination to see 'the strategy behind everything', to decipher how the pieces of that strategy fit together, would make him the terror of the corporate world." Image
An updated look at the gaping hole in the company's financials shows an outlook less bleak than reported.

$BBBY now has an est. $3.1b in assets w $1.6b in NOLs creating a tax-loss carry-forward, against $3.5b in debt including $1b in unsecured bonds, to review in my next post.

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More from @pirateportfo

May 8
From the introduction to the book ‘King Icahn’ by Mark Stevens,

“Icahn had built a position in a company, then traded over-the-counter, to the point that he owned a substantial block of the outstanding stock.” #BBBY ImageImage
“Convinced that he had made a forceful case for reconfiguring the business, Icahn paced like an expectant father, waiting for what he hoped would be a favorable response to his plan.”

“Investment banker: ‘You know, Carl, they don't like you at all.’”
“‘I don't want to threaten you but we are going to begin by smearing your name. We've got three PR firms. We've got the best three PR firms in New York. Starting tomorrow, we are going to start smearing your name...”
Read 6 tweets
May 2
Debt is the New Equity: A look into Sponsored Buyouts in Chapter 11 and recent events surrounding Bed Bath & Beyond including volume in the company's bonds and the appointment of Holly Etlin to Chief Restructuring Officer. #BBBY Image
This six page Kirkland and Ellis paper (2009) details Sponsored Buyouts and the Plan Sponsor Transaction through Chapter 11 bankruptcy proceedings. The following quotes will summarize the paper, but it's worth a full read.

Source: kirkland.com/-/media/public… ImageImageImageImage
ImageImage
Read 19 tweets
Apr 24
The Day After Bankruptcy, La Fin:

On Mar 30th, Bed Bath files $300m ATM offering to be completed Apr 26th or face bankruptcy. The funds would close the ABL w JP Morgan 3 years before maturity. Any acquisition requires JPM approval, except in chapter 11 proceedings. #BBBY
The $300m ATM offering Mar 30th states,

"Upon filing our annual report Form 10-K, which is due by April 26th, 2023, we will lose S-3 eligibility and therefore we expect all sales made pursuant to the sales agreement will cease by April 26th, 2023... Image
…If we do not receive the proceeds from the offering of securities covered by this prospectus supplement, we expect that we will likely file for bankruptcy protection."
Read 18 tweets
Apr 21
5 Days to Bankruptcy: Cohen argues a multi-billion $$ valuation of BABY as the Ultimate Destination for Babies. He sells his Bed Bath position in Aug at the start of M&A negotiations. His letter suggests his willingness to hold the board accountable. #BBBY
"Given that BABY is estimated to reach $1.5 billion in sales in Fiscal Year 2023 with a double-digit growth profile and at least 50% digital penetration, we believe it is likely much more valuable than the Company's entire market capitalization today."
($1.6b at time of writing) Image
"We believe under the right circumstances, BABY could be valued on a revenue multiple, like other ecommerce-focused retailers, and justify a valuation of several billion dollars."

The math presented in the following tweet assumes 550m shares outstanding at Bed Bath.
Read 13 tweets
Apr 17
9 Days to Bankruptcy: Jake Freeman announces ownership of 2024 notes and 6.21% equity stake in Bed Bath & Beyond on July 21st, proposing a bond issuance to raise cash while opposing a sale of the company or a significant amount its assets. #BBBY
"Freeman Capital advocates for a debt realignment that does not change or affect the control. BBBY's effective realignment is a top priority for Freeman Capital and is made in the context of a disinterested shareholder-" Image
"Freeman Capital does not advocate for a sale of BBBY to another company, Freeman Capital does not advocate for the sale of a significant amount of the issuer's assets, Freeman Capital does not advocate for the restructuring of the issuer..."
Read 14 tweets
Apr 4
Bloomberg reported Sunday, "Bed Bath Begins Three-Week Countdown to Possible Bankruptcy". I'd like to celebrate our final days to April 26th w a daily discussion of various topics hinting at the latest corporate raid of @Carl_C_Icahn

Day 22: What is JP Morgan Chase Doing? #BBBY
"On or around January 13, 2023, certain events of default were triggered under the Company’s Credit Facilities (as defined below) as a result of the Company’s failure to prepay an overadvance and satisfy a financial covenant, among other things."

Source:
bedbathandbeyond.gcs-web.com/node/16871/html
Why didn't JP Morgan seize assets right then? What kind of sophisticated investment bank issues default on a company with a 'Going Concern' and doesn't immediately collect on it's loans? Bed Bath owed JPM $550m on its Asset-Backed Loan as of Nov 26th (as reported in the default)
Read 8 tweets

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