I pulled together 42 public & private companies and charted the preclinical & clinical assets of each, segmented by approach & editor
Some takeaways:
In the context of therapeutics, gene editing is the insertion, deletion or replacement of sections of a patient's DNA to treat disease
The Cowen team pulled together the helpful graphic below noting the nuances between gene therapy and gene editing
While the above analysis is not exhaustive (there are >250 active gene editing programs), it does help illustrate how early the space is
~85% of all programs are preclinical, with everything else in Ph1/2 except $CRSP & $VRTX exa-cel (submitted BLA, PDUFAs in Dec'23 & Mar'24)
Things to watch as the space matures:
(1) Patient & indication selection: 1st gen assets primarily targeted severe patient populations of monogenic diseases (i.e. SCD, TDT) with limited treatment options
Emerging assets are targeting more competitive spaces (CV, Onc, Metabolic)
It will be interesting to track patient / physician acceptance of a potentially curative but relatively new treatment vs. more established chronic treatments
(2) Reimbursement: as with gene therapies, the one-time nature of treatment will command sky-high price tags
Expect payor pushback in more prevalent conditions with an established, chronic & cheaper SoC
Companies should get comfortable with value-based agreements, where reimbursement is tied to treatment milestones & staged over time
Mktd. gene therapies will help set guidelines here
(3) CMC: this can quickly become a bottleneck for companies during clinical development & beyond, as scaling these novel processes to pivotal / commercial grade with appropriate comparability to earlier-stage trials is difficult
(4) Safety: given we are talking about permanent genome edits, this will remain in focus for the foreseeable future
The FDA has been cautious and placed lengthy clinical holds on several programs to request more data / investigate abnormalities
Minimal off-target effect is key
Since CRISPR-Cas9 was invented in 2012, gene editing companies have raised >$18B (public & private)
Approval of $CRSP / $VRTX exa-cel in 2023 would thus be a watershed moment for the space, and the culmination of a decade of fast-paced innovation & investor / pharma enthusiasm
Looking ahead beyond exa-cel, there are a few other catalysts to monitor:
♦ Additional NTLA-2001 data in ATTR & initiation of global pivotal study ($NTLA)
♦ First look at clinical data for a base editor via VERVE-101 ($VERV)
♦ Clinical update from EDIT-301 TDT trial ($EDIT)
To see my prior breakdown of the gene therapy landscape, check out the below
+ a deep dive into the unmet need and future of treatment:
Alzheimer's disease (AD) is a progressive neurological disorder that destroys brain cells, resulting in dementia
• 7th leading cause of death (US)
• >6M patients in US, >45M WW, expected to 3x by 2060 due to aging population (~$1T/yr in US)
• >99% clinical trial failure rate
Timeline of failed AD therapies through 2021 per Canaccord (+ Roche's gantenerumab in 2022)
I pulled together 42 public companies and charted the preclinical & clinical assets of each, segmented by approach & vector
Some takeaways:
The above analysis is not exhaustive: there are >350 developmental gene therapies across >115 companies
~62% are preclinical or IND-enabling. Of the remaining ~38% in the clinic / approved, the majority (~31%) are in Phase 1/2
While the space remains early in development, we'll start to better understand the commercial potential as recently approved assets ramp towards a commercial inflection point (i.e. Novartis' Zolgensma, Roche's Luxturna, bluebird's Zynteglo / Skysona and CSL / UniQure's Hemgenix)
A deep dive into the unmet need, competitive landscape and future of treatment:
Obesity primer:
• Defined as BMI >30kg/m^2
• >750M patients globally, including ~40% of US adults --> expected to increase to 1B people / ~50% of US adults by 2030
• Linked to 1/5 US adult deaths
However, just ~2% of people (15M) are on anti-obesity medications (AOM)
Obesity is the leading risk factor for diabetes & other metabolic diseases
For years, bariatric surgery was the primary interventional treatment (25-30% weight loss) as opposed to 1st gen drugs (5-8% weight loss)