1 -> A Trend Persists until Its Reversal Is Indicated
- In Dow Theory, a trend is assumed to persist until there is evidence to the contrary
- Trend changes are identified by a penetration of a previous significant High or Low
2 -> How to identify the end of an uptrend?📈
There are basically 3⃣ types of reversal formations that will signal a change in the direction from uptrend to downtrend
✅ Failure Swing
✅ Non-Failure Swing
✅ Double Top sell
Let's look at them in detail!👀
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Fancy watching a video explanation rather than reading?😀
Watch this video where I explain all of the 'Top Reversal formations'!👀
If not, read on!📚
2.1 -> Failure Swing Reversal
- Price needs to make a high
- followed by a 2nd high which should be a lower high
- Price should now break the Swing Low between these two highs thus generating a Sell signal & signalling the end of a long term uptrend
2.2 -> Non-failure Swing Reversal
- Price makes a high & then a higher high
- Price should now break the previous swing low, creates a lower low
- Price rises again but fails to cross the previous higher high, creates a lower high
- Price breaks the lower low to generate a sell
2.3 -> Double top Reversal
- Price makes a two similar highs
- Price should now break the swing low between the highs thus generating a sell signal
Depending on the position size in the trade, one can wait for a close or sell immediately when price crosses swing low
3 -> How to identify the end of a downtrend?
Again, there are 3⃣ types of reversal formations that signal a trend change from down to uptrend
✅ Failure Swing
✅ Non-Failure Swing
✅ Double Top sell
Yes, the names are the same!
Let's look at them in detail👀
Save this Image👇
Watch this video where I explain all these 3 bottom reversal formations!
If not, read on!📚
3.1 -> Failure Swing Reversal
- Price needs to make a Low & rise
- Price should drop again but shouldn't cross previous low - creating a higher low
- Price should now break the high between these two lows thus generating a Buy signal & signalling the end of a long term downtrend
3.2 -> Non-failure Swing Reversal
- Price makes a low & then a lowest low
- Price should now go straight up above the previous lower high creating a Higher high
- Price should now drop to create a Higher low
- Price should break the Higher high to generate a Buy Signal
3.3 -> Double bottom Reversal
- Price makes a two similar Lows
- Price should now break the swing high between the lows thus generating a Buy signal
Stop loss for all formations will be either Swing high or Swing low depending on Uptrend/Downtrend
4 -> Pro-tip for investing/Trading
- The longer the timeframe the more stronger the signals are
- For Swing/Positional trading use Daily charts
- For Investing use Weekly/Monthly charts
- If everyone is talking about it on social media and it has already broken out
- If a stock has moved up already for the last few days
- If a stock is up more than 10% already from breakout zone
- If your SL is deep
2⃣ Enter only on breakout & nowhere else if you're trading breakouts...
Buy only…
- above breakout zones (no entry in no-man land)
- above a key resistance zone after a stock consolidates
- 1-2% above resistance zone
- Identify entry points(set alerts on TV/set GTT in zerodha)