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Jun 20 14 tweets 4 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
Given the persistent efforts of individuals like David Sacks to pursue a "peaceful resolution" on russia’s terms, it becomes crucial to review some pillars of Russian military strategy, thoroughly analyzed and documented by Michael Kofman in 2021.

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2/ To gain a comprehensive understanding of the fallacy and manipulation within David Sacks' narrative, it is crucial to examine his words in the context of the ongoing Russian invasion and their military strategy, objectives and core principles.
3/ In his work, @KofmanMichael assesses russian military strategy, including core theoretical pillars like operational concepts and strategic operations. Non-military means, including warfare in the informational space, are essential components of the russian military strategy. Document source: https://ww...
4/ The paper quotes Alexander Serzhantov, Deputy Chief of the Military Academy of the General Staff, highlighting the significance of information warfare in establishing favorable conditions and achieving effects comparable to large-scale troop deployments.
5/ Understanding the integration of informational warfare with kinetic military actions during the active phase of war is crucial. The concept of an active defense strategy seeks to impede the adversary's ability to launch a successful offensive to secure a definitive victory
6/ Although this primarily applies to scenarios where Russia directly confronts technologically superior forces like NATO, in my view, this fundamental concept can be extended beyond the initial or early stages of warfare with superior force.
7/ If effectively implemented, active defense strategy would force a war with high levels of attrition, where combination of defensive and offensive operations, would enable Russia to maintain the initiative and exert control over the course of the conflict.
8/ This core concept is grounded in the belief that the United States or other adversaries may lack the necessary political determination to engage in a protracted conflict, especially when the objectives are limited and accompanied by significant costs and risks of escalation.
9/ The primary objective is to compel the russian adversary into a prolonged attritional conflict through a combination of military and non-military strategies, inflicting substantial costs, and ultimately prompting them to seek the termination of the war Image
10/ Non-military means, such as psychological and informational operations, employed in the Russian military strategy, play a vital role in shaping the adversary's perception of the war. These operations contribute to the achievement of both military and political objectives. Image
11/ David Sacks and individuals sharing similar perspectives, whether willingly or unwillingly, effectively serve as a designated tool that promotes the termination of the conflict on terms favorable to Russia under the pretext of being a peace-seeking party. Image
12/ David utilizes manipulation tactics to influence the audience's perception, implying that the responsibility for the war's continuation rests with Washington rather than Moscow. This disregards the fact that Ukrainian people see this war as an existential. Image
13/ This approach facilitates Russia, a major adversary of the United States, in undermining support for Ukraine within the US. Consequently, it aids Russia in achieving its military and political objectives at the expense of Ukrainian territories and population.
14/ While I refrain from making statements about whether individuals are russian tools voluntarily, it is important to say that military strategy incorporates operational warfare, which can exploit internal political struggles within an adversary to achieve military objectives

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More from @Tatarigami_UA

Jun 21
1/ I would like to address instances where some of the world's largest media outlets, such as the @WSJ and @Reuters , have either plagiarized my materials or used them without providing proper credit.
🧵Thread: Image
2/ The first instance involves Reuters, which utilized information from one of my threads without making significant changes. I could easily recognize my own writing, as I had used general terms like "Camouflaged area" due to uncertainties in translation. https://www.reuters.com/gra...
3/ Regarding the @WSJ , in their recent video on Wagner, a portion of their content bears striking resemblance to a video that I had before the WSJ published their investigation. I will share a segment of the video WSJ, alongside my original video, letting the public to judge:
Read 8 tweets
Jun 19
🧵Thread

Wagner PMC is actively expanding its operations in the Central African Republic (CAR) and neighboring countries, beyond the scope of gold and diamond extraction. This is supported by my satellite imagery analysis and information from @alleyesonwagner project: Image
2/ In this thread, our attention will be directed towards a wood processing facility near Boda that not only industrializes the deforestation and ecosystem degradation in the area to extract rare timber but also facilitates Wagner's expansion into neighboring countries.
3/ In January 2021, control over Boda, situated west of Bangui, the capital of the Central African Republic (CAR), was secured by both the CAR army and Wagner forces. Visual evidence in the form of obtained photos clearly depicts the presence of Wagner forces within the city. Image
Read 9 tweets
Jun 16
🧵Thread

Mines pose a significant challenge for our army during the counter-offensive. As I've highlighted months ago, the difficulty lies in effectively tackling this issue while dealing with the constant threat of fire from enemy aircraft, AT weaponry, and artillery. Image
2/ Based on my knowledge about the current situation, russian forces continue mining vast expanses, spanning dozens and hundreds of square kilometers. Even the deployment of Mine Clearing Line Charges (MICLIC) does not provide a foolproof solution, given the scale of the problem. Image
3/ Russian forces persistently employ both anti-tank and anti-personnel mines to fortify the area. Additionally, it appears that they are utilizing a significant number of remote-mining machinery, such as the Zemledeliye system. Image
Read 9 tweets
Jun 13
As our troops advance towards the primary line of defense south of Staromlynivka, whether they proceed directly or choose to breach the line elsewhere, I'd like to share some information about the defenses and other hidden challenges of the current situation.

🧵Thread: Image
2/ While obstacles can be effectively bypassed using mine-clearing vehicles, bulldozers, mine plows, and other engineering equipment, it becomes challenging to do so with the presence of drones that provide real-time corrections to artillery fire and alert ATGM/helicopter teams. Image
3/ In anticipation of the AFU potentially capturing settlements on the flank, the enemy has deployed additional defensive systems, including anti-tank ditches, mines, and infamous dragon's teeth. These measures are implemented to hinder flanking maneuvers by the AFU. Image
Read 13 tweets
Jun 4
🧵Thread:

The news of the arrest of the senior officer, who serves as the commander of the russian 72nd brigade, by Wagner, took many by surprise. However, this situation has been unfolding for some time now, as I mentioned in a thread over a month ago.

Image
2/ Although some people dismissed the information I previously provided as propaganda or lacking evidence, the ongoing power dynamics and events serve as evidence. Let's closely examine the situation
3/ While many soldiers in the Ministry of Defense either respect or would like to join Wagner, mostly due to higher payments, which are typically disbursed more reliably than those from the MoD, the sentiment among Russian senior officers is quite the opposite.
Read 8 tweets
May 29
Important development:

🧵CAR Ambassador to Russia, Dodonu-Punagaza, in his interview to Izvestia stated the country's need for a Russian military base hosting 5,000-10,000 soldiers. It would serve CAR's interests and facilitate troop deployment in neighboring nations as well. https://iz.ru/1518554/daria...
2/ Additionally, the ambassador confirmed that Simplice Sarandji, President of the National Assembly of the Central African Republic (CAR), has expressed a similar request for a Russian military base during his recent visit to Moscow. Image
3/ He also confirmed that russia supplies CAR with vodka and beer and acknowledged "Russian company's" involvement in the rare timber trade.
Previously, the "alleyesonwagner" project (@alleyesonwagner ) identified the company in question - Bois Rouge. Image
Read 4 tweets

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