Thread by @ZimermanErik

What did I tell you ladies and gents.
The most important parameter is reversing the position of the "wide" and "narrow" part of the river.

We discussed all of this previously in the quoted thread (bottom), in this long single tweet:

https://twitter.com/ZimermanErik/status/1666109095533850625

and elsewhere.

https://twitter.com/ZimermanErik/status/1666948710536757248

The important outcome here, which connects to the ongoing #Ukrainiancounteroffensive (or at least its theoretical plan) is the potential reversal in water levels and river width.

The drop in water levels of Lake Kakhovka is really striking. It has in many places been reduced to

a mud flat. Here we can see how dramatic the before and after is in certain places of the Lake. Again, here we face a Russian front that is not well manned nor heavily fortified due tot he wide obstacle of the lake. Downstream of the dam, we already saw we have the opposite

effect with the Russian bank flooding including parts of the Russian first line of defense. The draining of lake and river upstream from the dam comes of course with its own ecological disaster. Interestingly, while we see and already discussed the curious water level leading up

to the collapse of the dam (record high levels, now followed of course by record lows), we see Ukraine continue to act oddly in the aftermath as far as the levels. While there were reports (that we discussed) of fully open sluice gates, which would increase flooding downstream

from the dam, now that this flooding has run its course, we have reports of the opposite. For example here the Dnipro HPP dam is almost completely closed, exasperating the water level drop in Lake Kakhovka upstream from the collapsed dam. Since mainstream journalism is dead, we

of course won't get any of those questions answered as they won't be asked to begin with. The UA command and government will not have to bother with any explanation whatsoever.
So there we have it, while I wanted to tend to believe that the collapse was a result of previous UA

fire (and the later threat of UA fire which keeps RU officials from being able to provide maintenance to the dam), and not the result of a newer deliberate act to collapse the dam now in June, the water level peculiarities alone are quite compelling. We reported and discussed

in these threads the "hoarding" of water upstream by UA authorities and the potential reasons for this, including flooding Kherson, and then the moment Lake Kakhovka held a record amount of water and the UA counteroffensive opened in earnest, there is a collapse.
Ukraine then

reportedly increases the flow of water from upstream to increase the flooding and after it has done its worse, restricts normal flow of water so that Lake Kakhovka will empty completely. Really starts to be a bit much for coincidence. Sure, the UA command may have seized the

opportunity once the collapse occurred, but then one would still wonder why they hoarded the water leading up June to begin with. And then we are left with the coincidental timing.
Due to all of this, Russian forces would be wise to closely monitor UA forces across the dying

lake, and prepare for any eventuality. If the area of the dam remains under Russian control, at one point Russia will attempt to repair the dam and return water level control capabilities. At this point doing so would be dependent on UA forces not firing on Russian crews.

I wonder how the mainstream media will report such repair efforts. Perhaps by explaining that Putin, lacking imagination, has run out of ideas of how to blow up his own infrastructure, and so has ordered the dam repaired so that gullible Russian citizens can return, rebuild &

once again be flooded when he orders the destroyed yet again.