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Nassim Nicholas Taleb Profile picture
@nntaleb
Jun 19 • 3 tweets • 2 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
The central problem with any such debate involving a real scientist is that @joerogan's audience is sooooo dumb (& so statistically unsophisticated) that they will never figure out who won the argument.
@joerogan As the replies by Rogan viewers show, the typical defender of these conspiraties & pseudolibertarian peabrain fails to understand the passage of time, that there are some measures you take when you don't know what's going on.
As I said, #Idiots

Conspiracies (typo)

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More from @nntaleb

Nassim Nicholas Taleb Profile picture
May 28
Why Strava is not good for training & health, since it shows your average speed (publicly) & causes the wrong type of emulation.
Most people who show their heart rate there appear to be in Zones 3-4, the "junk miles". twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
The only metric I focus on: Total hours spent in the saddle. Nothing else. Everything becomes easier.
As @Alan_Couzens said: if your cycling computer looks like a NASA screen, you have a problem.
@Alan_Couzens 3) Note the "less is more" and "fast and frugal heuristics".
Read 4 tweets
Nassim Nicholas Taleb Profile picture
May 5
Roma Image
Image
Image
Read 5 tweets
Nassim Nicholas Taleb Profile picture
Apr 1
Let me be blunt. Those who are afraid of AI feel deep down that they are impostors & have no edge. If you have a 1) clear mind, 2) a deep, not just cosmetic, undertanding of your specialty, 3) and/or are original enough to reinvent yourself when needed, AI will be your friend.
2) Many in the responses invoked a "threat to society" by AI. That's a separate problem; but for now do not self-servingly invoke a "threat to society" when what's under threat is your little franchise and rent seeking.
Now all these pundits who never thought of risk management before wake up & worry about AI: where were they with the Internet which installed fat-tailed disruptive overconnectivity?

We must be ALWAYS vigilant abt side effects but no need to grant CHINA a free advantage.
Read 4 tweets
Nassim Nicholas Taleb Profile picture
Mar 24
ENTROPY DU JOUR
The ideal Mediterranean food is minimum entropy for maximal taste, that is, the smallest number of (fresh) ingredients possible, usually 3-6.
Salad bars are a modern abomination. The Poké bowl had ~20 ingredients (salad +rice "base", 4 "protein", 5 "mixed ins", 5… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Artificial "meat" has about 50-100 ingredients compared to 4 -5 for hummus
CREDITS
-Giles Yeo holds that the multiplication of ingredients confuse your mechanism of satiation. "Chicken nugget" != chicken
- For @DrCirillo the diff betw French cuisine made for Kings, & Italian made for humans, lies in hiding (with sauces) vs mrl.ims.cam.ac.uk/research/princ…… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Read 5 tweets
Nassim Nicholas Taleb Profile picture
Jan 22
Finally settled on the title, and now it seems obvious. Image
I am using entropy in a broader sense, focusing on ignorance.
The beauty of the term is that it encompasses both probability and disorder. Also covers (mis)information and BS busting.
fooledbyrandomness.com/blog/index.php…
3) Also entropy based methods are vastly more informative (and rigorous) than cookbook stat methods such as correlation, etc. This is an application to population genetics. ImageImageImage
Read 4 tweets
Nassim Nicholas Taleb Profile picture
Jan 11
MISINFORMATION
If you put money in a real bank (money market), an interest bearing account, not a "piggy bank", your earning power would have been preserved between 1960 and 2008.
Only talk about finance if you know something about finance.
Misinformation: propagandists present a partial piece of information, factually correct, as a general attribute of the system.
Here to sell cryptos to innocent youths.
This case: nobody puts more than a few $$ in piggy banks or cash accts, salaries & investment are indexed.
3(correction: purchasing power not earning power).
Read 4 tweets

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