Tim Hogan 浩勤 Profile picture
Jun 12 6 tweets 3 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
1. The updated @projectowlosint map shows Ukraine has confirmed the taking of the earlier reported settlements south of #VelykaNovosika shown in yellow and continues to press at the #southernfront. In an attempt to slow the Ukrainian advance the Russians Image
2. destroyed the #MokriYaly River dam circled above that will flood settlements to the north. The Russians likely hope that this will slow the Ukrainian advance by making it difficult for Ukraine to cross the river but it also puts the Russia forces on the east bank in a
3. difficult position because they can't be reinforced and will likely be forced to withdraw. Ukraine appears to be slowly forcing the Russians to fall back and permit the Ukrainian to even the line of contact north of the dam. This is all occurring with no indication that
4. Ukraine has committed any part of the newly formed combined arms brigades so if the Russian command is contemplating where to commit their reserves the Ukrainian forces have given no clue in this operation that still advances with a relatively modest-sized attacking force.
5. Ukraine continues to learn and adapt from the earlier missteps that do not appear are being repeated. With the foolish decision to destroy #Kakhovka dam the Russian forces in #Zaporizhia are likely feeling a sense of panic as the strategic blunder at Kakhovka turns an
6. uncrossable mile-wide #Dnieper into a creek that can be crossed along a massive 70km front. It would be like the Germans waking up June 6th on Normandy beach and instead of seeing ships approaching, fortress America loomed out of the mist.

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More from @TimInHonolulu

Jun 12
1. My guess is that Walt Nauta thought his billionaire bud would take care of him. If they both appear with public defenders tomorrow Nauta may start having doubts. If Trump pays for Nauta's trial counsel then he has a motive to play ball. But if Nauta is represented by a Image
2. federal public defender that lawyer will likely advise Nauta to cooperate and make a deal fast to avoid a long prison term. So the fun part of Trump's mission impossible to find some Miami firm willing to take a chance on him is he also has to find one to represent Nauta.
3. If Trump can't, he may find the Govt coming in very quickly with a plea agreement and an allocution that details the crimes that Trump committed with Nauta. And if he finds a firm, I'm guessing the firm will want a seven-figure retainer.
Read 4 tweets
Jun 12
1. One thing that is scary about Cannon who IMO has a demonstrated bias in favor of Trump, is that she can issue exclusionary rulings that destroy the Govt case. But I think much of the key evidentiary rulings on privileges have been through appeals to the DC appeals court and
2. I think were already ruled upon by SCOTUS. Though I'd have to research to be certain that the "law of the case" doctrine applies to interlocutory appeals in a grand jury proceeding in the subsequent criminal case, my guess is that it does, so Cannon could have
3. no power to help him on issues that the appellate courts have already decided the issue. I would love to hear what the former federal prosecutors say about this. Because Jack Smith would know this his decision to not file in DC may have been easier knowing that the key issues
Read 4 tweets
Jun 12
Just in from SDFL. Looks like Trump's attorneys tried to appear but unlike yours truly never read the local rules. Image
Image
Read 5 tweets
Jun 11
1. As an alleged former US military officer @RogerMarshallMD of all people should know the US Flag Code but apparently he doesn't know it. @LeaderMcConnell @SenSchumer
2. 4 USC 10 provides @POTUS @JoeBiden the power to modify "any rule or custom pertaining to the display of the flag . . . whenever he deems it to be appropriate or desirable." He needs only to declare it in a "proclamation." Image
3. Here is the proclamation dated May 31, 2023, where @POTUS Biden called on all Americans, even bigots, to "wave their flags of pride high." @RogerMarshallMD an embarrassment to the nation and state he claims to serve. There is no place in our Capitol for bigots. Shame on him. Image
Read 4 tweets
Jun 11
1. Was @LeaderMcConnell part of the scheme to put Judge Cannon in Ft Pierce? Did he know she would become his private judge? He may have just moved it to the front of the list in November 2020 because he was asked to do by the @WhiteHouse. We should find out.
2. With Trump having moved to disqualify one SDFL judge in his frivolous case against @HillaryClinton because the judge was appointed in the 1990s by @BillClinton, Trump is estopped from objecting to an amendment to Title 28 USC 455 that removes jurisdiction from any judge to
3. conduct a criminal case involving the POTUS who appointed them within the past 5 years. @SenSchumer needs to put it on the floor ASAP and if we can't get 60 because McConnel blocks it then end the filibuster.
Read 4 tweets
Jun 11
1. What if we listed the Nazi Party as an organization involved in international terrorism? Does the legal definition apply to Nazis? IMO the issue is whether the unlawful activities of the Nazis "transcend" national boundaries. Image
2. We know the Nazi movement is traceable to a failed Austrian artist, so the origins are international. But has relevant unlawful conduct continued to be part of international organizations? This is 1 page of 11 listing Nazi parties world-wide. US groups cover 1 page. ✔️ Image
3. Looking at the list of the US @StateDept designated terrorist groups it is obvious that they are almost entirely directed at people who practice Islam. I'm not sure if there are any listed that are founded based on so-called Christian ideologies. Putting aside the apparent
Read 10 tweets

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