Francis Hoar Profile picture
Jun 13 9 tweets 3 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
An improvement on indications of Lady Hallett’s thinking,but it misses central points.
Lockdowns weren’t considered in pandemic plans not just b’cs they were unthinkable but bc’s measures *less* draconian were found to be ineffective & disproportionate.

bbc.co.uk/news/health-65…
It *is* positive that the Inquiry is finally addressing the lack of any adequate prior consideration of the exceptional harm that wld be the inevitable consequence of lockdown; let alone to weigh whether that harm was justified by the supposed efficacy of lockdown.
(I say finally because of the consummate lack of any such consideration in the terms of reference and earlier openings.)
But, first, that is only half what needs to be considered in evaluating the proportionality of the response. The other half is evidence of the efficacy of lockdowns in reducing Covid deaths: something there is precious little evidence the inquiry will consider at all.
And, secondly, a properly open and disinterested inquiry must consider why the very suggestion of lockdown came to be considered out of nowhere - flying in the face of all evidence based pandemic plans across the world - in early 2020.
Arriving from China to Italy in a vacuum of scrutiny and - when it arrived here - a void of democratic debate or accountability. The latter being yet another conspicuous absence from the inquiry’s terms of reference.
I return, without apology, to my explanation of the sound pandemic preparation that there was and its careful evaluation of the evidence of the harm of restricting human behaviour and the lack of evidence of any benefit in curtailing pandemic spread.
And to some of the questions the #CovidInquiry should be asking.

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More from @Francis_Hoar

Aug 2, 2022
I find the approach of Christian Concern very odd - and wholly divorced from orthodox Augustinian and Aquinan Christian principles, quite apart from Hippocratic ones. Tragic though this case is, it concerns the end of life supporting treatment, not active steps to kill.
Not long ago, such withdrawal would have been expected and uncontroversial, however sad, where medical professionals determined that it was very unlikely that a person would awake from a coma.
And, because it was treatment using facilities and medication that was finite, such a determination was likely to have been final, a hospital having the right to ration treatment.
Read 18 tweets
Jul 29, 2022
This is desperately sad news.
Mark was the epitome of a good citizen.He devoted his life to serving his borough. I came to know him during the Tower Hamlets election petition,when his research & analysis were invaluable to exposing the corruption of Lutfur Rahman and his cronies.
He had been working on this with other journalists - @TedJeory @mragilligan, John Ware and more - for years. But assembling the evidence was particularly challenging in the face of an organisation controlled by one man.
During the nine months in which the case was prepared and presented, the small team could not have proved the case against Rahman so comprehensively (the judgment survived two judicial reviews) without Mark and others.
Read 9 tweets
Apr 14, 2022
One of the most interesting moments in the documentary was how quickly the public reaction turned. From ‘how dare you say this’ to ‘he never existed’ (a revealing comment).
The last two yrs have confirmed to me the conclusion one can also draw from this.

theguardian.com/tv-and-radio/2…
Let’s not beat about the bush. Public opinion is fickle, easily manipulated, and an exceptionally dangerous measure of what is right.
That is why an absolute democracy would be one of the most dangerous - and short lived - systems. A recipe for tyranny.
Edmund Burke recognised this. That is what he meant by ‘democracy’ when he castigated it.
Yes, a balanced, mature liberal democracy is the worst system apart from all the others (the caveats were understood to be implied by Churchill)…
Read 6 tweets
Feb 8, 2022
After 2 yrs in which all protest was banned (3x) for the 1st time in our history, the outrage of politicians, lawyers & journalists is spared for the Leader of the Opposition heckled for not opposing any of it.
Heckling is unpleasant but banning protest is an attack on democracy.
Anyone who expresses their shock about a democratic politician being shouted at after having ignored police officers beating up political protesters needs to re-examine their values.
Moreover, that a politician has to face the reaction of the people to his decisions is a feature - indeed a *qualifying* feature - not only of a democratic but of a free society.
What would the shocked maiden aunts of our commentariat have thought of the 18th and 19th centuries?
Read 5 tweets
Jan 31, 2022
Because you and almost the entirety of the media screamed and screamed until we ignored all our pandemic plans and followed a totalitarian state instead.
As I said (in relation to pandemic planning) in November 2020.
As I said, in relation to human rights, in April 2020.
Read 4 tweets
Jan 14, 2022
My questions for Her Majesty's 'Opposition':
1. Did you consider the pandemic plan prepared by Lucy & others & the WHO (explained here: )?
2. Did you ask for analysis of what the Diamond Princess and other examples of transmission showed us about the IFR?
3. Did you question the use of such an incredibly discredited figure as Neil Ferguson and did you investigate his credentials, in particular his history of using his 'reasonable worst case scenario' models to exaggerate mortality by between 1,000 and 500,000 times?
4. Did you consider the evidence in the said pandemic plans about the ineffectiveness of: (a) quarantining infected people after considerable spread;(b) quarantining contacts;(c) closing businesses; (d) closing schools-ALL recommended against even for much more serious pandemics?
Read 15 tweets

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