Lazarus Long Profile picture
Jun 10, 2023 14 tweets 7 min read Read on X
August 2020. Conly, Seto, @DidierPittet, @Metadoc publish this commentary on behalf of the WHO IPC group.

Let's see what they got wrong. And if either of the tagged gentlemen beg to differ? I always bring the receipts - but you have to go first.

aricjournal.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.11… Image
Wrong. Near field aerosols are the greatest risk, and those go out to 2 meters.

Majority of transmission is by those with ZERO symptoms.

Risk assessment? Do asbestos crews do those? Coal miners? BSL3 lab workers?

Also, filtration Image
does reduce near and far field aerosols. But what doctor knows what ACH is in what room in their hospital? Or if the filtration is even turned on? Or if it's even any good (ahem, UK hospitals)?
Droplets produce fomites? Proof? What studies - Covid only.

On the other hand, we know that the majority of viral load comes from fine aerosols, sub 5 micron.

Stands to reason that would be the source of the particles on fomites as well. Image
So many mistakes.

Airborne aerosols are up to 100 microns.

AGMPs generate far few aerosols than people. Period. Go argue with Klompas on this. In the other pic? They forgot breathing, yelling, whispering, singing, crying, etc. ImageImage
A medical mask is not considered by NIOSH to be proper PPE for respiration.

Period.

BLS3 labs, working on CoVid, have N95s as base PPE despite having even better filtration than hospitals. Image
Lol. Respiratory droplets are dominant?

Live by the epi pattern, die by the epi pattern.

80% of China's 1.4 billion infected within one month by droplets?

Those are some magical droplets....

contagionlive.com/view/-80-of-ch… Image
So....transmission occurred mostly in families in close contact with each other.

In a nation that had mandatory masking everywhere outside of their homes, and massive lockdowns, so people were even MORE exposed to each other in their homes, which have poor ventilation.

Ah.... Image
But they only had a SAR of 3-10%.

Yawn. 28.3%–46.7% for Omicron. 15.9%–23.1%% for ancestral (what they measured).

Of course, Conly et al did not share what they considered to be adequate for household SAR. Just that it had to be the same as measles. ImageImage
Which is stupid, to be blunt.

Measles is easy to measure, because of the...red dots, as @JOHNJOHNSTONED so cleverly pointed out, so long ago.

COVID, quite often with a lack of surface symptoms or even seroconversion? Much more difficult to measure. Image
R0..... Oh, let's play their RNaughty game. Measles is 10.

Delta is 3.2 to 8.

Omicron is 3.19 times Delta.

Let's do the lowest figure. Oh. 10 for CoVid, too!

#CovidIsAirborne ? ImageImage
Next, they used the example of very little spread of Covid on an airplane ride where there were exactly two infected people - who were wearing masks!

But...because it's not possible for them to eat and drink wearing a mask, or because the filtration wouldn't last 15 hours? Image
Maybe the WHO IPC committee should tell HCWs putting in 18 hour days their N95s won't last. Because surgical masks and N95s actually have the same basic filtration.

Also? They only monitored those within 2 meters. Despite monitoring the ENTIRE PLANE for measles.

You can't Image
Measure what you don't measure.

Additionally, in regards to the PCR tests were more fraught with error at that time.

Next, another case where everyone wore masks and respirators near someone infected with a not very contagious disease.

Airborne - but not very contagious. Image

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More from @LazarusLong13

Mar 22
This may be one of the most important studies in a decade.

#LongCovidBinder.

"The models produced correctly classified those with severe ME/CFS from recovered controls with an accuracy of 97%, sensitivity of 94%, and specificity of 100%. "

THAT IS HUGE.
"We found that at Stage 1, those fated to develop ME/CFS 6 months following IM had low levels of IL-5 and IL-13 [25]. " We found that at Stage 1, those fated to develop ME/CFS 6 months following IM had low levels of IL-5 and IL-13 [25]. IL-5 enhances the production of B1 cells which are anti-inflammatory (impaired B1 cells have been found in multiple sclerosis, systemic lupus erythematosus, and rheumatoid arthritis), and IL-13 has anti-inflammatory properties. Jason et al. [26] also found that students who failed to recover from IM had more restricted, inflexible cytokine networks whereas those who recovered had more flexible, less interconnected networks. Network analysis suggests that IL-5 and IL-13 influe...
So, this means ME/CFS can be predicted.

And what can be predicted - treatments can be found.

And they are studying LongCovid as well.

This study is easy to read, And everyone should.

/+

mdpi.com/2076-2607/13/4…
Read 6 tweets
Mar 13
A new study just showed what I have been saying since the start of bird flu. H5N1 is airborne.

Still in place?
USDA: YOU ONLY NEED TO TEST LACTATING COWS.

oops.

USDA: FOMITES (infectious objects) SPREAD IT.

oops.

WASHING YOUR HANDS WILL STOP IT.

oops. This new Federal Order does not override or supersede USDA's April 24 Federal Order, which still requires the mandatory testing of lactating dairy cows prior to interstate shipment and requires that all privately owned laboratories and state veterinarians report positive test results connected with those tests. The new Federal Order announced today is intended to complement and enhance this existing order.
Question [00:51:52]  Given the CDC's vaccination program, I'm wondering if this means you think it's no longer realistic to expect that the outbreak will be contained this year?  Eric Deeble, USDA [00:52:12]  Just on the animal side and all that Dr. Nirav speak to the human side, there's a lot about this disease that makes us feel as if we can arrest its progress.  And we've actually seen some success demonstrated to date.  With this disease, it does not appear to move by respiratory transmission. We know that there are high viral loads in milk, and we've identified through close, collabora...
In addition to testing, biosecurity is the key to containing this virus, and ultimately ensuring that it is eradicated so that producers do not have to deal with this virus in dairy cattle permanently. Good biosecurity including cleaning and disinfection of vehicle and equipment - is critical to minimizing the risk of disease spread. USDA works closely with state animal health official, producers, and industry organizations to provide guidance and resources for cleaning and disinfection not only on affected farms but for all livestock producers as a part of practicing good biosecurity. APHI...
The study.

✅ 20% of the cows showed up as sick. Had symptoms. But....

✅ It turns out that 89.4% were actually infected.

✅ 83.7% of those had no symptoms. Remind you of any other airborne diseases?

✅ 40.5% of the dry cows not being milked? Infected. So, no Image
Image
Image
fomites or milk aerosols involved, most likely.
Read 6 tweets
Mar 13
There is not much that scares me. Freaks me out.

I am freaking out.

You should be, too.

Do you know what this shows?

Do you know how to avoid this? Holy cow.
This is the continued accumulation of dementia-causing microplastics in your brain. Simple linear regression (shown with 95% CI represented by dashed lines) was performed for total plastics, polyethylene, polypropylene, polyvinyl chloride and styrene-butadiene rubber measured in normal decedent brains from 2004 (average of east coast samples), 2016 and 2024 (NM OMI samples).
See how it increased from 2016 to 2024?

And it actually is worse - they found less plastics in brains from a decade earlier.

ACCUMULATION. Simple linear regression (shown with 95% CI represented by dashed lines) was performed for total plastics, polyethylene, polypropylene, polyvinyl chloride and styrene-butadiene rubber measured in normal decedent brains from 2004 (average of east coast samples), 2016 and 2024 (NM OMI samples).
Read 28 tweets
Feb 23
Great interview of Ed Yong - I am just covering the C0V1D part.

/1 The Interview  Ed Yong Wants to Show You the Hidden Reality of the World  Ed standing with his arms folded.  His eyes tell you COVID is not over.
You've been clear in saying that C0V1D has not gone away. You ask people to wear masks at your events..... You’ve been clear in saying that Covid has not gone away. You ask people to wear masks at your events. But that attitude is not necessarily where the rest of the world is. How do you think about continuing to take precautions and advising others to do so when it feels as if society has moved on? I do it for a bunch of reasons. Firstly, I have learned that I enjoy not being sick. I know that the cost of long Covid is real and substantial, and I don’t want to run that risk lightly.
"I think it makes a huge difference to them to have the person at the front of the stage wear a mask. It tells them, It’s not weird." . I also know that I have many friends and people I’m close to who are immunocompromised. So for the sake of the people around me, I also don’t want to get sick. When I do events, I wear a mask for those reasons, and because I know that every time I do a talk, while the vast majority of people in the audience have probably moved on, there are going to be other people who haven’t. I think it makes a huge difference to them to have the person at the front of the stage wear a mask. It tells them, It’s not weird. So I do it for that reason, too. In terms of holding this line at a point when a l...
Read 5 tweets
Feb 22
I am sorry if this will upset you. A lot of people depend on NASAL SPRAYS for C0V1D.

I have been iffy on them, but viewed them as "if they don't hurt, why not" but not for me.

There's an analysis
on Reddit that you should read in detail, and make up your own mind.
/1
Here is the link:


Here is a 4 tweet TLDR version.

Here is how it starts - the author goes HARD at the underlying studies. reddit.com/r/ZeroCovidCom…There is no convincing evidence that nasal sprays prevent COVID-19  There is a lot of misinformation out there about nasal sprays preventing COVID-19. Unfortunately, there are no convincing studies showing that nasal sprays prevent COVID-19. The published studies investigating whether or not nasal sprays prevent COVID-19 each have major issues, which I will detail here.  I have a PhD in biochemistry and one of my PhD projects was on COVID-19. The main takeaway of this post is that there is no sound evidence that nasal sprays prevent COVID-19. Thus, nasal sprays should not be used for COVID-...
Some pretty harsh language, but to me the important thing is we still have clean air.

Which is good, because it boils down to only 2 studies saying that nasal sprays work, per them. 5. Summary/TLDR and final thoughts  Unfortunately, many people including covid influencers have fallen for the grift of nasal sprays preventing COVID-19. Some such influencers have promoted these nasal sprays for free and helped spread the misinformation that they prevent COVID-19. Unlike with nasal sprays, there is ample, sound evidence that high-quality well-fitting respirators, ventilation and air purification prevent COVID-19.  The human clinical trials testing whether or not nasal sprays prevent COVID-19 are garbage, and to my knowledge there are only two! Please don't lower your covid...
Read 7 tweets
Feb 17
Guillain-Barre Syndrome linked to poultry eggs? H5N1?!

The BBC had a good article from February 3 that talks about how these Indian states' cases are linked to campylobacter jejuni, a bacteria. It IS the most common root-cause, globally.

And IT is commonly found in poultry. AVOID CHICKEN AND EGGS RIGHT NOW SIGN showing for the country of India in a tweet from @alwaysmadesh.  Due to Guillain-Barre Syndrome.
"Campylobacter jejuni infection is the common associated microorganism (25–40%), followed by cytomegalovirus (6–15%), Mycoplasma pneumoniae (3–21%), and Haemophilus influenzae (1–9%)"

BTW - Cytomegalovirus is also an airborne virus - that just happens to cause brain cancer.
Mycoplasma pneumoniae - also airborne.

And...drum roll please...Campylobacter jejuni also airborne.

Don't get me wrong - jejuni most definitely is also fecal-oral, no question.

But it's also airborne.

Sampled from the air below. Figure 7. GCN/m3 results using microorganism-specific primers. These microorganisms were chosen for their pathogenic and opportunistic nature. Samples 1–12 indicate the WWC collections in House A, 1R–12R the WWC collections in House B and 1F–12F the filter collections in House A.
Read 11 tweets

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