A comprehensive thread about the PLA reforms of 2016.

🔴How the CPC centralized control of the military and streamlined the chain of command.

🔴What old problems that existed and fixed.

🔴How susceptible was China to a coup before the 2016 reform?
🧵
pre-2016 the organizational structure of the PLA revolved around 4 departments

🔹General Staff Department
🔹General Political Department
🔹General Logistics Department
🔹General Armaments Department

For lack of a better word, the departments are like independent feudal kingdoms
A worrying sign developed during President Hu's era 2002-2012

Back then, there was a habit of these 4 General Departments to draft their own documents and personnel changes

While sending the finalized version of the documents to the Central Military Commission (CMC) of the CPC
This was problematic because the CMC was supposed to be the supreme military body in China.

With the powerful Departments, the CMC was turned into a rubberstamp organization.

This breeds corruption.

Like these 2 corrupt traitor generals who at the time ranked above Xi Jinping
The 2016 reform abolished the 4 General departments, and established 15 subsidiary organs under the direct command of the CMC.

Green Box in graph below⬇️

It delegated responsibilities to more numerous but more refined smaller departments.

Centralizing control under the CMC.
ANOTHER PROBLEM👀
Created by the old system were Factionalism

Where the officer corps tends to be more loyal to their respective Military Regions, rather than the central government.
This problem was exacerbated by the 7 powerful Military Regions (M.R.)

Each M.R. is like their own little Kingdom, they are responsible for administration, organization, procurement, personnel

AND combat command.

All of which can bypass the CMC, again making it a rubberstamp.
The 2016 reforms abolished the 7 Military Regions and established the 5 Theater Commands (TC)

Each TC is ONLY responsible for combat operations.
While Administrative, Procurement, Logistics and Organizational functions were delegated to the individual military branch H.Q (Army, Navy, Air Force etc.)

This means the Theater Commands are only responsible for operations command (plan and fight wars)
Each Theater Commands can deploy Army, Naval and Air Forces units within their area of responsibility.

The 4 TC are then joined together by the:
Joint Staff Department of the Central Military Commission.
This reform splits the power of the Military Regions

While consolidating and delegating responsibilities to more fine-tuned departments and Theater Commands

Which made the PLA both more efficient AND more efficiently controlled by the Communist Party of China
So before the 2016 reform, the PLA did have the potential to conduct a coup.

Unlikely, but the convoluted chain of commands made some people question where their loyalties lie.

I actually wrote more details about the technical aspects of the reform.
How it affected lower echelon units, and a frustrating problems exposed during the Battle of Paracel Islands

But I'll save that for another day

My long threads don't always get the most engagements

So if you want to hear more, make sure to like and retweet🥰

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More from @zhao_dashuai

Jun 26
Today is a very special day for us.🫡

June 26th is the “International Day Against Drug Abuse and Illicit Trafficking”

It commemorate China's destruction of the British opium shipments in 1839.

A thread on how China won the war against narcotics...🧵
My grandad was posted in Yunnan province in the 1980s, to take part in the war effort against Vietnam.

My dad grew up in the military family compound, attending the same school as other military children.

Back then every boy wanted to join the army or the police
The province of Yunnan borders the Golden Triangle, one of the 3 main narcotic producing regions in the world.

1980s were the start of the reform period, it was also the start of the narcotics epidemic in China...

My family had a front row seat to the societal decay of Yunnan
Read 15 tweets
Jun 19
Some criticizes me for not talking about the negative aspect of China, thus invalidating all my opinions.

Well, there are numerous aspects I would like my country to improve upon
🧵 Image
1) The central government should stop being so stingy about debt, they should take more on debt denominated in RMB

To boost social welfare and education, for eg. Make all-day early childcare free, increase child support by creating a government funded saving scheme for children
The aim is to boost birthrate and lessen parental pressure.

Difficulties:
Teachers and doctors don't grow on trees, you can't force it, so it's not entirely a monetary issue
Read 10 tweets
Jun 18
In 1999, the then vice governor of Fujian province Xi Jinping, taking part in the flood relief effort along the Mulan river.

In the 1990s, almost every provincial leader were busy trying to multiply the GDP by selling land to be redeveloped, disregarding the environment
🧵
Xi was the very few provincial leaders that championed sustainable growth and poverty alleviation.

After decades of persistent environmental protection, Mulan river has been transformed from a polluted industrial swamp into a green oasis. Image
Some claims President Xi is very hard to read, but he's a very consistent leader.

Some of his policies are national versions of his previous successful provincial policies.
Read 4 tweets
Jun 18
This supership is aspirational at the moment.

But China has been developing the component parts of this ship-type for years.

A more efficient realization of this vision of General Ma Weiming, is in the form of an arsenal ship
OR a class of modern Battleships...🧵 Image
The key technology China is developing are:
🔴Electromagnetic guns (EM guns)
🔴Laser weapon systems
🔴High-powered Microwave weapons (HPM)
🔴Electric missile launch system*
China is currently the only country to have tested an Electromagnetic guns at sea.

It's designed to be able to launch a high speed maneuverable/guided projectile.

Allowing it to target incoming aircraft, missiles as well as used offensively against enemy ships and land targets. Image
Read 7 tweets
Jun 17
Kerela is richer than Bihar is precisely because of the environmental push factors (few arable lands) pushing the state to move to higher value added industries.

Kochi in Kerela also has one of the few good natural ports in India.

Geography determines the economy...
1/7 Image
So it's hilarious how people that live in the industrial age, still sees geographic factors in subsistence farming terms.

Yes, Bihar has land for farming, and that's why it's poor, Japan's geography is horrible for farming, but the mountains creates perfect natural harbors.
2/7
Few usable land also forced the Japanese to quickly urbanize.

Large cheap urban population + isolated island nation + good natural harbors = Japan's quick rise after 1860s.

Japan's geography was poor during the age of farming, but it's great for the age of industry
3/7
Read 7 tweets
Jun 17
When ever I talk about SOME aspect of geographical determinism, some on the left jump up and down and claim it's the fault of colonialism.

I mean sure, colonialism were the cause of this developed & developing divide.

But have these people ever thought about why that is?...🧵 Image
Why did the West industrialized and were ABLE to conduct their colonial plunder.

In this sense, colonialism is only the symptom, the root cause is Geography.

The "Eastern" civilizations of the world, Egypt, Mesopotamia, Indus River and Chinese civilization, are all sedentary
Their civilization revolves around great rivers and farming.

The "other" civilization were either greatly influenced by Phoenicians and the Greeks (who are essentially maritime nomads)

AS well as true horseback nomads. Image
Read 13 tweets

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