1 -> A Trend Persists until Its Reversal Is Indicated
- In Dow Theory, a trend is assumed to persist until there is evidence to the contrary
- Trend changes are identified by a penetration of a previous significant High or Low
2 -> How to identify the end of an uptrend?📈
There are basically 3⃣ types of reversal formations that will signal a change in the direction from uptrend to downtrend
✅ Failure Swing
✅ Non-Failure Swing
✅ Double Top sell
Let's look at them in detail!👀
Save this Image👇
Fancy watching a video explanation rather than reading?😀
Watch this video where I explain all of the 'Top Reversal formations'!👀
If not, read on!📚
2.1 -> Failure Swing Reversal
- Price needs to make a high
- followed by a 2nd high which should be a lower high
- Price should now break the Swing Low between these two highs thus generating a Sell signal & signalling the end of a long term uptrend
2.2 -> Non-failure Swing Reversal
- Price makes a high & then a higher high
- Price should now break the previous swing low, creates a lower low
- Price rises again but fails to cross the previous higher high, creates a lower high
- Price breaks the lower low to generate a sell
2.3 -> Double top Reversal
- Price makes a two similar highs
- Price should now break the swing low between the highs thus generating a sell signal
Depending on the position size in the trade, one can wait for a close or sell immediately when price crosses swing low
3 -> How to identify the end of a downtrend?
Again, there are 3⃣ types of reversal formations that signal a trend change from down to uptrend
✅ Failure Swing
✅ Non-Failure Swing
✅ Double Top sell
Yes, the names are the same!
Let's look at them in detail👀
Save this Image👇
Watch this video where I explain all these 3 bottom reversal formations!
If not, read on!📚
3.1 -> Failure Swing Reversal
- Price needs to make a Low & rise
- Price should drop again but shouldn't cross previous low - creating a higher low
- Price should now break the high between these two lows thus generating a Buy signal & signalling the end of a long term downtrend
3.2 -> Non-failure Swing Reversal
- Price makes a low & then a lowest low
- Price should now go straight up above the previous lower high creating a Higher high
- Price should now drop to create a Higher low
- Price should break the Higher high to generate a Buy Signal
3.3 -> Double bottom Reversal
- Price makes a two similar Lows
- Price should now break the swing high between the lows thus generating a Buy signal
Stop loss for all formations will be either Swing high or Swing low depending on Uptrend/Downtrend
4 -> Pro-tip for investing/Trading
- The longer the timeframe the more stronger the signals are
- For Swing/Positional trading use Daily charts
- For Investing use Weekly/Monthly charts
The Final Episode of the 'Worst Performing Video Series'! 😃
Masterclass on "STAGE ANALYSIS - Part 4"...🎯
...on my Youtube channel today at 7:30 PM!
Topics
✅ Recap of Stage 1, Stage 2 & Stage 3
✅ How to identify a stock is in Stage 4?
✅ What you should do & not do?
✅ Past… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
In case you haven't watched, here are the first 3 parts
It took me 10+ years...
...& more than 1000+ hours of practice…
to master these 5 IMPORTANT RULES WHILE DRAWING TRENDLINES 🎯
These simple rules, if mastered, can help one spot HIGH PROBABILITY TRADES!
Ready to learn?🤓
Let’s go🧵…
1⃣ Trendlines are zones and not a single line!
- Due to volatility in price, many times prices tend to spike on both sides
- So, consider trendlines as zones from multiple swing highs(include wicks) to get the best fit trendline
- Your winning probability increases with zones
2⃣ Trendlines with more touchpoints
- Any trendline with 3 or more touchpoints is a very significant one
- The price points around significant trendlines are important & should be watched