China adopted its first Foreign Relations Law yesterday.
Why the law now & what are the implications for foreign businesses? I explained in this @SCMPNews story.
‘Rule of law’: China adopts new legislation to help combat foreign sanctions via @scmpnewssc.mp/kiqq?utm_sourc…
In addition to my quotes along with @georgemagnus1 below in the story, I'd like to point to the following features of the law which will make it harder for businesses, both Chinese and foreign, to operate:
@georgemagnus1 1. Art. 5 emphasizes the central unified leadership of the CCP, which adds further to the uncertainty of the business environment as the Party could take actions based on political rather than legal considerations.
@georgemagnus1 2. As per Art. 6, all business organizations and institutions, other social organizations and citizens have "responsibilities and obligations to protect the national sovereignty, security, dignity, honor and interests in foreign relations and cooperation".
@georgemagnus1 The phrase “national sovereignty, security, dignity, honor and interests” is very ambitious and creates even wider obligations than the notorious Art. 77 of the National Security Law (which is one of the reasons which got Huawei & so many other Chinese firms in trouble),
@georgemagnus1 as well as Art. 14 of National Intelligence Law & Art. 32 of Anti-Espionage Law.
Essentially, Art. 6 turns all Chinese firms into an extended instrument of the Chinese government & the CCP (per Art. 5). It will not only make it harder for Chinese firms to operate overseas,
@georgemagnus1 but also make foreign businesses think twice before deciding to invest in China.
Compared to national security, “national dignity and honor” are even more elusive concepts. But based on past practices, I’d say it is now an obligation for every Chinese firm to protest,
@georgemagnus1 in every business dealings, when its foreign business partners casually refer to Taiwan as a country, or opinion on the situation in Xinjiang or Hong Kong.
Good news for compliance experts!
@georgemagnus1 3. Art. 30 states that China will implement its treaty obligations "in good faith". This could mean that it wouldn't strictly follow the letter of a treaty if it's not considered to be made in good faith, such as Phase 1 Agreement with US. This adds further business uncertainties
@georgemagnus1 The 2nd sentence of the Art. states that “Treaties and agreements concluded or acceded to by the state may not contravene the Constitution.”
Now anyone remembers what’s the first article of the PRC Constitution?
@georgemagnus1 “The leadership of the Communist Party of China is the most essential feature of socialism with Chinese characteristics. Any organization or individual is prohibited from undermining the socialist system.”
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Ban on forced transfer of source code is one of the key obligations in the CPTPP. It has long been regarded as one of the main obstacles for China’s accession, with many claiming that China would never accept the obligation.
But this changed today with a State Council document.
In this document called “Notice of several measures to promote institutional opening-up in free trade pilot zones and pilot free trade port in line with the international high standards”, the State Council states that the relevant authorities shall not
“require the transfer of, or access to, source code of software owned by a person of another Party, as a condition for the import, distribution, sale or use of such software, or of products containing such software”, which is language copied verbatim from the CPTPP.
Key changes in the State Council Working Rules: 1. The guiding thoughts section deleted all previous references to Marxism, Leninism, Mao, Deng, Three Represent, & Scientific Development Outlook, and keeps only XJP Thoughts on Socialism with Chinese Characteristics in the New Era
2. All major decisions and problems MUST be reported to the CCP Central Committee first.
3. All State Council members shall resolutely implement the decisions of the Party Central Committee, and refrain from speech and behavior that contradicts the decisions of the CCP Central Committee.
Xi's speech at the Central Economic Works conference in Dec is published today.
Titled "Several Major Issues in Current Economic Work", it puts the first issue as expanding domestic consumption, i.e., "Prioritize the recovery and expansion of consumption...
It is necessary to ... innovate consumption scenarios, and fully release consumption potential. It is necessary to increase the consumption capacity of low- and middle-income residents who have a high propensity to consume but are greatly affected by the epidemic."
New Chinese TV drama #三体电视剧 (Three Body) is interesting to watch, not only because it is based on a @HugoAwards-winning novel, but because it helps to understand China’s highly-confrontational wolf warrior diplomacy which kept emphasizing "struggle".
As stated in the first episode by a Chinese general, the fact that we humans have survived from the Neolithic age until today without major catastrophes is a pure coincidence.
Similarly, the Chinese leadership believes that the peaceful period since 1978 is a pure coincidence.
Now the period is over, which is why Xi has been emphasizing that the world is not peaceful at all, as he stated in his video call with @POTUS last year.
Three Body is full of metaphors with striking resemblances to China’s history since the mid-1970s:
In case anyone thinks that the tech crackdown is over with Didi allowed back on the app stores, China has just announced that a national ride-hailing platform will be online soon, and it will cover 90% of the market capacity, which, btw, was Didi's market before the crackdown.
Why a national platform?
Because data, esp geolocation data, is deemed too sensitive to be left to private firms, as I explained 2 years ago:
It is ironic that this announcement came right after Liu He's @Davos remarks that China will not practice a planned economy, which is not surprising as I said last year that his remarks must be read to the contrary.
Hints can be drawn from the Party Class he gave last Oct entitled “Study and implement XJP Thought on Diplomacy, Promote Big Power Diplomacy with Chinese characteristics”, where he spoke on how to “stick to principles, dare to fight”.
He described the three major encounters with @JoeBiden administration in military terms, and called the Mar 2021 Anchorage meeting an “ambush” where “the US ignored the basic rules of decency and hospitality & went beyond the fixed agenda to interfere in China’s domestic affairs”
The July 2022 meeting held in Tianjin was described as a “counter strike” where China accused the US approach of “competition, confrontation and cooperation” as an attempt to suppress China, where China responded by presenting the US with two lists: