Steve Loftus Profile picture
Jun 16, 2023 15 tweets 3 min read Read on X
🍃 The Offshore Wind Megathread 🍃

How many times have you seen on TV or read on Twitter that wind power is cheap and that's where the Government should focus its efforts?

Let's have a look at why that isn't remotely true.

#windenergy #greenenergy #renewables Image
@BrknMan @aDissentient @7Kiwi MW not GW, it's late.
@BrknMan @aDissentient @7Kiwi I will say its possible for outliers. HR3 is a shallow, near shore farm and it was built before turbine costs shot up.

That's not the trend were seeing in the UK.
@halhod Though not covered here there are many that dispute it's greener credentials also
There are 35 tweets in this thread. Buggy Twitter doesn't always show them all in line, sometimes I see to 27, sometimes 30. You have to click on the last you can see to get the rest.

I notice the view counts for the later ones are much lower.
@halhod Also capex is 60-70% of the levelised cost and anything built recently is going to be 38% more expensive than pre 2021 just due to increased turbine costs.
@paterson_vm @fergustp Safe
@aDissentient @peterbatt Also there's the inconvenient fact that the IPCC says they are getting more expensive and why.

The global drop from 15 to 20 is due to a raft of near shore, shallow Chinese projects. It's not a true global trend.
@aDissentient @peterbatt Here's the study.

Its up to 2019 I think and the costs fall within both Hughes and Montford own estimates.

sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
@peterbatt @fergustp @aDissentient Hughes, Montford, the Science Direct study I sent you and the IPCC all agree offshore wind is increasing in price.

There is only one person with a case of denialism here Peter.
@peterbatt @fergustp @aDissentient Let's make this easy.

Show me anything that says the costs of offshore wind are falling that doesn't include CfD bid prices.
@peterbatt @MingleDandy @fergustp @aDissentient And would save everyone hundreds of pounds a month, at least £400, and thousands over the coming years.
@peterbatt @MingleDandy @fergustp @aDissentient You started off your responses by saying that we should ignore such people. So maybe you should?

And the article you said contains science? It's arguments in order are,

1. It's really more than 1% (you can say that about everyone, in which case it's still 1%).
@peterbatt @MingleDandy @fergustp @aDissentient 2. 1% is actually big (It's not)

3. History matters (not to future planning it doesn't)

4. We are influencial (we can be influencial without crippling ourselves).

5. China is actually great (lol)

Zero science.
If you enjoyed this and want to read something interesting about UK water in light of the Thames Water news then read my thread below.

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More from @LoftusSteve

Feb 16
This is the real story today. This isn't Blair '97. Nobody is moving to Labour.

Conservative voters stayed home

Kingswood 2019 - 16,492 votes for labour
Kingswood 2024 - 11,176 votes for labour

Wellingborough 2019 - 13,737 labour votes
Wellingborough 2024 - 13,844 labour votes
This is what happens when you don't do Conservative things.
In the 1996 South East Staffs by election Labour gained 22% of the vote and Tories lost 22%.

In early 1997 Labour took Wirral South by gaining 18% and Tories lost 16.5%.

Clear pattern of Labour attracting Tory voters before '97 that doesn't exist now.
Read 4 tweets
Dec 16, 2023
💰The Cost of Renewables Megathread💰

The popular narrative in UK politics, and subsequently social media, is that renewables are cheap and drive bills down while gas is the problem driving prices up.

This is propaganda designed to make you buy in.Image
1⃣ You could be forgiven for thinking that the following points are facts as they are repeated often enough.

🔸Renewables are 9x cheaper than gas
🔸Renewables are bringing prices down
🔸Solar is the cheapest form of electricity
🔸Wind is cheap, especially onshore

All lies.
2⃣ There are three renewables subsidy schemes in operation.

Contracts for Difference (CfD) that came into effect in 2017 and Renewable Obligation Contracts (ROC) which ran from 2002 until 2017. These cover all large projects.

FiT (Feed in Tariff) is for sub 5MW projects.
Read 19 tweets
Oct 27, 2023
I'm very tired of seeing this fake map made for morons. So I made a more accurate version that reflects reality.

First you can see Palestine never existed. It was part of Ottoman Syria for 400 years before the British and covered 3 different administrative districts. Image
Then in the 2nd map from 1920 to 1946 there were no "Jewish Settlements" it was just British Mandatory Palestine. Some Jewish people lived there, some ethnic Syrians, some Jordanians, some Lebanese, some Egyptians and some native Bedouin tribes.
The 3rd map shows the UN plan in 1947 with vast swathes of White without mentioning that the Orange section shown here was desert. Israelis have learned over time to manage this land and have some towns there but it's still largely uninhabited.
Read 5 tweets
Oct 20, 2023
1⃣ There is no bigger lie than Palestinians are an oppressed people and it's all Israel's fault.

They may be oppressed, but it's largely their own fault.

A Dummies Guide I put together as I was a Dummy until recently. Image
2⃣Firstly, there is no Palestine. The name did not exist until Roman occupation when after the defeats of the Jews they renamed Judea as Paleastina. When the Ottoman empire ruled it the whole area was Ottoman Syria.

It wasn't until the British Mandate that the state was created.
3⃣ Most of the people now considered Palestinians are descendents of immigrants from Syria, Egypt and Lebanon that came to work during Ottoman rule or the British Mandate.

Yet, it is Jews that are accused of "colonising" the land. Despite it being their ancestral homeland.
Read 26 tweets
Aug 2, 2023
1⃣ This is the clip that most enraged me on the BBC's heatpump show last night.

It's starts off by shitting on SMR costs. The whole point of SMR is they have a very good idea of costs from building modular reactors for defense.

But it's the Hinkley lies that got me.
2⃣ The program spent enormous amount of time talking about how onshore wind was the cheapest form of electricity. No mention of subsidies. No mention of balancing costs.

But when it gets to nuclear it's being "subsidised by £19bn".

Pure nonsense.
3⃣ This comes from news stories at the time such as the one below.

The "subsidy" was the strike price the Gov agreed to pay above the gas prices in 2015 over 35 years.

Of course, gas prices are now far higher so there is no "subsidy".

theguardian.com/uk-news/2017/n…
Read 7 tweets
Jul 20, 2023
There's some rumours floating around today that the temperatures being reported on the news are not the traditional air temperatures we have always seen, but the much hotter ground temps.

I need to look into it more, but this would be a huge deception if true.
Reports like below seem to suggest that the European Space Agency has been providing ground temps and that is why they do not match the Weather station temps in the tweets above.

Needs more investigating.

Tweets such as this show the temps in weather apps are nowhere near the reported news temps.

Read 16 tweets

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