IPCC: "in areas of Western and Central Europe and Northern Europe, there is no evidence of changes in the severity of hydrological droughts since 1950"
🧵
on Canada wildfires, focus on Quebec
Focus on detection and attribution of trends
Not forecasts of the future
Let's start with IPCC
The IPCC does not attempt to detect or attribute trends in wildfire, instead it focuses on "fire weather" defined below
AR6 Ch.12
IPCC expresses "There is medium confidence that weather conditions that promote wildfires (fire weather) have become more probable in southern Europe, northern Eurasia, the USA, and Australia over the last century"
IPCC AR6 Ch.11
The IPCC also acknowledges that it is not just weather and climate that affect fire:
"human activities have become the dominant driver" of fire regimes
&
There was less "biomass burning" in the 20th century than any time in the past 2,000 years
IPCC LULUCF Ch.2
🧵The very low death toll being reported so far from Cyclone Mocha in Myanmar is part of an incredible and under-appreciated success story of science, technology, policy and implementation
A quick thread on tropical cyclones in the Bay of Bengal . . .
The BoB is a hotbed of tropical cyclone activity, the figure below shows 50 years of TC tracks and their landfall locations doi.org/10.1016/j.tcrr…
A 1970 TC killed more than 300,000 people in Bangladesh (and then, East Pakistan) jstor.org/stable/pdf/262…