Let's just suppose Boris Johnson really is innocent. I know, but bear with me.
This would mean the following must be involved in a conspiracy of agreed lies and faked evidence, without leaving any trace whatsoever of their collusion, and most of them for no reason whatsoever ...
- Johnson's own staff
- Johnson's own press secretary
- Every civil servant in Downing St
- The Metropolitan Police
- The reviewing panel for police findings, led by Sajid Javid's brother
- The Queen, who accepted Johnson's apologies for parties
I'm not finished...
- The 173 Tory ministers, officials, special advisors and trade envoys who resigned in 24 hours cos of his lies
- A parliamentary committee with majority Tory members
- BBC
- ITN
- Sky
- Reuters
- The New York Times
- The Press Association
Hold on, there's more ...
- Most members of parliament, on either side of the chamber
- Anybody who watched Johnson deliver his Covid lockdown announcements on TV
- Anybody who watched Johnson's denials in parliament on TV
- Johnson's own legal team
Nope, the conspiracy isn't finished yet ...
- Microsoft, who made email software with "fake" evidence of parties
- Apple, who made the phones with "fake" photos of him at parties
- The camera team in the HoC, who must have faked that footage
- And receipts at the off licence where suitcases were filled with booze
We all know how hard it is to arrange drinks between 4 adult mates.
Imagine the challenge in roping millions of strangers into this top secret conspiracy, which doesn't even benefit most of them.
Isn't it more likely Johnson's just a liar who finally got busted?
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Sunak is entropy in action. The longer you look at him, the less there appears to be.
But if he's wise, he'll use this chance to look strong, and will utterly reject Johnson - block his honours list, kick him out of the party, and promise the same for MPs denying the...
findings of the Privileges Committee. It might lead to half a dozen absolute headbangers doing a ChangeUK, quitting the Tories, and heading off into the wilderness, but it'll make Sunak look like the master of the remaining party, and draw a line under this shabby era...
And as long as the number quitting remains below 20, Sunak will still be left with a good working majority. He'll look strong. He'll look ethical. He'll scrape the intellectual and moral barnacles off his boat. And it won't make his chances of winning in 2024 worse...
Nobody sacked him. He resigned rather than face a by-election.
This isn't about cake. It's about him lying to parliament, which isn't allowed.
He isn't banned for life. He *might* be barred from standing again cos he's shown contempt of parliament.
It wasn't a Kangaroo Court. It was a long standing committee, with members elected by MPs, a majority of Brexiteer Tory members, and overseen by a retired high court judge. And he was represented by one of the countries top KCs at a cost (to taxpayers) of £225,000
The committee didn't Undemocratically Decide His Fate. The committee will merely make recommendations to MPs, who will vote to suspend him (at worst), and then voters can decide if he remains their MP. He ran away rather than face that.
Watched this yesterday, and what struck me is how static the camera is throughout. Most shots are long and steady. I hadn't realised before, but I think it's this that gives it a timeless, classic quality.
Modern movies are a blizzard of cuts and fancy camera moves. Not this.
In the famous scene where Indy shoots the truck, and it flips over and explodes "killing" Marion, there's no attempt to show the bang from multiple directions, extending the action. Just one long, steady, 10 second shot of Indy reacting. It lets the audience experience it.
Today a director would have 93 cameras, zooming and panning, spiralling around the action, flash-cutting from the blast being triggered, to Indy's face, to burning metal, fleeing locals, flying glass, birds-eye view, etc.
I don't see how that produces better results than this.
It wouldn't occur to him to endanger staff? You reckon?
Documented examples:
They had to arrange a "puppy gate" on his flat when he got Covid, to prevent him wandering around Downing St dispensing infectious spume on everybody in sight.
Later the same day SAGE warned against handshakes - this was pre vaccine - he visited a hospital, and afterwards told journalists he had shaken hands with everybody he'd met, and would continue to do so.
He went on breakfast TV to say he wanted Britain to "take it on the chin" and let the virus "move through the population" unhindered.
He said "let the bodies pile high" rather then have a "fucking lockdown"
I keep seeing people claim the Privileges Committee organised some sort of stitch-up. So let's remind everyone of what happened, and how it all works.
First: the committee
1. It has 7 members
2. The members are chosen by MPs
3. Only 2 are Labour. 4 are Tories
4. It's overseen by a retired high court judge to ensure impartiality and fair process
5. It can only make recommendations, it can't "kick people out"
6. MPs vote on whether to implement recommendations
7. And Tories have a working majority of 68 MPs, so could have voted no
8. Johnson was invited 5 times to rebuff evidence if he thought it was wrong, and refused 5 times
9. Johnson was advised by a top legal team, costing taxpayers £225,000. He chose to sack them rather than listen to their advice or fight back (prob cos there's no defence)
It's easy to predict chaos. Much harder to describe the exact form that chaos will take.
Johnson just kickstarted chaos again. Undermining trust in parliament, undermining Sunak, emboldening the Braverman / Badenoch wing who are already plotting their takeover of the party.
His seemingly casual comment that he's "leaving politics... for now" is a clear signal that he's ready to throw his lot in with an even more right wing, English Nationalist party (Reform? Reclaim? A new party?), take it over, and seek vengeance on the Tories.
Dorries has quit, so Johnson might stand in her seat. He might also attempt to tempt a few Tories to his banner - those with little to lose, cos their majority is slim. Or who feel the problem is that the Tories, the most economically right wing party on earth, are too left wing