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Stephen McIntyre Profile picture
@ClimateAudit
Jun 13, 2023 • 24 tweets • 8 min read • Read on X
a few months ago, I discussed the Biden-Poroshenko during 2016 transition in which Biden re-assured Poroshenko not to worry about FBI doing anything about Onyshchenko (Poroshenko's fugitive bagman who had the tapes) meeting with FBI.
in that thread (which is worth re-reading), I had noted a contemporary Ukrainian news article (cited in a FOIAed State Dept email) which stated that Onyshchenko's deal with FBI involved Andrew Weissman Image
in addition to being in possession of tapes between Biden and Poroshenko, Onyshchenko also claimed to have met with Zlochevsky to negotiate Poroshenko's cut of Burisma's licences and to have tapes
kyivpost.com/post/10532 Image
Onyshchenko's claimed connection to Weissmann in December 2016 (when Weissman meeting with Ohr, Strzok, Page and Zainab Ahmad) seems too implausible to be true, but here is copy of the signature of agreement between DOJ and Onyshchenko on Nov 29, 2016, referring to Weissmann Image
curiously, both Danchenko's deal and Onyshchenko's deal with FBI/DOJ were entered into during transition period just prior to Trump inauguration.
Danchenko was granted CHS status on March 5, 2017 and his evidence to FBI in January 2017 - which was highly exculpatory for Trump - was buried by FBI.
Worse, FBI omitted Damchenko's exculpatory information to conceal deteriorating investigation predicate while Comey sought permission to reveal Crossfire to congress and make Russia investigation front page news. What Enron prosecutors would call "fraud".
Onyshchenko's deal with FBI was signed a few weeks prior to Danchenko's. Onyshchenko's incriminating information appears to have been buried as thoroughly as Danchenko's exculpatory information and during same time period. Is there a connection?
in late November 2019, subsequent to impeachment hearings, Onyshchenko was scheduled to travel to the US to publicize his allegations, but was arrested in Germany and held for about 6 months.
in May 2020, while still in jail, Onyshchenko (according to his story) arranged for Biden-Poroshenko tapes to be delivered to Andrii Derkach, who then released excerpts in several press conferences.
in Aug 2020, William Evanina of ODNI stated Derkach tapes were Russian disinformation and on Sep 10, 2020, Derkach was sanctioned by Treasury OFAC, resulting in erasure of his social media and even his website. Buried even more thoroughly than Hunter laptop 4 weeks later
Onyshchenko himself was sanctioned by Treasury OFAC on January 10, 2021 in one of the very last acts of outgoing Trump admin. When they ought to have been releasing Russiagate hoax documents.
this thread was inspired by @FOOL_NELSON's question about a CHS mentioned by Horowitz who provided information beginning in March 2017 and by recent information connecting CHS to Burisma and Ukraine, plus CHS possession of tapes
Image
in a Ukrainian language article in 2018, Onyshchenko claimed that he had acted as an intermediary with Zlochevsky in the negotiation of the deal in which Ukrainian charges against Burisma were dropped
strana.news/articles/analy… Image
it goes without saying that this thread reflects input by @FOOL_NELSON, @walkafyre and @HansMahncke.
I mentioned that this thread began with the identity of Horowitz' CHS. As most readers are aware, New York Post identified Gal Luft as a missing witness in Biden investigation. Plausible candidate as the mysterious CHS.
nypost.com/2023/05/31/mis… Image
nypost.com/2023/06/12/bur… based on New York Post reporting today, Burisma bought into a joint venture with Cub Energy: and this may be connected to Hunter's desire for Burisma to acquire North American foothold Image
a candidate for the source for CHS information arising from Cub Energy connection (proposed by a reader) is Frank Mermoud. Story seems to be developing quickly all of a sudden.
it increasingly appears that FBI/DOJ, in addition to burying incriminating information from Onyshchenko, was also burying incriminating information from Gal Luft, who increasingly appears to be the "informant" identified by Comer
Image
a reader proposed an alternative to Frank Mermoud as Gal Luft's source. Mermoud was Chairman of Cub Energy, a company with Ukrainian gas interests, some joint with Burisma, that was listed with Canadian securities commissions (now Carcetti Capital)
the alternative source to Gal Luft proposed by a reader is Mikhail Afendikov, formerly CEO of Cub Energy, who died suddenly on Feb 1, 2021, shortly after Biden's inauguration.

expro.com.ua/en/tidings/unt…
however, making and saving of tapes seems much more plausible if Luft's source is someone like Onyshchenko (who we know both to have accumulated many tapes and to have been in contact with Zlochevsky) than a director of a public company (Mermoud, Afendikov etc). We'll see (maybe)
if the informant's source turns out to be Onyshchenko, then we'll have a truly bizarre situation in which not only was the informant giving information to FBI that was buried, but the informant's source was also giving info to FBI that was being buried.

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More from @ClimateAudit

Stephen McIntyre Profile picture
May 12
in April 2022, Mark Steyn, on his GB News show
,
commented on recently released UK COVID data, claiming "the third booster shots so zealously promoted by the British state, and its groupthink media has failed, and in fact exposed you to significantly greater risk of infection, hospitalization and death."
Steyn showed images of five tables from official statistical publications to support his claims.
In April 2023, Ofcom, which, in addition to its ordinary regulatory role, had taken a special interest in vaccine advocacy, ruled that Steyn's "presentation of UK Health Security Agency data
and their use to draw conclusions materially misled the audience. In breach of Rule 2.2 of the Broadcasting Code" - a very damaging finding that Steyn has appealed.


I haven't followed this case. However, as it happens, I had taken an interest in UK COVID data about 3 months earlier, as it was one of the few jurisdictions that published case and hospitalization rates by vaccination status.


Also, to refresh readers on the contemporary context, early 2022 was the period in which COVID lockdowns and overall alarm began to decline.

At the time, I observed that the UK data showed that the case rate for triple vax was //higher// than among unvax. Three months later, Steyn (as discussed below) made a similar claim, for which he was censured.

Although the UK authorities conspicuously refrained from including this result in their summary or conclusions, they were obviously aware of the conundrum, since their publication included a curious disclaimer by UK authorities that actual case data "should not be used" to estimate vaccine effectiveness. I pointed this odd disclaimer out in this earlier thread, also noting that health authorities in Ontario and elsewhere had previously used such data to promote vaccine uptake and that the reasoning behind this disclaimer needed to be closely examined and parsed.

All of these issues turned up later in the Ofcom decision re Steyn.

Ofcom ruled that Steyn's presentation was "materially misleading" because
(1) he failed to take account of "fundamental biases" in age structure of vax and unvax groups i.e. unvax group was skewed younger, vax group skewed older; and
(2) he failed to include the disclaimer that "This raw data should not be used to estimate vaccine effectiveness as the data does not take into account inherent biases present such as differences in risk, behaviour and testing in the vaccinated and unvaccinated populations”.steynonline.com/mark-steyn-sho…
ofcom.org.uk/__data/assets/…
Image
in this thread, I'll re-examine Steyn's analysis. I've transcribed all the numbers in the tables and done further calculations to check his claims.

First, case rates. Steyn first showed an important table showing the population by 5-year age group and vax status, observing that the total population of triply vax (boosted) was approximately equal to the population of unboosted, observing that this facilitated comparison. Steyn: "Let's take a look at this, as you can see from a pool of 63 million down at the bottom there, 63 million, there are 32 million who are triple vaccinated. That leaves just under 31 million, who are either double single or unvaccinated. So we have two groups of similar size, 31, 32 million. So it's relatively easy to weigh the merits of the third shot upon Group A versus group B."

He then showed a table of cases by age group and vax status, pointing out that the total number of boosted cases was approximately double the number of unboosted cases: "So the triple vaccinated in March were responsible for just over a million COVID cases and everybody else 475,000 COVID cases. So the triple vaccinated are contracting COVID at approximately twice the rate of the double, single and unvaccinated. Got that? If you get the booster shot, you've got twice as high a chance of getting the COVID. In the United Kingdom, there's twice as many people with the third booster shot who got the COVID, as the people who never had the booster shot."Image
Image
Ofcom purported to rebut Steyn's analysis as shown in excerpt below. They observed that proportion of unvax in younger age groups was much higher than in older age groups and that the "simple comparison between the two groups made by Mark Steyn failed to take into account these inherent biases".

However, Ofcom failed to show that there would be a different outcome in the more complex analysis in which age groups were allowed for.

As it turns out, in regard to case rates, Steyn's conclusions, if anything, under-stated the phenomenon, as shown next.Image
Read 11 tweets
Stephen McIntyre Profile picture
Apr 19
here is a thread from 2023 in which Eric Ciaramella's "yikes" is placed in a more detailed context.

In this thread, I suggested that the linkage was connected to Jan 21, 2016 meeting of Ukrainian prosecutors with State Dept officials, noting that Jamie Gusack (reporting to Bridget Brink) had distributing the first demand for Shokin's head (Nov 22 TPs)Image
Image
as pointed out in that thread, Gusack (State Dept) had been coordinating with Ciaramella (NSC) prior to arrival of Ukr prosecutors in Jan 2016, referring to Shokin replacement.

State Dept cited "diamond prosecutors case" as big deal. But what happened to it next? A long story. Image
Bridget Brink, Jamie Gusack's boss, reported to Victoria Nuland. Brink was appointed Ambassador to Ukraine in April 2022. Unanimous approval by Senate in early days of war at the exact time that US and UK were sabotaging the peace deal negotiated in Istanbul Image
Read 4 tweets
Stephen McIntyre Profile picture
Mar 17
as observed yesterday, , after 2014 US coup, the tsunami of billion dollar US/IMF loans was associated with unprecedented embezzlement by Ukr oligarchs thru corrupt Ukr banking system. Rescues of failed banks (mostly unnoticed in west) were markers
in today's thread, I'll provide a short bibliography of articles (mostly Ukrainian language via google translate) on the Ukr banking corruption crisis that began and exploded after the 2014 US coup, while Biden, Blinken, Nuland et al were running Ukraine
once one searches specifically for the topic, there are interesting references, but the topic has received essentially next to zero coverage in the west. I'll take myself as an example. Despite following Ukr affairs quite closely, my prior knowledge was three vignettes.
Read 15 tweets
Stephen McIntyre Profile picture
Mar 16
May 25, 2021: US DOJ announced indictment & arrest of Austrian banker Peter Weinzierl


Mar 13, 2024: we learn that Alexander Smirnov was an FBI informant against Weinzierl and had lured Weinzierl to UK on behalf of FBI for arrest justice.gov/usao-edny/pr/t…
archive.is/zO1rt

Image
Image
the DOJ charges against Austrian banker Weinzierl, filed during first six months of Biden admin, pertained to allegations that payments made via Meinl Bank in Austria by Brazilian construction company Odebrecht were connected to evasion of taxes in Brazil. Image
if the concern of US DOJ and FBI with administration of Brazilian tax collection seems somewhat quirky, there may be an ulterior motive: Meinl Bank had a central role in the looting of Ukrainian banks during the 2014-2016 Biden administration of Ukraine. Image
Read 11 tweets
Stephen McIntyre Profile picture
Mar 3
Valentyn Nalyvaichenko, named by NYT as architect of 2014 post-Maidan takeover of Ukrainian intelligence by CIA, is former head of Ukrainian SBU. His comments on Biden corruption deserve attention, but have been ignored.archive.is/zXXQV
on October 10, 2019, early in the Trump impeachment saga, Nalyvaichenko published an op ed in Wall St Journal saying "alliance with US depends on answering questions about Bidens and election interference" [by Ukraine] archive.is/wsrjP
Image
in that editorial, Naluvaichenko, the former SBU hear, stated that Ukraine had responsibility to investigate allegations that Ukraine interfered in 2016 election (a separate issue from Russian interference) and whether Burisma hired Hunter Biden for "cynical purposes". Image
Read 6 tweets
Stephen McIntyre Profile picture
Mar 1
as Svetlana @RealSLokhova explained to us, intelligence fabricators (like Halper) begin by juxtaposing two targets in the same room and using that juxtaposition for their smear.

But, Weiss' Smirnov operation did exactly the opposite. I'll explain. twitter.com/search?lang=en…
Image
Smirnov had multiple Burisma contacts in 2017-Jan 2018, that are provable by email and travel records. See diagram below.
But, according to Weiss, instead of attaching narrative to provable meetings, Smirnov attached his narrative to non-existent contacts in 2015-16 and 2019. Image
Obvious question: why would Smirnov attach his narrative to fabricated meetings/telecons, when he had multiple real meetings/telecons to which he could have attached the narrative just as easily?
Read 7 tweets

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