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KEY TAKEAWAYS OF WAGERN REBELLION:
1-I've given up trying to guess what's in Prigozhin's head or what his relationship w/ Putin is; you should too
2-This killed remaining effectiveness of Putin's propaganda; nearly every Russia now knows war going bad
3-Putin is greatly weakened
1-I've given up trying to guess what's in Prigozhin's head or what his relationship w/ Putin is; you should too
2-This killed remaining effectiveness of Putin's propaganda; nearly every Russia now knows war going bad
3-Putin is greatly weakened
4-Anyone else thinking of pulling off revolt is heartened as Russia seems fairly defenseless from attack; this will not be the last rebel attack
5-Could take less than a day for future Russian rebels to threaten Moscow, which wouldn't have enough troops if rebel army large enough
5-Could take less than a day for future Russian rebels to threaten Moscow, which wouldn't have enough troops if rebel army large enough
6-Free Russia Legion/Russian Volunteer Corps will gain recruits & attacks will increase
7-This is not good at all for Putin's regime or its war effort (especially Russian morale and recruitment) and this aids Ukrainian advances, will likely inspire boost in aid going to Ukraine
7-This is not good at all for Putin's regime or its war effort (especially Russian morale and recruitment) and this aids Ukrainian advances, will likely inspire boost in aid going to Ukraine
8-Whatever this "deal" really is, Prigozhin could be dead in days or he might find a way to march again on Moscow. Uncertainty reigns
9-Putin will be eager to demonstrate his power now, but has few options to do so that can succeed. Even his hypersonic missiles can be shot down
9-Putin will be eager to demonstrate his power now, but has few options to do so that can succeed. Even his hypersonic missiles can be shot down
10-Overall, this is another great example of Russia's incompetence, dysfunction, and that it is losing this war. Expect more of that from Russia and more winning for Ukraine. Ukraine's counter offensive hasn't even entered a main phase, with lots of Ukrainian units uncommitted
11-Losing horribly has consequences & the idea that all this could go on indefinitely at no cost to Putin and his regime is insane... More from me on these dynamics here: realcontextnews.com/recent-raids-a…
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