David Fishman Profile picture
Jun 13 6 tweets 1 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
In China there are now live streamers selling Shanxi 5500 kcal spot coal at 570-600 yuan/mt.

Some comments on screen say "how do you ship this?" And "how many tonnes for minimum purchase?" Image
If we take these prices as market reflective, then they are already at the floor price of the long term contract price range established by the NDRC.

Just last week they were at the top of that price range. How low can they go?
Just to be clear, this isn't some random livestreamer hopping into the coal sector...It's a coal trading company using livestreaming as a sales channel. There are very few things you CAN'T buy via livestream in China.
Oops, I overlooked that this is mine mouth price (抗口价).

Shanxi 5500 mine mouth target price range for long term contracts is 570-370 CNY/mt, lower than the 570-770 target range used for QHD port 5500.

So it's actually only at the Shanxi 5500 price cap now, NOT the floor.
I know 99% of the replies here are like "who cares this is a quirky post about selling coal over livestream" but pretty sure the 1% of commodities traders are gonna "well actually" me to tiny bits if I don't correct this. :s
*坑口价 not 抗口价 I'm so ashamed

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More from @pretentiouswhat

Jun 13
Want to check out all the cool new Chinese EVs in one place without having to navigate the madness of a huge auto show? Come to the China Carbon Neutrality Expo instead.

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A girl painting the empty, condemned street in a section of Shanghai's old town.

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Last weekend I was in China's Moganshan, a popular scenic mountain area in north Zhejiang, only a few hours from SH.

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Moganshan is part of Deqing County, Huzhou City. When you visit, you go directly to Moganshan Town, which is comprised of many villages ringing the mountain.

Yu Village 庾村 is the liveliest, just outside the east entrance to the mountain. But we wanted peace and quiet... ImageImage
That's how we chose a guesthouse in Xiantan Village, to the north, facing Moganshan itself, with its back against another mountain (Mt. Tianquan).

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May 5
Everywhere I've been in China, every tiny town or poor county doing poverty alleviation...I've never encountered a single person who thought like this...who blamed the government for making them poor...before saving them from poverty.

That's because it's absurd and untrue.
Glance through a history book for like, 30 seconds, and you'll easily find out how bad things were in China pre-1949. I won't run through the statistics here, but they were grim.

For most of the country outside of a few cities like Shanghai, there was nowhere to go but up...
There were definitely some bounces in living standards over 1949-1979. Two steps forward, one step back kinda stuff. Sometimes even two steps back. I haven't forgotten the GLF.

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May 5
For my Substack, I wrote about the Chinese highway system and the unique role I think it plays in the poverty alleviation campaign.

I'll summarize some key points here, but if you're into these topics, do read the whole thing:

crossingtheriver.substack.com/p/life-is-a-hi… Image
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Apr 25
In Sichuan, I had the most somber, most emotionally draining day of my trip - and it happened by accident.

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Long thread, with some heavy content ahead. 🧵 Image
We had flown to Chengdu from Kunming and rented a car to drive west to Dujiangyan, a Chengdu suburb of about 600k people, known as the gateway to Western Sichuan.

It's more clear from the map below: Dujiangyan is like the last outpost before you go into the mountains. Image
Wenchuan, as you can see below, is the first county you encounter as you head into the mountains.

Just 10 km to Dujiangyan's west, the average elevation shoots up and nearly the only settlements are found in river valleys between mountains.

Here, it's the Min River. 岷江 Image
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