#NIIT All about NIIT Demerger. So, NIIT demerger happened and the B2C business now trades at Rs 98. The HIGHLY profitable B2B business is yet to be listed but here is brief analysis.
NIIT has 2 businesses:
B2C: NIIT Limited: Retail learning
B2B: Corporate Learning
The B2C business is more volatile and did just a breakeven this year where as the corporate learning business is high growth high margin business. Here is P&L for B2B business. So, in B2B, we are getting a 20% growth business at 23% EBITDA margin doing ~200 Cr of PAT
Also, post demerger, B2B business (NLSL) will have Rs 572 Cr of cash on books
Coming to B2C (NIIT Ltd) business which remains listed and now trades at Rs 98 compared to pre-demerged price of Rs 400, it has a sales of Rs 314 Cr and merely does any profit. Here is the P&L
The B2C business (NIIT Ltd) has got Rs 715 Cr of cash post demerger
Now, this is how post demerger scenario looks like. All holding 1 share of NIIT Ltd pre demerger will get 1 share each of both companies post demerger. So, totally, 13.5 Cr shares of both companies will trade.
B2C (NIIT Ltd): At current price of Rs 98, this trades at Rs 1300 Cr
valuation with Rs 715 cr cash, Rs 314 Cr of sales and a fluctuating profit. The pre-merger price of Rs 400 had a market capitalization of Rs 5400 Cr which leaves Rs 4100 Cr valuation for to be listed B2B business if assume the same Rs 5400 market capitalization remains. So, we
will get a Rs 200 Cr PAT business with 23% EBITDA margin growing at 20% with Rs 500 cash on books at 20x multiple. The question to ask now is:
Do these 2 businesses deserve a better valuation than above stated scenario or lesser and there the answer would lie if we will value
creating or value destructing. Disc: have a pre demerger position at Rs 380. Transacted in last 30 days. I may buy or sell without informing. Alos, these number been taken from latest price data and there could be an error. Please do your own due diligence.
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Current price performance:
Last 5 year numbers say it all - a mere 5.5% annualized returns failing to beat FD.
Ask guys 5 years back, how was HDFC treated in market then
Given stock has not given good returns, it is important to understand if stock performed badly earnings wise in last 5 years. Nothing changed in last 5, 3, 1 year.
Is the future going to be different and is stock going to underperform big time on growth?
HDFC Bank (keeping merger aside) has added employes and branches at 22-24% growth rate in FY23 vs FY22.
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