@billmckibben @CherylBozarth The advantages of elevated CO2 for agriculture are even more important. Rising CO2 levels have raised global crop yields by at least 20%, and helped mitigate drought risks, which greatly improves global food security. sealevel.info/learnmore.html…
@billmckibben @CherylBozarth The best scientific evidence shows that CO2 emissions are beneficial, rather than harmful. Here are some studies: sealevel.info/negative_socia…
@billmckibben @CherylBozarth Unfortunately, Bill McKibben makes his living in the Climate Business, so he's unreceptive to that good news.
https://t.co/XR4Qtw5Go7sealevel.info/who_thinks_ghg…
@CherylBozarth @billmckibben @threadreaderapp @rattibha @threaddotblue 2/ The fact that higher CO2 levels are EXTREMELY beneficial for agriculture has been settled science for a full century. Here's a 1920 Scientific American @sciam article about it:
@CherylBozarth @billmckibben @threadreaderapp @rattibha @threaddotblue @sciam 3/ Thousands of rigorous scientific studies disprove Karin Kirk's lies. Here's a paper about wheat: ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26929390
@CherylBozarth @billmckibben @threadreaderapp @rattibha @threaddotblue @sciam 4/ Here's how eCO2 benefits corn (which, significantly, is a C4 crop): tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.108…
@CherylBozarth @billmckibben @threadreaderapp @rattibha @threaddotblue @sciam 5/ Elevated CO2 ("eCO2") is especially beneficial for legumes, like beans, peas, and alfalfa, which are grown for their protein content. So eCO2 helps mitigate protein shortages in poor countries. Here's a paper: frontiersin.org/articles/10.33…
@CherylBozarth @billmckibben @threadreaderapp @rattibha @threaddotblue @sciam 6/ Improved global food security, in significant part thanks to the higher current CO2 level, is saving MANY lives. sealevel.info/learnmore.html…
@CherylBozarth @billmckibben @threadreaderapp @rattibha @threaddotblue @sciam 7/ Rising CO2 levels are also highly beneficial for natural ecosystems. They're greening the Earth, especially in arid regions, like the Sahel. sealevel.info/learnmore.html…
@CherylBozarth @billmckibben @threadreaderapp @rattibha @threaddotblue @sciam 8/ NASA measures the greening trend from satellites.
@CherylBozarth @billmckibben @threadreaderapp @rattibha @threaddotblue @sciam 9/ Here's NASA's video about it:
@CherylBozarth @billmckibben @threadreaderapp @rattibha @threaddotblue @sciam 11/ The best evidence is that manmade climate change is modest and benign, and CO2 emissions are beneifical, rather than harmful. The benefits are large and well-measured, and the supposed major harms are all merely hypothetical, and mostly implausible. sealevel.info/learnmore.html
@CherylBozarth @billmckibben @threadreaderapp @rattibha @threaddotblue @sciam 12/ Scientists call the periods of highest temperatures "climate optimums," because they're BETTER.
That includes times substantially warmer than now, like the Eemian Optimum, which is thought to have been, on average, several degrees warmer than our current climate.
@CherylBozarth @billmckibben @threadreaderapp @rattibha @threaddotblue @sciam 13/ We'll never get anywhere near that much warming, from the effects of burning fossil fuels. We might, plausibly, get 1°C of additional warming, but probably not in your lifetime or mine. Do you understand how miniscule that is?
@CherylBozarth @billmckibben @threadreaderapp @rattibha @threaddotblue @sciam 14/ 1°C is the outdoor temperature change ("climate change") from an elevation change of ≈ 500 feet.🥱
(That's based on an average temp/altitude lapse rate of 6.5°C/km; 1000 / 6.5 = 154 meters.)
That's 2.8× the climate industry's claimed 0.36°C limit (that they call "1.5°").
@CherylBozarth @billmckibben @threadreaderapp @rattibha @threaddotblue @sciam 15/ At mid-latitudes, 1°C is about the temperature change you get from a latitude change of only 60 miles (100 km).
(How different is the climate, or the plants or wildlife, 60 miles away from where you live?)
@CherylBozarth @billmckibben @threadreaderapp @rattibha @threaddotblue @sciam 16/ 1°C is less than the "hysteresis" (a/k/a "dead zone") in your home thermostat, which is probably 2-3°F. Your home's "constant" indoor temperatures are continually fluctuating that much, and you probably don't even notice it.
@CherylBozarth @billmckibben @threadreaderapp @rattibha @threaddotblue @sciam 17/ In the American Midwest, farmers can fully compensate for 1°C of climate change by adjusting planting dates by about six days.
https://t.co/KrpSfZrx9dsealevel.info/wichita_spring…
@CherylBozarth @billmckibben @threadreaderapp @rattibha @threaddotblue @sciam 18/ Growing ranges for most important crops include climate zones with average temperatures that vary by tens of °C. Major crops like corn, wheat, potatoes and soybeans are produced from Mexico to Canada. Compared to that, 1°C is negligible.
@CherylBozarth @billmckibben @threadreaderapp @rattibha @threaddotblue @sciam 19/ What's more, a fortuitous thing about global warming is that it isn't very global. It disproportionately warms frigid winter nights at high latitudes ("Arctic amplification"). The tropics warm less, which is nice, because they're warm enough already. sealevel.info/learnmore.html…
@CherylBozarth @billmckibben @threadreaderapp @rattibha @threaddotblue @sciam 21/ The major benefits of rising CO2 levels are well-measured and extremely important.
The major harms are all merely hypothetical, and mostly implausible. They're just climate industry marketing FUD.
@CherylBozarth @billmckibben @threadreaderapp @rattibha @threaddotblue @sciam 22/ None of the supposed major harms predicted to result from manmade climate change are actually happening. sealevel.info/learnmore.html…
@CherylBozarth @billmckibben @threadreaderapp @rattibha @threaddotblue @sciam 23/ MOST importantly: Rising CO2 levels are helping to make famines rare for the first time in human history!
Famine is the Third Horseman of the Apocalypse. Throughout all of human history, famine (usually due to drought) was a Damoclean sword hanging over mankind — until now!
@CherylBozarth @billmckibben @threadreaderapp @rattibha @threaddotblue @sciam 24/ When I was a child, horrific famines were often in the news, in places like Bangladesh. But Bangladesh and India now have food surpluses, every year.
@CherylBozarth @billmckibben @threadreaderapp @rattibha @threaddotblue @sciam 25/ Here's what CO2 & manmade climate change are doing in Africa. This is what climate activists are campaigning against:
“’Before, there was not a single scorpion, not a single blade of grass… Now you have people grazing their camel…"
https://t.co/qNvm4AjMqlsealevel.info/Owen2009_Sahar…
@CherylBozarth @billmckibben @threadreaderapp @rattibha @threaddotblue @sciam 26/ Here's another article about it:
@CherylBozarth @billmckibben @threadreaderapp @rattibha @threaddotblue @sciam 27/ Ending famine is a VERY Big Deal, comparable to ending war and disease. Compare:
● Covid-19 killed 0.1% of world population.
● 1918 flu pandemic killed about 2%.
● WWII killed 2.7%.
● The near-global drought & famine of 1876-78 killed about 3.7% of the world population.
@CherylBozarth @billmckibben @threadreaderapp @rattibha @threaddotblue @sciam 28/28 So the question is, Cheryl, do you care?
Do you care that you're campaigning for a harsher, browner world? Do you care that you are campaigning for a poverty and famine? Do you care how many people your decarbonization policies would kill?
.
@billmckibben @threadreaderapp @rattibha @threaddotblue @sciam The Younger Dryas termination is thought to have warmed Greenland by 10 °C in just ONE decade!
@billmckibben @threadreaderapp @rattibha @threaddotblue @sciam Thanks to Arctic Amplification, the global average temperature increase was probably only 1/4 to 1/3 that large & that rapid. But it still dwarfed recent rates of warming by about an order of magnitude. archive.is/aUi9R#selectio…
@billmckibben @threadreaderapp @rattibha @threaddotblue @sciam Ice cores also record >20 earlier "Dansgaard-Oeschger events," in which warming was >10× as rapid as our recent warming — with no catastrophic consequences. Mankind & nearly all other existing species all survived those very rapid warming events. science.org/doi/10.1126/sc…
@billmckibben @threadreaderapp @rattibha @threaddotblue @sciam Past (natural): ≥1½°C/decade = rapid and large, and harmless
Current/recent (manmade): 1½°C/century = slow and slight, but climate industry claims it's a catastrophe
@billmckibben @threadreaderapp @rattibha @threaddotblue @sciam 2} This is why a greening Earth is a very good thing. sealevel.info/Pearce2002_Afr…
@billmckibben @threadreaderapp @rattibha @threaddotblue @sciam 3} A greener, more productive Earth is very good news, for everyone who needs to eat, but especially for the poorest of the poor. Improved global food security, in significant part thanks to the higher current CO2 level, is saving MANY lives. sealevel.info/learnmore.html…
@billmckibben @threadreaderapp @rattibha @threaddotblue @sciam 4} It's easy for you to dismiss the benefits of a rising crop yields, mitigated drought impacts, and a greening planet, if you're not one of the people whose lives depend on those benefits.
@billmckibben @threadreaderapp @rattibha @threaddotblue @sciam 5} The scientific evidence is compelling that manmade climate change is modest & benign, CO2 emissions are very beneficial, and the "social cost of carbon" is negative.
@billmckibben @threadreaderapp @rattibha @threaddotblue @sciam 6} The best scientists have concluded that CO2 emissions are beneficial, not harmful. It is climate industry disinformation which is deadly. telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews…
@billmckibben @threadreaderapp @rattibha @threaddotblue @sciam 7} This fine scientific organization has many excellent resources, which could help you understand this issue, if you want to learn. co2coalition.org
@billmckibben @threadreaderapp @rattibha @threaddotblue @sciam 9} Decarbonization means reversing the life-saving gains we've made, toward a greener, healthier planet.
@billmckibben @threadreaderapp @rattibha @threaddotblue @sciam 10} Decarbonization means a browner, less productive planet, with more deserts, lower crop yields, worsening famines, and more human misery.
8yo Friday Mukamperezida died when his home was burned to make a palm oil plantation, to fight climate change. https://t.co/NDuBEbQ6lTgoogle.com/search?q=Frida…
@billmckibben @threadreaderapp @rattibha @threaddotblue @sciam 11/11} But it seems that you don't care, do you, Cheryl?
I'd love to be wrong about that. But that's what it looks like, from here.
@billmckibben @threadreaderapp @rattibha @threaddotblue @sciam When Prof. Dyson said this, he was, by general consensus, America's most distinguished living scientist.
@billmckibben @threadreaderapp @rattibha @threaddotblue @sciam Yes, "rates of change matter," but I've showed you that the rate of anthropogenic climate change is miniscule compared to past natural climate change episodes.
The reason you didn't already know that is your habit of only getting information from one side
@billmckibben @threadreaderapp @rattibha @threaddotblue @sciam Blaming fires, droughts or hurricanes on climate change is just plain wrong. Yet the JPL @NASAJPL Earth Science Communication Team want you to believe the lie that all three are caused by manmade climate change.
It is shockingly dishonest, and you should be outraged. Are you?
@billmckibben @threadreaderapp @rattibha @threaddotblue @sciam @NASAJPL I didn't think so.
@billmckibben @threadreaderapp @rattibha @threaddotblue @sciam @NASAJPL You probably weren't outraged by Dr. Gleick and DeSmogBlog committing identity theft, fraud, and forgery, to smear Heartland Institute, were you?
Corruption is so endemic in the Climate Biz that most climate activists become inured to it.sealevel.info/Peter_Gleick_D…
Since this once-spunky-if-odd website seems destined to collapse in on itself in the days ahead, becoming a black hole occupied by people who think the globe is cooling, polio wouldn't be so bad, and being awake is a terrible fate, I feel like getting a few things out while I can
So: Libraries are amazing. We have socialism for books, and it works.
New England. I mean, it's pretty wonderful. People look out for each other some. Also Norway.
I think this is the most important set of climate numbers I've come across in a decade. They are a Rosetta Stone for understanding why banks and the financial system are at the center of the crisis.
Right now capitalism is a suicide machine. newyorker.com/news/daily-com…
Basically: banks take our deposits and lend them out to Big Oil. This releases more carbon than everything else the biggest companies in the world do. And if you have money in the bank, it may well be the biggest source of your emissions
HARVARD JUST DIVESTED FROM FOSSIL FUELS.
Because great activists never let up.
They don't use the word 'divestment,' but they said they have no direct investments left, will make no new ones, and that their indirect investments are in 'runoff mode' and will be allowed to expire
Yes, it's messy, and somewhat incomplete--the wonderful campaigners @DivestHarvard have a good response showing the places the university still must move. But the richest school on earth, which in 2013 pledged never to divest, has been forced to capitulate
I'm not even going to try and list the endless wonderful people who worked on this remarkable campaign--they are legion. And they have dealt a stunning blow to the fossil fuel industry. The smart money--even the conservative smart money--is fleeing Big Oil
An overlong thread of personal info, with one or two twists at the end.
First piece of 'news': I'm starting a free substack newsletter of my very own. It's going to be called The Crucial Years, because--well...here we are, between a rock and a hot place
That means today's installment of my New Yorker "Climate Crisis" will be the last, though I'll still write regularly for the magazine. So many thanks to everyone--esp. Virginia Cannon--who made it a pleasure, and to all those I got to pass the mic to! newyorker.com/news/annals-of…
So why am I joining @emorwee, @EricHolthaus , @drvolts, and so many others who pioneered this new form? In part because I'm also swinging back to more organizing. In fact, consider this the announcement of a *very* soft launch for ThirdAct.org thirdact.org
Guys, we've crossed the marsh and the Enbridge crossing point of the Mississipi is now occupied. I think this camp will last until Line 3 is stopped.#StopLine3
The scene here is solemn and joyful. Treaty rights need respecting and so do the laws of physics. Instead of 800,000 barrels of oil crossing this wetland there are thousands of people.
Indigenous leaders welcoming visitors now, and reminding them to go back to their communities and spread the word. #StopLine3@IENearth
Walloping Wolverines!! Huge divestment news out of Ann Arbor, where the University of Michigan--as heartland a school as you can imagine--announces plans to stop investing in fossil fuels! record.umich.edu/articles/u-m-s…
This is crucial because a) it's a big big endowment b) it's arguably, along with the already divested UC system, America's foremost public university and c) most of all, it's a huge reversal, won by courageous students. Here's what I mean:
When UMich refused to divest in 2015, the oil industry celebrated--indeed, they blazoned the words of its president, Mark Schlissel, across the front of their anti-divestment website, and they've been there ever since.