1/ The Russian authorities appear to be regretting recently passing a law that makes criticism of the Wagner Group a criminal offence. Thousands of Russians, likely including Vladimir Putin himself, are now theoretically subject to criminal charges attracting years in jail. ⬇️
3/ Speaker of the Russian Parliament Vyacheslav Volodin introduced new legislation to allow prosecutions for "fakes" and "discrediting" "volunteer formations, organizations or persons assisting in the performance of tasks assigned to the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation".
4/ It increased punishments from three to five years' imprisonment for "fake information" and from five to seven years for "discrediting". The offences are increased to "medium gravity" (roughly equivalent to an upgrade from a misdemenour to a felony).
5/ As the State Duma is effectively a Putin-controlled rubber stamp, the new legislation was duly passed in March. But there's just one problem: Wagner are now officially regarded as bad guys, as State Duma Deputy Chairman Vladislav Davankov has pointed out:
6/ "If left unchanged [the norms of the law], thousands of Russians could be jailed for 15 years for expressing a civil position on the actions of the PMC [Private Military Company] leadership after Saturday's events. Would that be reasonable and fair? Of course not.
7/ "There should be a moratorium on prosecuting under this article, at least for public opinions about the actions of PMCs and the armed forces outside the combat zone." /end
1/ Mobilised Russians who were reportedly sold for 25,000 rubles each to a mercenary group are reportedly being used as cannon fodder by the mercenaries, while due to a lack of provision, they are having to wear summer uniforms stripped from the bodies of the dead. ⬇️
2/ The men were originally reported to have been sold to the Wagner Group, and then forced at gunpoint to sign contracts with the 'PMC Wolves' mercenary company. 100 of them refused and subsequently disappeared.
3/ PMC Wolves appears to be an offshoot of Wagner. A TikTok video by an apparent Wolves member, published in April 2023, calls it a "sabotage-recon assault brigade" and describes its work as "covering soldiers of the PMC Wagner" in Soledar.
1/ The security forces in Moscow are reported to be utterly incapable of resisting a heavily armed force like Wagner. Police generals are said to considering which side to back, while forces on the ground are already defecting to Wagner. ⬇️
2/ The VChK-OGPU Telegram channel reports that police generals held an emergency meeting at the Interior Ministry this morning to prepare the capital's defences. Normal police duties are being limited, with only major incidents being responded to.
3/ Checkpoints manned by police and National Guard units have been set up on the outskirts of the city. Former Wagner members living in Moscow are being taken into preventative custody. Behind the scenes, the generals are said to be "discussing how to serve the new regime."
1/ Transcript of Vladimir Putin's speech this morning:
"I appeal to the Russians, to the military and security agencies and to those who have been pushed onto the path of armed insurgency by deceit and threats.
2/ What we are facing is betrayal. Unreasonable ambition has led to treason. The heroes who liberated Soledar and Artemovsk [Bakhmut], fought for Novorossiya, their name and glory have been betrayed by those who are trying to organize an insurgency.
3/ Pushing the country towards anarchy and fratricide.
Any internal turmoil is a mortal threat to our statehood, to us as a nation. Our actions to defend the Motherland will be tough. All those who have taken the path of betrayal will suffer inevitable punishment.
1/ Russia's security forces are reported to be in disarray following the attempted mutiny by the Wagner Group. It seems to have been perfectly timed for a moment – Friday night – when many personnel were too drunk to respond quickly, while others are refusing to fight Wagner. ⬇️
2/ The VChK-OGPU Telegram channel reports what its sources are saying is the situation within various security organisations. At the FSB and Ministry of Internal Affairs, "Everyone is up and running, urgently reporting in. Now all the offices are like one big after-party."
3/ "80 per cent of the staff smell of booze. Some of them can barely stand on their feet. Can't arm 'em, can't send 'em anywhere. Friday night's the perfect time to start something like this. Everybody's standing around, waiting for something. No introductions."
1/ Wagner Group fighters have been saying goodbye to their relatives over the past 24 hours and telling them to watch the TV news, which suggests that they may have had advance notice of today's dramatic events with Yevgeny Prigozhin.
2/ Verstka reports that worried relatives are saying in Wagner-related chat rooms that their loved ones have "called and said goodbye" in the last 24 hours, and told them to watch for "what [TV channel] Rossiya 24 has to say".
3/ Chat participant Elena Kigeleva says: "Yesterday many guys called and 'conditionally' said goodbye. Many said watch the news." Multiple participants say they can't reach their Wagner men.
1/ Mobilised Russian soldiers facing the Ukrainian counteroffensive in Zaporizhzhya say they are suffering huge casualties from precision shelling by Ukrainian forces, cannot evacuate their wounded, and are brutally treated for refusing orders they consider to be suicidal. ⬇️
2/ The independent Russian news outlet "Look out, news" (ON) reports that men of the 1430th Mobilised Rifle Regiment say that on 8 June, they were sent to hold front line trenches, likely near Robotyne, where they suffered heavy losses under Ukrainian artillery fire.
3/ "Within two weeks, several hundred men were out of action. Most of them have not seen the enemy and suffered from precise shelling ... The khokhols [pejorative term for Ukrainians] are hitting right into the trench. There's no point in sitting there," says one soldier.