Tim Hogan 浩勤 Profile picture
Jun 13 5 tweets 4 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
1. Monday, Ukraine made steady progress on the #southernfront south of #VelykaNovosilka. Earlier gains are being consolidated across a wide front as Russian forces continue to fall back under risk of encirclement. Russia destroyed another dam on the Mokri Yaly river to slow the Image
2. Ukrainian force advance but there is no evidence that the Ukrainian offensive will be stalled.

In areas to the south, Ukraine is conducting strikes on Russian command and operational centers striking the operational command center for the entire region in #Henichesk. ImageImage
3. Other strikes are reported in #Melitopol, #Tokmak and #Molochne. One of these strikes has reportedly killed the commander of the Russian 35th Army, Major General #Goryachev. Image
4. In addition, Chief of the Russian Army General Staff, Valery #Gerasimov is reported to be in #Zaporizhia along with many other Russian general officers and a hunt is under way to find and eliminate Gerasimov. I recall the last time he almost bought the sunflower farm. Image
5. I still think this is the hit on his command vehicle near Izyum. I think a case can be made for Putin wanting Ukraine to kill many if not all of Russia's top generals. Image

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More from @TimInHonolulu

Jun 14
1. Tuesday again saw the most intense fighting in Ukraine south of #VelykaNovosilka. Each day the Ukrainian forces appear to apply lessons learned and employ combined arms tactics with advanced Kamikaze drone units to attack Russian infantry and armor units. Image
2. Russia has fought a trench war for years. Modern mechanized units make these tactics all but obsolete. Ukrainian forces are supported by heavy artillery and drones. Today when the Russians attempted to stop the Ukrainian advance with their Thermobaric tube artillery
3. the inferior thermobaric rocket range made it easy for the Ukrainian counter-battery artillery to target the thermobaric artillery and put it out of action. I've noticed that Ukraine is now deploying full drone attack units along several fronts.
Read 9 tweets
Jun 13
Trump arrives at Miami federal court amid curious on-lookers but no evidence of a large crowd of dangerous supporters. Image
Cars parking outside the courthouse. Image
Bike officers parking. Image
Read 4 tweets
Jun 12
1. My guess is that Walt Nauta thought his billionaire bud would take care of him. If they both appear with public defenders tomorrow Nauta may start having doubts. If Trump pays for Nauta's trial counsel then he has a motive to play ball. But if Nauta is represented by a Image
2. federal public defender that lawyer will likely advise Nauta to cooperate and make a deal fast to avoid a long prison term. So the fun part of Trump's mission impossible to find some Miami firm willing to take a chance on him is he also has to find one to represent Nauta.
3. If Trump can't, he may find the Govt coming in very quickly with a plea agreement and an allocution that details the crimes that Trump committed with Nauta. And if he finds a firm, I'm guessing the firm will want a seven-figure retainer.
Read 4 tweets
Jun 12
1. One thing that is scary about Cannon who IMO has a demonstrated bias in favor of Trump, is that she can issue exclusionary rulings that destroy the Govt case. But I think much of the key evidentiary rulings on privileges have been through appeals to the DC appeals court and
2. I think were already ruled upon by SCOTUS. Though I'd have to research to be certain that the "law of the case" doctrine applies to interlocutory appeals in a grand jury proceeding in the subsequent criminal case, my guess is that it does, so Cannon could have
3. no power to help him on issues that the appellate courts have already decided the issue. I would love to hear what the former federal prosecutors say about this. Because Jack Smith would know this his decision to not file in DC may have been easier knowing that the key issues
Read 4 tweets
Jun 12
Just in from SDFL. Looks like Trump's attorneys tried to appear but unlike yours truly never read the local rules. Image
Image
Read 5 tweets
Jun 12
1. The updated @projectowlosint map shows Ukraine has confirmed the taking of the earlier reported settlements south of #VelykaNovosika shown in yellow and continues to press at the #southernfront. In an attempt to slow the Ukrainian advance the Russians Image
2. destroyed the #MokriYaly River dam circled above that will flood settlements to the north. The Russians likely hope that this will slow the Ukrainian advance by making it difficult for Ukraine to cross the river but it also puts the Russia forces on the east bank in a
3. difficult position because they can't be reinforced and will likely be forced to withdraw. Ukraine appears to be slowly forcing the Russians to fall back and permit the Ukrainian to even the line of contact north of the dam. This is all occurring with no indication that
Read 6 tweets

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