The scrip has given an almighty breakout into new ATH last month and this month its being pulled back substantially. Here first criteria of strong bullish trend in HTF is satisfied with a fresh ATH breakout.
Step 2: Chk weekly TF to assess the details of breakout
2/7
1. BO is from an inv. H&S pattern 2. There was 3WTC pattern just prior to BO 3. BO had a strong follow up week with higher ROC 4. Pocket picot volume on BO and follow up bars 5. Pullback lack volume and last bar is bullish pinbar
These confirms the BO is really strong
3/7
Now we need to confirm if any tradable set up is formed or not in it which is
Step 3: in daily TF, u can see following things
1. bullish bar at the break away gap support 2. Entire last week price was rangebound 3. price is rejected from below the gap
4/7
To form a trading plan on it
1. Entry abv the high of last bar 2. SL below the low of the bar prior gap up 3. Target would be the pattern depth added to breakout level
This would give u a set up with a 4R potential
5/7
This is the entire process behind my pullback trading. First task is to identify a scrip suitable for such trading and keep them n watchlist till it forms a trdable set up.
I have scanner for this entire process in one go so that
6/7
the hectic task of
creating suitable scrip list
watch its PA daily
and
wait for tradable set up
is cut short into just one click
Cheers
ProdigalTrader
If the content is good enough, #retweet the first tweet for wider reach
7/7
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Its simply an approach by means of which a trader is able to make most logical decisions and act precisely upon it. There is nothing else to it
How to build it?
It varies from one trader to another. I will exemplify one of my friend here
1/7
He had severe issues with cutting his loss. He will just keep holding it hoping for a reversal to wipe off his loss. He never take SL.
But he found a seemingly stupid but practically wonderful solution to it.
Instead of SL hit , he started thinking "Sunny Leon hit"
2/7
It was around that time Sunny Leon started acting in main stream movies as well. He just gave a definition to SL so that he is not scared of it any more, rather likes it very much.
What happened is that he wasnt worried about cutting loss anymore.
3/7
Most traders conceive that strongest chart patterns are the ones which are most visually convincing. They are pushed to think those patterns offer high probability trades.
But the truth is patterns are just consolidations where trend continuation demands accumulation
1/8
and reversal demands distribution (uptrend case). This criteria has nothing to do with how the pattern looks to ur eyes. Trend continuation patterns starts with profit booking where price might dip with comparably big red bars which fizzles out faster.
2/8
Price reaches a point where buyers find it as fair value. It's here price starts accumulation. Price makes sideways trendless move here till supply no longer able to contain price inside the range. It's here demand finds further strength and price goes up.
3/8
Look at the table below. Its bid/ask table for an imaginary stock
CMP is 149.90
Highest bid is at 150 and lowest ask is at 150.
So the next trade will happen at 150 increasing the price.
But buy orders for 2500 quantity are there at 150 while there is only 200 quantity to sell.
What will happen now?
There are 2300 pending buy order at 150 with all the asks at 150 os exhausted. They will have to buy at next best ask level which is 151.
2/6
He will buy all the 150 number of shares available at 151. Now the price increased again
CMP 151 with huge quantity to buy but poor qunatity to sell
Price movement depends on how rushed or agressive either parties are
3/6
When a conceptual content is posted in Twitter, how would u treat It?
Absolutely all the info can b tweeted as one liner punch dialogue. But some topics, some handles, sometimes posted as fairly lengthy threads.
Where does it differ??
What does it offer??
Suppose I post a lengthy thread in 10 tweets, what I attempt is to provide a primer on the subject. Putting it more simply, its like a 7min Highlights of a 7hr ODI match.
Similarly a thread gives u a very good idea about a topic so that u get a fair understanding on it
2/11
It helps u to decide.
If u found it not good enough, u can leave it then & there.
But If it's suitable to ur trading, then u need to go through the reference books, videos and blogs to dig it in deep and study it in-depth.
Ur trading system should contain 2 parts 1. Define context 2. Entry exit set up and rules
Let's see them in detail
1/16
When u define the context u are essentially removing all the trades which are against the trend.
Suppose u objectively found trend is Bullish with any tools of ur choice. Then all the shorting signals ur entry exit method generates can be avoided
2/16
The tools u use to define the context of the major trend can b anything 1. Supertrend positive 2. Price > EMA 20 > EMA 50 3. MACD abv zero and abv signal line 4. Price and rising vwap 5. Price is riding through upper Bollinger Band since last >20 bars
Widely practised method is that to check the relative strength against the market. Here is the performance of each sector since nifty started falling. We can fairly accurately conclude that, we must look at PSUBANKS, METALS, AUTO
1/11
But how about the sectors such as healthcare, sugar, chemicals etc. These have no respective sector charts. How do u assess the strength in these.
Answer is to check the relative performance. Here is an example chart of health care stocks in NSE500 universe.
2/11
How do u see this?
Majority of the health care stocks are falling below the market. Its just one stock; NArayana Hridayalaya which outperforms the market. Surely its a "DO NOT TOUCH" sector