#ukrainecounteroffensive
Comme publié sur le Think Tank, voici ma recherche sur la position des Brigades Mécanisées Ukrainiennes.
Les Brigades anciennes sont réparties sur le front, tandis que parmi les 12 nouvelles, seulement 3 ont été identifiées sur le front.
🧵THREAD🧵 1/7
Lors des deux dernières contre-offensive, les Brigades mécanisées composées de T64, T72 et des premiers véhicules blindés occidentaux ont joués un rôle crucial pour percer le front à Dudchany (Kherson) et Balaklya (Kharkiv).
Sans prendre en compte les Forces Spéciales, les Bataillions indépendants, les Brigades Jager, les Brigades Blindés, celles d'artillerie, de montagne, de marine ou d'assaut aérien, qui ont aussi leur rôle, j'ai mis au point une carte avec les positions relativement récente des BM
Front Louhansk, il y en a 3 face à Svatove
-14ème
-88ème (pas confirmé)
-92ème
Puis 2 autres plus au Sud
-66ème
-63ème
Front Donbass:
1 à Siversk (54ème)
3 à Bakhmout et sur les flancs:
-30ème
-67ème
-87ème
2 sur le flanc sud, face à Horlivka
-28ème
-24ème
2 à Avdiivka :
-110 ème
-53ème
Sur le front de Zaporijia, la concentration tend à augmenter, avec l'arrivée semble-t-il de la 23ème à V. Novosilka, et le déploiement de 3 nouvelles Brigades formées récemment:
-31ème
-47ème
-33ème
En plus de la 65ème (Orikhiv) et de la 72ème (Voulhedar)
Enfin, il reste donc 9 Brigades toujours dans un lieu non connues qui feront la contre-offensive, leur déploiement à un endroit ou un autre sera crucial.
Il est en effet possible que les 3 déployées à Zaporijia soient des leurres pour que les 9 autres aillent ailleurs…
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Across the weekend, Ukraine 🇺🇦 continued to harass Russian 🇷🇺 logistics routes along the Azov Sea and in Donetsk
Ukrainian strikes are beginning to pose a problem for Moscow, whose advance on the front has slowed this year.
🧵THREAD🧵1/15 ⬇️
This morning, @azov_media published a second video of their strikes around Mariupol, this time hitting around 20 military and fuel trucks between Mariupol and the russian border.
On this important road, I have now mapped more than 23 hits (some trucks are confirmed as destroyed by ground videos showing destroyed vehicles) with Hornet drones on russian logistics.
I updated the map of ukrainian middle strikes against trucks with some new geolocations and informations published today.
I have now ~15 confirmed hits on the Rostov-Crimea road and 30 confirmed hits on the Mariupol-Donetsk road + Donetsk ring. ⬇️
For now, we have mainly videos from these two roads. I've tryed to geolocate some videos from supply roads leading to Donetsk, but it's much more difficult, especially due to the quality of the images.
This video is useful, because they put the area hit:
In the Sloviansk direction, Russia 🇷🇺 launched 800 airstrikes this month in two directions, preparing the terrain for a larger offensive.
At the same time, Ukraine's third Azov Corps launched the first counter-attacks to cut the Lyman salient.
🧵THREAD🧵1/16 ⬇️
Few days ago, I posted an update on the Oskil front situation, depicting the most important assault roads used by russian troops.
On this update, you could see two ukrainian drone strikes located by @giK1893 in Pryshyb and Tetianivka, behind the Donets river.
This river is very important, it was the main ukrainian defensive line in the region in 2022, it's covered by massive forests and directly protecting cities like Izium or Sloviansk.
For 3 years, the russians are trying to reach it, behind the town of Lyman.
This map is made thanks to multiple geolocations from : @99Dominik_ @blinzka @carse_n @dmitrij46839 @federicoborsar1 @franfran2424 @GarbuzYe @hochu_dodomu @klinger66 @Kukulkan415 @MaxximOSINT @moklasen @neonhandrail @AndrewPerpetua @NotWoofers @tom_bike @VyshnyaOstap (among others) and my own geolocations.
I have a total of 73 trucks hit since march, but I believe this is barely 20% of the real numbers, since most of the results are not filmed and multiple videos cannot be geolocalized.
More and more videos from southern Ukraine are showing the results of Ukraine's middle strikes, mainly done with Hornet drones as well as long range FPV drones, which can now reach 50 km.